0x44c1…ebc1

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

-3.5pp

ROI

+7%

Tasa de acierto

27% @ 30.8¢

Brier

0.118

Resueltas

3181

Tamaño med.

$892

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	48% (84/174)	-12%	174
Other	35% (26/74)	-14%	74
Geopolítica	33% (6/18)	-25%	18
Cultura	46% (6/13)	-31%	13
Deportes	25% (3/12)	-97%	12
Tecnología	75% (3/4)	+47%	4
Ciencia	50% (2/4)	-58%	4
Cripto	67% (2/3)	+11%	3

Política174 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (84/174)
ROI
-12%
Other74 apuestas
Tasa acierto
35% (26/74)
ROI
-14%
Geopolítica18 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (6/18)
ROI
-25%
Cultura13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
46% (6/13)
ROI
-31%
Deportes12 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (3/12)
ROI
-97%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+47%
Ciencia4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
-58%
Cripto3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+11%

Historial

44% acierto · 132/302

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	Yes	$41	70.0¢	Ganó
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?	Yes	$6	1.5¢	Perdió
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$23	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	$8	79.9¢	Ganó
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$1.1k	2.2¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$25.7k	38.5¢	Perdió
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	$16.6k	31.5¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$8.4k	81.0¢	Perdió
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?	Yes	$27	9.2¢	Perdió
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	No	$232	63.1¢	Perdió
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$1.0k	65.8¢	Ganó
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$8.6k	34.6¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$49.3k	68.7¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$647	5.7¢	Perdió
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	No	$2	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$439	1.9¢	Perdió
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$27.3k	31.4¢	Perdió
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$23.6k	61.7¢	Ganó
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$4.4k	53.3¢	Ganó
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$1.7k	38.6¢	Perdió
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?	No	$4	42.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$909	0.5¢	Perdió
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$51.9k	86.5¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$490	0.7¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$656	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?	Yes	$1	19.6¢	Perdió
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$1.5k	12.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September?	Yes	$109	58.2¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$52	33.9¢	Perdió
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	$379	30.3¢	Perdió
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?	Yes	$2	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?	No	$2.1k	82.9¢	Ganó
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$3	0.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$10.2k	59.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?	Yes	$45	83.3¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$136	68.0¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$14.1k	37.5¢	Ganó
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	No	$267	54.8¢	Ganó
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	Yes	$693	47.7¢	Perdió
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$49.6k	81.3¢	Ganó
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	$32	28.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$1.4k	69.8¢	Perdió
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$64	1.6¢	Perdió
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	No	$1.8k	82.9¢	Ganó
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	$200	10.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$249	20.0¢	Ganó
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	$19	3.4¢	Perdió
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	$410	86.8¢	Ganó
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	$9	82.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$43.1k	87.6¢	Ganó

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Ganó
Yes$41 @ 70.0¢
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 1.5¢
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 0.1¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Ganó
No$8 @ 79.9¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 2.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$25.7k @ 38.5¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Perdió
No$16.6k @ 31.5¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$8.4k @ 81.0¢
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 2?Perdió
Yes$27 @ 9.2¢
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Perdió
No$232 @ 63.1¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 65.8¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Perdió
Yes$8.6k @ 34.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$49.3k @ 68.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$647 @ 5.7¢
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Ganó
No$2 @ 87.0¢
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Perdió
Yes$439 @ 1.9¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Perdió
No$27.3k @ 31.4¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Ganó
Yes$23.6k @ 61.7¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Ganó
No$4.4k @ 53.3¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 38.6¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?Perdió
No$4 @ 42.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$909 @ 0.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$51.9k @ 86.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$490 @ 0.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$656 @ 0.7¢
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 19.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Perdió
Yes$1.5k @ 12.7¢
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in September?Ganó
Yes$109 @ 58.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Perdió
Yes$52 @ 33.9¢
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Perdió
Yes$379 @ 30.3¢
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$2.1k @ 82.9¢
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Perdió
No$3 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Perdió
No$10.2k @ 59.5¢
Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?Perdió
Yes$45 @ 83.3¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Perdió
No$136 @ 68.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Ganó
Yes$14.1k @ 37.5¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Ganó
No$267 @ 54.8¢
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Perdió
Yes$693 @ 47.7¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$49.6k @ 81.3¢
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Perdió
No$32 @ 28.0¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 69.8¢
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Perdió
No$64 @ 1.6¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Ganó
No$1.8k @ 82.9¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 10.5¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$249 @ 20.0¢
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Perdió
No$19 @ 3.4¢
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ganó
Yes$410 @ 86.8¢
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 82.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$43.1k @ 87.6¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$47.1k	12.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$18.9k	22.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$9.1k	14.8¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Política	Yes	$7.0k	82.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Política	Yes	$6.9k	23.7¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$6.2k	25.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Política	Yes	$6.2k	20.7¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$5.0k	40.4¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Política	No	$4.8k	94.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Política	No	$3.9k	24.4¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$3.1k	34.9¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Política	Yes	$2.5k	39.2¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Geopolítica	Yes	$2.5k	6.7¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	Yes	$2.5k	56.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Política	Yes	$2.0k	67.2¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Política	Yes	$1.8k	40.7¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Política	No	$1.4k	93.2¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Política	Yes	$1.4k	33.8¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Política	Yes	$1.3k	22.3¢
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Geopolítica	Yes	$1.3k	7.6¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	Yes	$1.0k	37.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Política	Yes	$999	8.2¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$853	80.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Geopolítica	Yes	$696	25.8¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Política	Yes	$688	18.4¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Deportes	Yes	$663	32.4¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$571	30.8¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?	Política	Yes	$490	19.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	No	$468	34.9¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$394	13.1¢

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$47.1k @ 12.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$18.9k @ 22.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$9.1k @ 14.8¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Política
Yes$7.0k @ 82.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Política
Yes$6.9k @ 23.7¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$6.2k @ 25.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Política
Yes$6.2k @ 20.7¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$5.0k @ 40.4¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Política
No$4.8k @ 94.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Política
No$3.9k @ 24.4¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$3.1k @ 34.9¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Política
Yes$2.5k @ 39.2¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Geopolítica
Yes$2.5k @ 6.7¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
Yes$2.5k @ 56.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Política
Yes$2.0k @ 67.2¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Política
Yes$1.8k @ 40.7¢
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Política
No$1.4k @ 93.2¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Política
Yes$1.4k @ 33.8¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Política
Yes$1.3k @ 22.3¢
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Geopolítica
Yes$1.3k @ 7.6¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
Yes$1.0k @ 37.7¢
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Política
Yes$999 @ 8.2¢
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$853 @ 80.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolítica
Yes$696 @ 25.8¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Política
Yes$688 @ 18.4¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Deportes
Yes$663 @ 32.4¢
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$571 @ 30.8¢
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Política
Yes$490 @ 19.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
No$468 @ 34.9¢
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$394 @ 13.1¢