0x4934…6d71

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x49341db98d00c870dc2925d36a32369cfe376d71
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+9.5pp

ROI

+20%

Tasa de acierto

77% @ 67.6¢

Brier

0.147

Resueltas

319

Tamaño med.

$40

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	62% (44/71)	+20%	71
Política	81% (29/36)	+25%	36
Geopolítica	80% (4/5)	-53%	5
Deportes	25% (1/4)	-56%	4
Tecnología	100% (2/2)	+46%	2
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+245%	1

Other71 apuestas
Tasa acierto
62% (44/71)
ROI
+20%
Política36 apuestas
Tasa acierto
81% (29/36)
ROI
+25%
Geopolítica5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
80% (4/5)
ROI
-53%
Deportes4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-56%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+46%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+245%

Historial

68% acierto · 81/119

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?	No	$10	86.8¢	Ganó
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$5	14.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$220	86.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$150	59.3¢	Perdió
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$68	85.3¢	Ganó
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	$1	17.9¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$280	69.7¢	Ganó
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	$1	40.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$1	62.0¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$50	89.0¢	Ganó
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$334	77.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$20	83.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$30	77.0¢	Ganó
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	55.6¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$281	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?	Yes	$15	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$20	76.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$794	76.0¢	Ganó
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$1	4.5¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$536	77.7¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$50	87.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$41	29.0¢	Ganó
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	$100	74.0¢	Ganó
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	No	$1	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	$770	84.4¢	Ganó
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	$50	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$18	9.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$20	88.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$263	69.3¢	Perdió
Will Rafael Leao be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$90	50.4¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$48	77.6¢	Ganó
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$26	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?	No	$8	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$17	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Christian Pulisic be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Perdió
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$23	88.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$100	87.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$605	67.9¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$20	90.0¢	Ganó
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	No	$141	85.6¢	Ganó
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$320	73.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	No	$300	82.0¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$100	84.7¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$20	46.0¢	Perdió
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$50	50.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$140	42.5¢	Perdió
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$10	79.0¢	Ganó
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	$30	84.8¢	Ganó

Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?Ganó
No$10 @ 86.8¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$220 @ 86.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$150 @ 59.3¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$68 @ 85.3¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Perdió
No$1 @ 17.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Ganó
Yes$280 @ 69.7¢
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 40.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Ganó
No$50 @ 89.0¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Ganó
No$334 @ 77.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$20 @ 83.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$30 @ 77.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 55.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$281 @ 85.0¢
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 89.0¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 76.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$794 @ 76.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 4.5¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Perdió
No$536 @ 77.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$50 @ 87.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$41 @ 29.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Ganó
No$100 @ 74.0¢
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Perdió
No$1 @ 35.0¢
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Ganó
Yes$770 @ 84.4¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Ganó
No$50 @ 88.0¢
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 9.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$20 @ 88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$263 @ 69.3¢
Will Rafael Leao be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Perdió
No$90 @ 50.4¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Ganó
Yes$48 @ 77.6¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$26 @ 88.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Ganó
No$8 @ 82.0¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Ganó
Yes$17 @ 89.0¢
Will Christian Pulisic be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$23 @ 88.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Ganó
No$100 @ 87.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$605 @ 67.9¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 90.0¢
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Ganó
No$141 @ 85.6¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
Yes$320 @ 73.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Ganó
No$300 @ 82.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Ganó
No$100 @ 84.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 46.0¢
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 50.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$140 @ 42.5¢
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 79.0¢
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 84.8¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$425	60.2¢
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$293	93.3¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Política	No	$231	83.3¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	No	$230	66.8¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Política	No	$215	86.0¢
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Política	No	$200	94.1¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$186	90.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$179	76.1¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$150	85.2¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?	Política	No	$141	91.7¢
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$131	84.1¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Política	No	$127	74.6¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$122	30.1¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Política	No	$110	87.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	No	$102	91.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Economía	Yes	$100	92.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Geopolítica	No	$100	74.0¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Política	No	$95	95.0¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$90	90.0¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Política	No	$81	81.9¢
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	Política	No	$80	80.0¢
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$78	73.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$63	10.1¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$61	63.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	—	No	$60	83.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$51	50.3¢
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?	Política	No	$44	53.0¢
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$41	79.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Política	No	$41	75.3¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	No	$41	77.5¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$425 @ 60.2¢
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?Tecnología
No$293 @ 93.3¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Política
No$231 @ 83.3¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
No$230 @ 66.8¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Política
No$215 @ 86.0¢
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Política
No$200 @ 94.1¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$186 @ 90.5¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$179 @ 76.1¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolítica
No$150 @ 85.2¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Política
No$141 @ 91.7¢
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$131 @ 84.1¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Política
No$127 @ 74.6¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$122 @ 30.1¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Política
No$110 @ 87.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
No$102 @ 91.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economía
Yes$100 @ 92.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Geopolítica
No$100 @ 74.0¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Política
No$95 @ 95.0¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$90 @ 90.0¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Política
No$81 @ 81.9¢
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?Política
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$78 @ 73.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$63 @ 10.1¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Política
No$61 @ 63.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?—
No$60 @ 83.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$51 @ 50.3¢
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Política
No$44 @ 53.0¢
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Geopolítica
No$41 @ 79.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Política
No$41 @ 75.3¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
No$41 @ 77.5¢