0x49b1…c280

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x49b16a5f9e86796c9312c085590ead3ea292c280
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+4.9pp

ROI

+15%

Tasa de acierto

57% @ 52.0¢

Brier

0.129

Resueltas

790

Tamaño med.

$37

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	56% (37/66)	+14%	66
Ciencia	54% (7/13)	-17%	13
Política	67% (6/9)	+41%	9
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other66 apuestas
Tasa acierto
56% (37/66)
ROI
+14%
Ciencia13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (7/13)
ROI
-17%
Política9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (6/9)
ROI
+41%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Historial

57% acierto · 51/89

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	$26	64.6¢	Ganó
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?	No	$217	84.8¢	Ganó
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	$98	80.4¢	Ganó
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 13–20?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	$263	65.7¢	Ganó
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?	No	$61	61.0¢	Ganó
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?	No	$49	24.0¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55–60 million views on day 1?	Yes	$7	7.4¢	Perdió
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?	No	$57	57.0¢	Ganó
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?	No	$154	18.8¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?	No	$46	5.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?	Yes	$3.9k	56.5¢	Ganó
Another US military action against Iran by Tuesday?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?	No	$44	88.1¢	Ganó
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?	Yes	$30	13.2¢	Perdió
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?	No	$1	61.0¢	Ganó
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?	No	$1.4k	44.3¢	Perdió
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	6.0¢	Perdió
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$29	57.8¢	Ganó
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?	No	$988	32.6¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	No	$46	22.8¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	Yes	$135	85.4¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?	No	$310	37.2¢	Perdió
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?	No	$324	61.3¢	Ganó
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?	No	$3.4k	73.3¢	Ganó
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?	No	$36	36.0¢	Perdió
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?	No	$308	69.9¢	Ganó
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	$59	89.4¢	Ganó
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?	No	$164	77.9¢	Ganó
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	$351	83.6¢	Ganó
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?	No	$2.2k	59.8¢	Ganó
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?	No	$511	57.4¢	Perdió
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?	Yes	$166	74.4¢	Ganó
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?	No	$147	27.5¢	Ganó
Will Elon tweet 235–249 times June 13–20?	Yes	$48	1.4¢	Perdió
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	$24	56.0¢	Perdió
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$47	31.3¢	Ganó
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?	No	$2.1k	73.5¢	Ganó
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?	No	$662	77.6¢	Ganó
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	$0	3.1¢	Perdió
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?	No	$687	79.6¢	Ganó
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?	No	$152	15.6¢	Perdió
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	$130	75.3¢	Ganó
US military action against Iran before July?	No	$497	36.1¢	Perdió
US military action against Iran before July?	Yes	$747	62.2¢	Ganó
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times June 27–July 4?	No	$80	80.1¢	Ganó
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	$297	14.5¢	Perdió
Will there be between 1550 and 1599 measles cases in the U.S. on December 31?	No	$2	77.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?	No	$26	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?	Yes	$4	3.6¢	Perdió

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$26 @ 64.6¢
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 4–11?Ganó
No$217 @ 84.8¢
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ganó
Yes$98 @ 80.4¢
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 13–20?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ganó
No$263 @ 65.7¢
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Ganó
No$61 @ 61.0¢
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?Perdió
No$49 @ 24.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55–60 million views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 7.4¢
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?Ganó
No$57 @ 57.0¢
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Perdió
No$154 @ 18.8¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?Perdió
No$46 @ 5.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?Ganó
Yes$3.9k @ 56.5¢
Another US military action against Iran by Tuesday?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?Ganó
No$44 @ 88.1¢
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 13.2¢
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?Ganó
No$1 @ 61.0¢
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Perdió
No$1.4k @ 44.3¢
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 6.0¢
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$29 @ 57.8¢
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?Perdió
No$988 @ 32.6¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Perdió
No$46 @ 22.8¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Ganó
Yes$135 @ 85.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? Perdió
No$310 @ 37.2¢
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?Ganó
No$324 @ 61.3¢
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Ganó
No$3.4k @ 73.3¢
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?Perdió
No$36 @ 36.0¢
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?Ganó
No$308 @ 69.9¢
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?Ganó
No$59 @ 89.4¢
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?Ganó
No$164 @ 77.9¢
Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Ganó
No$351 @ 83.6¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Ganó
No$2.2k @ 59.8¢
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?Perdió
No$511 @ 57.4¢
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?Ganó
Yes$166 @ 74.4¢
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Ganó
No$147 @ 27.5¢
Will Elon tweet 235–249 times June 13–20?Perdió
Yes$48 @ 1.4¢
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$24 @ 56.0¢
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$47 @ 31.3¢
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Ganó
No$2.1k @ 73.5¢
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?Ganó
No$662 @ 77.6¢
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?Perdió
No$0 @ 3.1¢
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?Ganó
No$687 @ 79.6¢
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Perdió
No$152 @ 15.6¢
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ganó
Yes$130 @ 75.3¢
US military action against Iran before July?Perdió
No$497 @ 36.1¢
US military action against Iran before July?Ganó
Yes$747 @ 62.2¢
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times June 27–July 4?Ganó
No$80 @ 80.1¢
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Perdió
Yes$297 @ 14.5¢
Will there be between 1550 and 1599 measles cases in the U.S. on December 31?Ganó
No$2 @ 77.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?Ganó
No$26 @ 88.0¢
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 3.6¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$823	80.4¢
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$307	88.5¢
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$279	93.0¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tecnología	No	$204	97.0¢
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?	Cultura	No	$146	94.0¢
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in March 2027 (ET)?	Cultura	No	$73	73.0¢
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC before January 2027?	Cultura	No	$12	92.2¢

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ciencia
No$823 @ 80.4¢
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ciencia
No$307 @ 88.5¢
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ciencia
No$279 @ 93.0¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tecnología
No$204 @ 97.0¢
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?Cultura
No$146 @ 94.0¢
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in March 2027 (ET)?Cultura
No$73 @ 73.0¢
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC before January 2027?Cultura
No$12 @ 92.2¢