0x48f9…e61d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x48f97930ac76cf00a8cc95deea81704f7f08e61d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+8.3pp

ROI

+89%

Tasa de acierto

23% @ 14.5¢

Brier

0.118

Resueltas

422

Tamaño med.

$24

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	9% (2/23)	-83%	23
Other	41% (9/22)	+202%	22
Geopolítica	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Cripto	50% (1/2)	+25%	2

Política23 apuestas
Tasa acierto
9% (2/23)
ROI
-83%
Other22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (9/22)
ROI
+202%
Geopolítica6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+25%

Historial

23% acierto · 12/53

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$166	7.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$871	15.1¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$123	49.0¢	Perdió
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?	No	$11	1.9¢	Perdió
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Yes	$22	3.1¢	Perdió
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?	No	$10	9.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$15	3.7¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$43	1.2¢	Perdió
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	$142	5.6¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$413	6.7¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$273	49.3¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$106	2.6¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$510	72.1¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$57	18.2¢	Perdió
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?	Yes	$1.2k	77.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$54	9.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$91	0.6¢	Perdió
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	$53	2.2¢	Perdió
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Yes	$16	2.2¢	Perdió
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$27	12.3¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$8	0.3¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$1.1k	73.3¢	Ganó
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	$8	3.3¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$42	2.1¢	Perdió
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$40	8.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$835	75.9¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?	Yes	$3	11.8¢	Perdió
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	$27	13.4¢	Perdió
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	$393	6.6¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$11	2.1¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$485	5.5¢	Ganó
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$68	4.2¢	Perdió
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$108	35.0¢	Ganó
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$20	2.8¢	Perdió
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	6.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$89	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.6¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	$769	74.2¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$7	3.3¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$201	17.4¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$14	0.9¢	Perdió
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	$5	2.3¢	Perdió
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$18	1.2¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$290	4.0¢	Perdió
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?	Yes	$31	29.7¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$152	10.1¢	Ganó
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	$28	0.9¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	$3	2.6¢	Perdió
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Yes	$50	9.0¢	Perdió

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Perdió
Yes$166 @ 7.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$871 @ 15.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Perdió
Yes$123 @ 49.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Perdió
No$11 @ 1.9¢
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 3.1¢
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Perdió
No$10 @ 9.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 3.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$43 @ 1.2¢
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Perdió
Yes$142 @ 5.6¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$413 @ 6.7¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$273 @ 49.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$106 @ 2.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$510 @ 72.1¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$57 @ 18.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Ganó
Yes$1.2k @ 77.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Ganó
Yes$54 @ 9.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$91 @ 0.6¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Perdió
Yes$53 @ 2.2¢
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 2.2¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$27 @ 12.3¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$8 @ 0.3¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 73.3¢
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 3.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 2.1¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$835 @ 75.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 11.8¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Perdió
Yes$27 @ 13.4¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Perdió
Yes$393 @ 6.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 2.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$485 @ 5.5¢
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$68 @ 4.2¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$108 @ 35.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 2.8¢
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 6.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$89 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Ganó
No$769 @ 74.2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Perdió
No$7 @ 3.3¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Ganó
Yes$201 @ 17.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 0.9¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Perdió
No$5 @ 2.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$18 @ 1.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$290 @ 4.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 29.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$152 @ 10.1¢
Trump out as President by June 30?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 0.9¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 9.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
US recession by end of 2026?	Economía	Yes	$341	16.3¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Política	Yes	$250	6.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	Yes	$207	13.7¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$177	10.9¢
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	Política	Yes	$120	11.8¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Política	Yes	$113	9.4¢
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$113	3.2¢
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	Política	Yes	$108	11.3¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Política	Yes	$102	51.0¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Política	Yes	$101	8.5¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$73	2.2¢
US military draft authorized in 2026?	Política	Yes	$64	5.4¢
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Política	Yes	$53	5.2¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$50	6.5¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?	—	Yes	$39	7.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	—	No	$35	35.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$31	12.2¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$26	7.5¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$24	8.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Política	No	$18	45.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$15	1.5¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$13	17.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?	Política	Yes	$9	9.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$8	2.7¢

US recession by end of 2026?Economía
Yes$341 @ 16.3¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Política
Yes$250 @ 6.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
Yes$207 @ 13.7¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$177 @ 10.9¢
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Política
Yes$120 @ 11.8¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Política
Yes$113 @ 9.4¢
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Cripto
Yes$113 @ 3.2¢
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Política
Yes$108 @ 11.3¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Política
Yes$102 @ 51.0¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Política
Yes$101 @ 8.5¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$73 @ 2.2¢
US military draft authorized in 2026?Política
Yes$64 @ 5.4¢
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Política
Yes$53 @ 5.2¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Política
Yes$50 @ 6.5¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?—
Yes$39 @ 7.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?—
No$35 @ 35.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Política
Yes$31 @ 12.2¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$26 @ 7.5¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$24 @ 8.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Política
No$18 @ 45.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$15 @ 1.5¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Política
Yes$13 @ 17.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Política
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$8 @ 2.7¢