0x4934…6d71

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x49341db98d00c870dc2925d36a32369cfe376d71
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.1pp

ROI

+12%

Tasa de acierto

70% @ 67.1¢

Brier

0.156

Resueltas

1171

Tamaño med.

$48

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	66% (300/457)	+11%	457
Política	77% (80/104)	+18%	104
Deportes	58% (22/38)	-5%	38
Geopolítica	85% (17/20)	-18%	20
Tecnología	83% (5/6)	+17%	6
Economía	75% (3/4)	-1%	4
Cripto	75% (3/4)	+79%	4
Ciencia	100% (1/1)	+12%	1
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+5%	1

Other457 apuestas
Tasa acierto
66% (300/457)
ROI
+11%
Política104 apuestas
Tasa acierto
77% (80/104)
ROI
+18%
Deportes38 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (22/38)
ROI
-5%
Geopolítica20 apuestas
Tasa acierto
85% (17/20)
ROI
-18%
Tecnología6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
83% (5/6)
ROI
+17%
Economía4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
-1%
Cripto4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+79%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+12%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+5%

Historial

68% acierto · 432/635

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Greek Independence Day event?	No	$1	73.0¢	Ganó
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	$300	86.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 2?	No	$85	85.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$30	40.2¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?	No	$10	86.8¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Drug" during Honduran President events?	Yes	$1	54.0¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?	Yes	$1	28.0¢	Perdió
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?	No	$18	73.7¢	Perdió
UFC Fight Night: Jose Daniel Medina vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Prelims)	Gandra	$1	80.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 27?	Yes	$94	86.1¢	Perdió
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5	Over	$10	69.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?	No	$1000	81.0¢	Ganó
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Perdió
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$100	83.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?	No	$1	82.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$40	86.5¢	Ganó
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	$20	18.6¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 15?	No	$41	78.0¢	Ganó
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$208	83.7¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$18	84.0¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$4	78.4¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Perdió
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mason Jones	$20	58.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" this week? (April 5)	No	$10	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$5	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?	Yes	$28	28.1¢	Perdió
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	No	$50	66.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$220	86.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$150	59.3¢	Perdió
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$68	85.3¢	Ganó
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$30	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	$1	17.9¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	$280	69.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	$30	62.0¢	Ganó
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	$1	88.0¢	Perdió
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	Yes	$1	40.0¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$4	88.2¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$1	62.0¢	Ganó
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?	No	$2	74.0¢	Ganó
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$60	46.4¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$50	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	Yes	$150	73.2¢	Ganó
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?	Yes	$1	68.0¢	Perdió
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	$30	81.5¢	Ganó
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$334	77.5¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 13?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during Greek Independence Day event?	No	$10	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Leavitt say "Call your Democrat" or "Call a Democrat" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	$10	79.6¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?	No	$2.6k	71.1¢	Ganó

Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Greek Independence Day event?Ganó
No$1 @ 73.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Ganó
Yes$300 @ 86.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 2?Ganó
No$85 @ 85.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 40.2¢
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in April 2026 (ET)?Ganó
No$10 @ 86.8¢
Will Trump say "Drug" during Honduran President events?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?Perdió
No$18 @ 73.7¢
UFC Fight Night: Jose Daniel Medina vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Prelims)Ganó
Gandra$1 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 27?Perdió
Yes$94 @ 86.1¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Ganó
Over$10 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?Ganó
No$1000 @ 81.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$100 @ 83.1¢
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?Ganó
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Ganó
No$40 @ 86.5¢
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 18.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 15?Ganó
No$41 @ 78.0¢
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
Yes$208 @ 83.7¢
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Ganó
Yes$18 @ 84.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 78.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)Ganó
Mason Jones$20 @ 58.0¢
Will Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" this week? (April 5)Ganó
No$10 @ 85.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 28.1¢
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Perdió
No$50 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$220 @ 86.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$150 @ 59.3¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$68 @ 85.3¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$30 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Perdió
No$1 @ 17.9¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Ganó
Yes$280 @ 69.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 62.0¢
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Perdió
No$1 @ 88.0¢
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 40.0¢
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 88.2¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?Ganó
No$2 @ 74.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$60 @ 46.4¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Ganó
No$50 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Ganó
Yes$150 @ 73.2¢
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 68.0¢
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 81.5¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Ganó
No$334 @ 77.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 13?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will Trump say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during Greek Independence Day event?Ganó
No$10 @ 88.0¢
Will Leavitt say "Call your Democrat" or "Call a Democrat" during the next White House Press Briefing?Ganó
No$10 @ 79.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Ganó
No$2.6k @ 71.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	No	$310	69.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$300	75.9¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$232	82.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$203	88.9¢
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$179	83.2¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$150	85.2¢
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Cultura	No	$137	85.7¢
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	Cultura	No	$130	79.7¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Política	No	$127	74.6¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$126	29.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$123	71.2¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Política	No	$110	87.9¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$106	82.2¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	No	$101	72.2¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$90	90.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$86	68.4¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$84	79.6¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Política	No	$78	81.2¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$77	66.1¢
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Política	No	$75	75.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$64	74.8¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Cripto	No	$58	65.3¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Cripto	No	$52	62.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$51	76.0¢
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$49	78.4¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	No	$46	76.5¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$45	76.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$45	73.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?	Política	No	$44	53.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$44	70.2¢

Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
No$310 @ 69.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$300 @ 75.9¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$232 @ 82.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Geopolítica
Yes$203 @ 88.9¢
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$179 @ 83.2¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolítica
No$150 @ 85.2¢
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Cultura
No$137 @ 85.7¢
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Cultura
No$130 @ 79.7¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Política
No$127 @ 74.6¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$126 @ 29.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$123 @ 71.2¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Política
No$110 @ 87.9¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Política
No$106 @ 82.2¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
No$101 @ 72.2¢
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$90 @ 90.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$86 @ 68.4¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tecnología
Yes$84 @ 79.6¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Política
No$78 @ 81.2¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Política
No$77 @ 66.1¢
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Política
No$75 @ 75.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Cultura
Yes$64 @ 74.8¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Cripto
No$58 @ 65.3¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Cripto
No$52 @ 62.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$51 @ 76.0¢
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Tecnología
No$49 @ 78.4¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
No$46 @ 76.5¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Política
No$45 @ 76.2¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$45 @ 73.1¢
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Política
No$44 @ 53.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Cultura
Yes$44 @ 70.2¢