0x43cb…84df

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x43cb4ae1f4ddc9e671486c79c9f40a6fd98b84df
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+2.0pp

ROI

+6%

Tasa de acierto

36% @ 34.0¢

Brier

0.134

Resueltas

4243

Tamaño med.

$16

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Ciencia	25% (1459/5831)	-2%	5831
Other	14% (471/3436)	+9%	3436
Política	29% (274/958)	+2%	958
Deportes	42% (252/607)	+2%	607
Cultura	24% (63/267)	+2%	267
Economía	18% (37/209)	+3%	209
Tecnología	21% (42/200)	+8%	200
Geopolítica	17% (19/109)	+1%	109
Cripto	4% (1/25)	-37%	25
Negocios	15% (3/20)	+6%	20

Ciencia5831 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1459/5831)
ROI
-2%
Other3436 apuestas
Tasa acierto
14% (471/3436)
ROI
+9%
Política958 apuestas
Tasa acierto
29% (274/958)
ROI
+2%
Deportes607 apuestas
Tasa acierto
42% (252/607)
ROI
+2%
Cultura267 apuestas
Tasa acierto
24% (63/267)
ROI
+2%
Economía209 apuestas
Tasa acierto
18% (37/209)
ROI
+3%
Tecnología200 apuestas
Tasa acierto
21% (42/200)
ROI
+8%
Geopolítica109 apuestas
Tasa acierto
17% (19/109)
ROI
+1%
Cripto25 apuestas
Tasa acierto
4% (1/25)
ROI
-37%
Negocios20 apuestas
Tasa acierto
15% (3/20)
ROI
+6%

Historial

22% acierto · 2621/11662

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	$8	1.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 8?	Yes	$0	4.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?	Yes	$7	74.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	No	$7	35.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 8?	Yes	$9	88.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on November 3?	No	$3	50.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on November 3?	Yes	$5	48.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 3?	No	$6	57.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on November 8?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Perdió
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on November 4?	No	$12	47.4¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on November 4?	Yes	$1	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$5	4.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 8?	Yes	$1	2.8¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.8¢	Perdió
Will two or more regions tie for the most teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	$11	35.1¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	$20	78.4¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	$86	16.6¢	Perdió
McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?	No	$8	39.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3?	No	$5	49.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on November 5?	No	$1	69.1¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on November 5?	Yes	$0	2.9¢	Ganó
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	No	$36	36.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 6?	No	$3	59.6¢	Ganó
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	$13	67.0¢	Perdió
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Ben Shelton	$143	21.7¢	Perdió
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Perdió
Will UKMTO publish 16 or more notices between October 26-November 1?	Yes	$1	2.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 10°C on November 9?	No	$0	81.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on November 6?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	$24	33.3¢	Perdió
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	No	$0	65.2¢	Ganó
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?	Yes	$2	1.2¢	Perdió
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Perdió
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 6?	No	$2	20.0¢	Perdió
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Perdió
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	$65	54.1¢	Ganó
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	$46	19.2¢	Perdió
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?	No	$5	85.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 10?	Yes	$0	3.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 7?	Yes	$0	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?	No	$59	49.0¢	Ganó
Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	No	$59	16.7¢	Perdió
Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	$168	65.4¢	Ganó
Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Perdió
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	No	$66	57.4¢	Ganó
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on November 8?Ganó
Yes$0 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?Perdió
No$7 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 8?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on November 3?Perdió
No$3 @ 50.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on November 3?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 3?Perdió
No$6 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on November 8?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on November 4?Ganó
No$12 @ 47.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on November 4?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 8?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
Will two or more regions tie for the most teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 35.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Ganó
No$20 @ 78.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?Perdió
Yes$86 @ 16.6¢
McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?Perdió
No$8 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on November 3?Perdió
No$5 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on November 5?Perdió
No$1 @ 69.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on November 5?Ganó
Yes$0 @ 2.9¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Ganó
No$36 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 6?Ganó
No$3 @ 59.6¢
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?Perdió
No$13 @ 67.0¢
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazPerdió
Ben Shelton$143 @ 21.7¢
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will UKMTO publish 16 or more notices between October 26-November 1?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 10°C on November 9?Ganó
No$0 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on November 6?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Perdió
Yes$24 @ 33.3¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?Ganó
No$0 @ 65.2¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePerdió
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 6?Perdió
No$2 @ 20.0¢
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageGanó
Karmine Corp$65 @ 54.1¢
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StagePerdió
Movistar KOI$46 @ 19.2¢
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Ganó
No$5 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on November 10?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 3.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 3?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on November 7?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.8¢
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?Ganó
No$59 @ 49.0¢
Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?Perdió
No$59 @ 16.7¢
Will Bilibili Gaming Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?Ganó
Yes$168 @ 65.4¢
Will UKMTO publish 4-7 notices between October 26-November 1?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?Ganó
No$66 @ 57.4¢
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$25.0k	50.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	No	$25.0k	50.0¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$3.0k	58.3¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$1.9k	36.9¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.7k	65.1¢
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Política	Yes	$943	29.6¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tecnología	No	$577	96.0¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Política	Yes	$423	72.0¢
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Cripto	No	$99	99.1¢
Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Cripto	No	$99	99.0¢
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Cripto	No	$96	96.0¢
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Cripto	No	$87	87.0¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$84	93.1¢
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$66	1.3¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Política	Yes	$55	57.1¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Negocios	Yes	$16	2.6¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?	Cripto	No	$15	15.0¢
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Política	Yes	$14	14.5¢
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Política	Yes	$7	7.0¢
Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Política	Yes	$6	6.5¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?	Política	Yes	$6	31.2¢
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Política	Yes	$5	4.7¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$4	5.0¢
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Política	Yes	$4	4.0¢
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?	Política	Yes	$4	18.0¢
Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Política	Yes	$1	0.9¢
Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Política	Yes	$1	0.8¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be 6,500,000 or more?	Política	Yes	$0	1.4¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 4,000,000 and 4,500,000?	Política	Yes	$0	1.2¢

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$25.0k @ 50.0¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
No$25.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tecnología
Yes$3.0k @ 58.3¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tecnología
Yes$1.9k @ 36.9¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Política
Yes$1.7k @ 65.1¢
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Política
Yes$943 @ 29.6¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tecnología
No$577 @ 96.0¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Política
Yes$423 @ 72.0¢
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Cripto
No$99 @ 99.1¢
Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Cripto
No$99 @ 99.0¢
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Cripto
No$96 @ 96.0¢
Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Cripto
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$84 @ 93.1¢
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tecnología
Yes$66 @ 1.3¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Política
Yes$55 @ 57.1¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Negocios
Yes$16 @ 2.6¢
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Cripto
No$15 @ 15.0¢
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Política
Yes$14 @ 14.5¢
Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Política
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Stefan Krkobabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Política
Yes$6 @ 6.5¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Política
Yes$6 @ 31.2¢
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Política
Yes$5 @ 4.7¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tecnología
Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Política
Yes$4 @ 4.0¢
Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?Política
Yes$4 @ 18.0¢
Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.9¢
Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Política
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be 6,500,000 or more?Política
Yes$0 @ 1.4¢
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 4,000,000 and 4,500,000?Política
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢