0x40cf…d21d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.6pp

ROI

+49%

Tasa de acierto

33% @ 28.9¢

Brier

0.174

Resueltas

3869

Tamaño med.

$125

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	41% (68/164)	+63%	164
Other	36% (40/112)	+18%	112
Geopolítica	41% (7/17)	-59%	17
Deportes	50% (2/4)	+199%	4
Ciencia	100% (1/1)	+48%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+62%	1
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+92%	1
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+457%	1

Política164 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (68/164)
ROI
+63%
Other112 apuestas
Tasa acierto
36% (40/112)
ROI
+18%
Geopolítica17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (7/17)
ROI
-59%
Deportes4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
+199%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+48%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+62%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+92%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+457%

Historial

40% acierto · 121/301

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$531	35.4¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	4.2¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$350	70.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$364	26.4¢	Ganó
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?	Yes	$1.4k	89.1¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$3.1k	79.8¢	Ganó
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	$1.0k	67.7¢	Ganó
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$148	59.0¢	Ganó
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	$160	32.0¢	Perdió
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	$11	81.0¢	Ganó
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$304	14.4¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.9k	13.4¢	Perdió
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$9.7k	35.1¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$513	19.3¢	Perdió
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$1.2k	15.4¢	Perdió
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$2.7k	53.1¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	$8	1.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?	Yes	$3	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	Yes	$12.2k	76.1¢	Ganó
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	Yes	$20	41.0¢	Ganó
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$450	9.0¢	Ganó
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$765	35.7¢	Perdió
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	$12	21.0¢	Perdió
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$340	68.0¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$671	72.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$279	30.9¢	Perdió
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$316	41.4¢	Perdió
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$3.1k	61.0¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.1k	79.0¢	Ganó
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Perdió
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?	Yes	$5	22.0¢	Perdió
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)	LOS	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$300	30.0¢	Ganó
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	$1.2k	30.3¢	Perdió
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$10	52.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$751	75.0¢	Ganó
Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	$5	0.4¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$130	86.0¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$157	11.2¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$1.5k	75.5¢	Ganó
Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Perdió
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$57	81.4¢	Ganó
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	$144	16.8¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	$1.4k	77.2¢	Ganó
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$979	34.7¢	Perdió
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	No	$1.9k	80.3¢	Ganó
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$481	48.1¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$222	33.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$301	7.5¢	Ganó
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$158	9.3¢	Perdió

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Perdió
Yes$531 @ 35.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 4.2¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Perdió
No$350 @ 70.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Ganó
Yes$364 @ 26.4¢
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 89.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Ganó
No$3.1k @ 79.8¢
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 67.7¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Ganó
No$148 @ 59.0¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Perdió
No$160 @ 32.0¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Ganó
No$11 @ 81.0¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Perdió
Yes$304 @ 14.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3.9k @ 13.4¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$9.7k @ 35.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$513 @ 19.3¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$1.2k @ 15.4¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Ganó
No$2.7k @ 53.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 17?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Ganó
Yes$12.2k @ 76.1¢
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 41.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Ganó
No$450 @ 9.0¢
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Perdió
No$765 @ 35.7¢
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 21.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Ganó
Yes$340 @ 68.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$671 @ 72.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$279 @ 30.9¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$316 @ 41.4¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Ganó
Yes$3.1k @ 61.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.1k @ 79.0¢
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 22.0¢
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)Perdió
LOS$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Ganó
Yes$300 @ 30.0¢
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Perdió
Yes$1.2k @ 30.3¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Ganó
No$10 @ 52.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$751 @ 75.0¢
Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$130 @ 86.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Perdió
Yes$157 @ 11.2¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 75.5¢
Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$57 @ 81.4¢
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?Perdió
Yes$144 @ 16.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 77.2¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Perdió
No$979 @ 34.7¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Ganó
No$1.9k @ 80.3¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Perdió
Yes$481 @ 48.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Perdió
No$222 @ 33.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Ganó
Yes$301 @ 7.5¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$158 @ 9.3¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$21.6k	86.3¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$18.6k	93.2¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$10.0k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$10.0k	50.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$8.6k	85.6¢
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?	Política	Yes	$8.0k	93.8¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Política	No	$7.6k	87.2¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$7.5k	25.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	No	$7.3k	52.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Política	No	$4.7k	83.7¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$4.6k	73.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$4.1k	81.5¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Cultura	No	$3.8k	64.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$3.8k	84.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$3.6k	45.0¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Política	No	$2.9k	95.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.8k	56.8¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Cultura	No	$2.2k	87.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$2.1k	69.8¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$2.0k	67.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$2.0k	67.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.9k	31.2¢
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1.8k	86.3¢
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1.7k	75.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$1.6k	33.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	No	$1.6k	78.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$1.4k	28.0¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$1.4k	71.8¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Política	No	$1.3k	83.7¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1.1k	3.4¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Política
No$21.6k @ 86.3¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Política
No$18.6k @ 93.2¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$10.0k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$10.0k @ 50.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Política
No$8.6k @ 85.6¢
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Política
Yes$8.0k @ 93.8¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Política
No$7.6k @ 87.2¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$7.5k @ 25.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
No$7.3k @ 52.1¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolítica
No$4.7k @ 83.7¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolítica
No$4.6k @ 73.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
Yes$4.1k @ 81.5¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Cultura
No$3.8k @ 64.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$3.8k @ 84.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$3.6k @ 45.0¢
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?Política
No$2.9k @ 95.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$2.8k @ 56.8¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Cultura
No$2.2k @ 87.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Geopolítica
No$2.1k @ 69.8¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Geopolítica
No$2.0k @ 67.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$2.0k @ 67.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$1.9k @ 31.2¢
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1.8k @ 86.3¢
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1.7k @ 75.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$1.6k @ 33.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
No$1.6k @ 78.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$1.4k @ 28.0¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Cripto
No$1.4k @ 71.8¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Política
No$1.3k @ 83.7¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1.1k @ 3.4¢