0x41a3…8d0d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x41a3346801ae39c2c5b0d9fe40ca8a3abf038d0d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+29.7pp

ROI

+59%

Tasa de acierto

77% @ 46.9¢

Brier

0.223

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

$54

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	73% (11/15)	+79%	15
Política	71% (5/7)	+48%	7
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+72%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+52%	1

Other15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
73% (11/15)
ROI
+79%
Política7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (5/7)
ROI
+48%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+72%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+52%

Historial

75% acierto · 18/24

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$194	48.5¢	Ganó
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$100	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$10	1.5¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$100	50.0¢	Ganó
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?	Yes	$36	36.0¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$20	30.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$58	58.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$65	65.0¢	Ganó
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$173	57.7¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$70	70.0¢	Ganó
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	$100	46.2¢	Ganó
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$41	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	$67	67.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$98	31.7¢	Ganó
OpenAI social app in 2025?	No	$50	27.0¢	Perdió
OpenAI social app in 2025?	Yes	$50	76.0¢	Ganó
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$100	59.0¢	Ganó
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	$5	5.8¢	Perdió
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$101	73.3¢	Ganó
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$50	24.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	$85	42.5¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$100	57.8¢	Ganó
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?	Yes	$100	35.0¢	Ganó

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$194 @ 48.5¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Ganó
No$100 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Ganó
Yes$36 @ 36.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 30.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$58 @ 58.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$65 @ 65.0¢
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$173 @ 57.7¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$70 @ 70.0¢
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 46.2¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Ganó
Yes$41 @ 66.0¢
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Ganó
No$67 @ 67.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$98 @ 31.7¢
OpenAI social app in 2025?Perdió
No$50 @ 27.0¢
OpenAI social app in 2025?Ganó
Yes$50 @ 76.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Ganó
No$100 @ 59.0¢
Seeker FDV above $200M one day after launch?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 5.8¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$101 @ 73.3¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 24.3¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Ganó
No$85 @ 42.5¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 57.8¢
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 35.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Política	No	$138	69.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$120	38.7¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$105	70.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$100	43.1¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Negocios	No	$94	18.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$68	34.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$55	55.0¢

Will Trump and Putin not meet?Política
No$138 @ 69.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$120 @ 38.7¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$105 @ 70.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$100 @ 43.1¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Negocios
No$94 @ 18.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$68 @ 34.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Política
No$55 @ 55.0¢