0x47ab…95df

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x47ab026767cc320ac6e62f6ec747d59cf4d795df
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

RentableFrancotirador

Ventaja

+15.3pp

ROI

+40%

Tasa de acierto

50% @ 34.7¢

Brier

0.192

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

$85

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	50% (9/18)	+17%	18
Other	63% (5/8)	-11%	8
Deportes	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Cripto	100% (2/2)	+51%	2
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Política18 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (9/18)
ROI
+17%
Other8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
63% (5/8)
ROI
-11%
Deportes6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+51%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

46% acierto · 16/35

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$36	1.4¢	Perdió
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	$106	1.7¢	Perdió
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$230	46.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	37.3¢	Ganó
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$120	48.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$2.3k	66.0¢	Ganó
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$432	43.2¢	Perdió
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?	Yes	$825	33.0¢	Perdió
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$215	88.3¢	Ganó
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$643	13.7¢	Perdió
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	$81	7.6¢	Perdió
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	$562	6.1¢	Perdió
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$182	7.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$740	12.3¢	Perdió
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$342	68.5¢	Perdió
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$470	47.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$492	12.3¢	Perdió
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$220	88.0¢	Ganó
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	$144	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?	Yes	$288	85.1¢	Ganó
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$278	37.0¢	Ganó
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$870	69.6¢	Perdió
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$10.0k	84.1¢	Ganó
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$2.2k	89.0¢	Ganó
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$340	38.0¢	Perdió
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$2.4k	80.3¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	$77	15.4¢	Perdió
Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	$149	29.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$814	81.4¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.2k	59.0¢	Ganó
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	$280	56.0¢	Ganó
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	$3.9k	87.4¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$810	81.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.8k	71.8¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$279	27.9¢	Ganó

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 1.4¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Perdió
Yes$106 @ 1.7¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
No$230 @ 46.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 37.3¢
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
Yes$120 @ 48.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$2.3k @ 66.0¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
Yes$432 @ 43.2¢
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?Perdió
Yes$825 @ 33.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Ganó
Yes$215 @ 88.3¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Perdió
Yes$643 @ 13.7¢
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Perdió
Yes$81 @ 7.6¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Perdió
No$562 @ 6.1¢
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
Yes$182 @ 7.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$740 @ 12.3¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
No$342 @ 68.5¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
Yes$470 @ 47.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$492 @ 12.3¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$220 @ 88.0¢
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Perdió
Yes$144 @ 3.0¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?Ganó
Yes$288 @ 85.1¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$278 @ 37.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Perdió
Yes$870 @ 69.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$10.0k @ 84.1¢
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Ganó
Yes$2.2k @ 89.0¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Perdió
Yes$340 @ 38.0¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$2.4k @ 80.3¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?Perdió
No$77 @ 15.4¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Ganó
Yes$149 @ 29.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$814 @ 81.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 59.0¢
Pistons vs. CavaliersGanó
Cavaliers$280 @ 56.0¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Ganó
No$3.9k @ 87.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$810 @ 81.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1.8k @ 71.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$279 @ 27.9¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Política	No	$62.4k	91.5¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?	—	No	$35.0k	98.9¢
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	Política	No	$23.4k	84.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Política	No	$22.2k	98.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	No	$17.7k	87.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Política	No	$14.3k	93.5¢
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	—	Yes	$8.4k	52.4¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Política	Yes	$7.5k	65.9¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	No	$5.6k	18.6¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$4.5k	86.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$3.7k	61.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$3.1k	72.0¢
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	—	No	$2.4k	86.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$2.4k	66.9¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$1.6k	80.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$1.2k	61.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$1.2k	37.9¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$1.1k	22.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$940	47.0¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Política	No	$849	84.9¢
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?	—	No	$663	90.0¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$625	25.0¢
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?	—	Yes	$610	40.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$560	56.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$549	37.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$499	18.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$435	87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$356	49.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	Yes	$355	71.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Política	Yes	$328	74.0¢

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Política
No$62.4k @ 91.5¢
Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?—
No$35.0k @ 98.9¢
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Política
No$23.4k @ 84.7¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Política
No$22.2k @ 98.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
No$17.7k @ 87.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Política
No$14.3k @ 93.5¢
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?—
Yes$8.4k @ 52.4¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Política
Yes$7.5k @ 65.9¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
No$5.6k @ 18.6¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$4.5k @ 86.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$3.7k @ 61.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$3.1k @ 72.0¢
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?—
No$2.4k @ 86.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$2.4k @ 66.9¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Cultura
Yes$1.6k @ 80.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$1.2k @ 61.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$1.2k @ 37.9¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$1.1k @ 22.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$940 @ 47.0¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Política
No$849 @ 84.9¢
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?—
No$663 @ 90.0¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$625 @ 25.0¢
Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?—
Yes$610 @ 40.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$560 @ 56.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$549 @ 37.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$499 @ 18.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$435 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$356 @ 49.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
Yes$355 @ 71.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Política
Yes$328 @ 74.0¢