0x45a3…12f0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x45a39326be48a1209bc9e641a216513cf19512f0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+5.7pp

ROI

+3%

Tasa de acierto

80% @ 74.2¢

Brier

0.140

Resueltas

915

Tamaño med.

$61

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	83% (167/201)	+8%	201
Política	80% (28/35)	-4%	35
Deportes	82% (9/11)	-7%	11
Cripto	78% (7/9)	-8%	9
Geopolítica	88% (7/8)	+16%	8
Economía	83% (5/6)	+77%	6
Tecnología	80% (4/5)	+14%	5
Negocios	100% (1/1)	+26%	1

Other201 apuestas
Tasa acierto
83% (167/201)
ROI
+8%
Política35 apuestas
Tasa acierto
80% (28/35)
ROI
-4%
Deportes11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
82% (9/11)
ROI
-7%
Cripto9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
78% (7/9)
ROI
-8%
Geopolítica8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
88% (7/8)
ROI
+16%
Economía6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
83% (5/6)
ROI
+77%
Tecnología5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
80% (4/5)
ROI
+14%
Negocios1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+26%

Historial

83% acierto · 228/276

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $108 in June?	Yes	$4	4.3¢	Perdió
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	Yes	$219	84.1¢	Ganó
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$160	85.0¢	Ganó
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$10	61.0¢	Perdió
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$10	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?	No	$120	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$132	87.8¢	Ganó
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?	No	$50	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	$29	27.9¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$153	76.0¢	Ganó
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	$44	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$200	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$250	84.5¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	$750	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	No	$52	86.0¢	Ganó
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	$21	5.9¢	Ganó
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?	No	$180	82.3¢	Ganó
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	No	$84	83.6¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?	No	$20	82.3¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$300	72.0¢	Ganó
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by June 30?	No	$107	75.1¢	Ganó
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	$50	84.9¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?	No	$100	82.8¢	Ganó
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	$10	65.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$100	77.0¢	Ganó
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	$400	83.9¢	Ganó
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$30	84.9¢	Perdió
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	$1	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1	65.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$360	88.2¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?	No	$50	81.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	No	$87	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	No	$10	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	$80	88.7¢	Ganó
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?	Yes	$16	75.6¢	Ganó
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of July 13 2026?	No	$254	86.4¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$458	76.1¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$31	5.8¢	Perdió
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	$40	77.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?	No	$20	56.0¢	Perdió
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$60	89.8¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Sumy before October?	Yes	$5	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$50	71.0¢	Ganó
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	$228	77.3¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$100	89.5¢	Ganó
Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?	Yes	$53	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?	No	$536	78.6¢	Ganó
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	$26	82.8¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?	No	$60	89.0¢	Perdió
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$449	87.6¢	Ganó

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $108 in June?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 4.3¢
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Ganó
Yes$219 @ 84.1¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Ganó
No$160 @ 85.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 61.0¢
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026?Ganó
No$120 @ 88.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
No$132 @ 87.8¢
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?Ganó
No$50 @ 85.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Perdió
No$29 @ 27.9¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Ganó
Yes$153 @ 76.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Ganó
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$200 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Ganó
No$250 @ 84.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Ganó
No$750 @ 87.0¢
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Ganó
No$52 @ 86.0¢
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Ganó
Yes$21 @ 5.9¢
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?Ganó
No$180 @ 82.3¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Ganó
No$84 @ 83.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025?Ganó
No$20 @ 82.3¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$300 @ 72.0¢
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by June 30?Ganó
No$107 @ 75.1¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Ganó
No$50 @ 84.9¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?Ganó
No$100 @ 82.8¢
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Ganó
Gold$10 @ 65.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Ganó
No$100 @ 77.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Ganó
Yes$400 @ 83.9¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 84.9¢
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Ganó
No$1 @ 89.0¢
Will Dave & Buster's Entertainment (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
No$1 @ 65.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$360 @ 88.2¢
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?Ganó
No$50 @ 81.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Ganó
No$10 @ 86.0¢
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Ganó
No$80 @ 88.7¢
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?Ganó
Yes$16 @ 75.6¢
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of July 13 2026?Ganó
No$254 @ 86.4¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$458 @ 76.1¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 5.8¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Ganó
No$40 @ 77.0¢
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?Perdió
No$20 @ 56.0¢
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?Ganó
Yes$60 @ 89.8¢
Will Russia capture Sumy before October?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 5.0¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Ganó
Yes$50 @ 71.0¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Ganó
Yes$228 @ 77.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$100 @ 89.5¢
Will Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?Ganó
Yes$53 @ 89.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?Ganó
No$536 @ 78.6¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Ganó
Yes$26 @ 82.8¢
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?Perdió
No$60 @ 89.0¢
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$449 @ 87.6¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$600	84.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$500	95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Cripto	No	$300	96.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$300	84.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Política	No	$298	99.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$222	55.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$200	71.0¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$184	92.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$180	60.1¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Economía	Yes	$180	90.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$80	80.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$57	78.3¢
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$56	56.0¢
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	Cripto	$60	$54	77.3¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$50	84.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$49	65.7¢
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?	Cripto	No	$38	81.4¢
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Política	Yes	$20	20.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$16	82.0¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$600 @ 84.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Política
No$500 @ 95.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Cripto
No$300 @ 96.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$300 @ 84.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Política
No$298 @ 99.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$222 @ 55.6¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$200 @ 71.0¢
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$184 @ 92.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$180 @ 60.1¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economía
Yes$180 @ 90.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$57 @ 78.3¢
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$56 @ 56.0¢
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?Cripto
$60$54 @ 77.3¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolítica
No$50 @ 84.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$49 @ 65.7¢
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?Cripto
No$38 @ 81.4¢
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Política
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$16 @ 82.0¢