0x3f41…9979

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3f41732df5afa542082d9878fa94a9f19e769979
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+15.5pp

ROI

+34%

Tasa de acierto

57% @ 41.8¢

Brier

0.194

Resueltas

408

Tamaño med.

$54

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	48% (16/33)	+36%	33
Ciencia	48% (15/31)	+52%	31
Política	35% (7/20)	-73%	20
Geopolítica	23% (3/13)	-77%	13
Tecnología	75% (3/4)	+15%	4
Cultura	100% (2/2)	+12%	2

Other33 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (16/33)
ROI
+36%
Ciencia31 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (15/31)
ROI
+52%
Política20 apuestas
Tasa acierto
35% (7/20)
ROI
-73%
Geopolítica13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
23% (3/13)
ROI
-77%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+15%
Cultura2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+12%

Historial

45% acierto · 46/103

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	No	$894	72.0¢	Perdió
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$11	37.3¢	Ganó
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $6B?	Yes	$20	89.9¢	Ganó
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	$620	31.5¢	Perdió
Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 11, 2026?	No	$32	72.1¢	Ganó
Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 11, 2026?	Yes	$40	32.6¢	Perdió
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?	No	$92	22.4¢	Perdió
Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?	No	$434	73.3¢	Ganó
Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?	Yes	$293	26.1¢	Perdió
Will JD Vance say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during his rally in North Carolina?	No	$8	16.0¢	Ganó
Will JD Vance say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during his rally in North Carolina?	Yes	$27	48.9¢	Perdió
Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	No	$250	33.5¢	Perdió
Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	$1.6k	45.4¢	Ganó
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	No	$384	68.3¢	Perdió
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	$625	34.7¢	Ganó
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?	Yes	$458	77.0¢	Ganó
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?	Yes	$25	80.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?	Yes	$15	74.0¢	Ganó
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?	No	$43	78.0¢	Ganó
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	$489	28.7¢	Perdió
Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 12, 2026?	Yes	$0	6.0¢	Ganó
Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?	No	$28	54.0¢	Ganó
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	$1.0k	67.2¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24?	Yes	$8	40.0¢	Ganó
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	Yes	$21	26.5¢	Perdió
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	20.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$65	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 24, 2026?	Yes	$14	25.0¢	Perdió
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026?	Yes	$52	30.0¢	Perdió
Will Stompgoat & Mingo Win the Jynxzi Fortnite Tournament?	No	$73	60.7¢	Ganó
Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Perdió
Will Hong Kong have 700mm or more of precipitation in August?	No	$20	38.4¢	Ganó
Will Seoul have between 75-100mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	$5	0.9¢	Perdió
Will the earnings call not air?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Perdió
Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in September?	No	$401	82.9¢	Ganó
Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	$147	13.4¢	Perdió
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?	Yes	$18	25.0¢	Ganó
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?	No	$9	36.9¢	Perdió
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?	Yes	$26	61.5¢	Ganó
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	Yes	$128	27.0¢	Perdió
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Perdió
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$42	43.0¢	Perdió
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 8, 2026?	Yes	$31	56.3¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony?	No	$181	86.0¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast hit 140.5 billion views by September 30?	Yes	$8	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	$39	74.0¢	Ganó
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	$546	26.3¢	Perdió
Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Perdió

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Perdió
No$894 @ 72.0¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Ganó
No$11 @ 37.3¢
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $6B?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 89.9¢
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?Perdió
Yes$620 @ 31.5¢
Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 11, 2026?Ganó
No$32 @ 72.1¢
Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 11, 2026?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 32.6¢
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Perdió
No$92 @ 22.4¢
Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?Ganó
No$434 @ 73.3¢
Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September?Perdió
Yes$293 @ 26.1¢
Will JD Vance say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during his rally in North Carolina?Ganó
No$8 @ 16.0¢
Will JD Vance say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during his rally in North Carolina?Perdió
Yes$27 @ 48.9¢
Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?Perdió
No$250 @ 33.5¢
Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?Ganó
Yes$1.6k @ 45.4¢
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?Perdió
No$384 @ 68.3¢
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?Ganó
Yes$625 @ 34.7¢
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30?Ganó
Yes$458 @ 77.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Ganó
Yes$25 @ 80.0¢
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 74.0¢
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?Ganó
No$43 @ 78.0¢
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?Perdió
Yes$489 @ 28.7¢
Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 12, 2026?Ganó
Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
Tropical Storm Fay strengthens to a hurricane?Ganó
No$28 @ 54.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Perdió
Yes$1.0k @ 67.2¢
Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 24?Ganó
Yes$8 @ 40.0¢
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 26.5¢
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Ganó
Yes$65 @ 67.0¢
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 24, 2026?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 25.0¢
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$52 @ 30.0¢
Will Stompgoat & Mingo Win the Jynxzi Fortnite Tournament?Ganó
No$73 @ 60.7¢
Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in August?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Will Hong Kong have 700mm or more of precipitation in August?Ganó
No$20 @ 38.4¢
Will Seoul have between 75-100mm of precipitation in September?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in September?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 0.9¢
Will the earnings call not air?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will London have between 60-70mm of precipitation in September?Ganó
No$401 @ 82.9¢
Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in August?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?Perdió
Yes$147 @ 13.4¢
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?Ganó
Yes$18 @ 25.0¢
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?Perdió
No$9 @ 36.9¢
Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?Ganó
Yes$26 @ 61.5¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$128 @ 27.0¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 43.0¢
Ukraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 8, 2026?Ganó
Yes$31 @ 56.3¢
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony?Ganó
No$181 @ 86.0¢
Will MrBeast hit 140.5 billion views by September 30?Ganó
Yes$8 @ 89.0¢
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?Ganó
No$39 @ 74.0¢
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?Perdió
Yes$546 @ 26.3¢
Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in August?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	Yes	$821	54.2¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	Cultura	No	$622	43.3¢
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$421	26.1¢
Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	No	$342	74.3¢
Will Seoul have between 30-40mm of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	No	$262	73.0¢
Will Seattle have more than 6 inches of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	No	$230	81.6¢
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	Yes	$150	60.3¢
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?	Política	Yes	$120	61.5¢
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$66	55.5¢
Will London have 110mm or more of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	No	$48	87.6¢
Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	No	$47	92.0¢
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?	Tecnología	No	$11	52.0¢
Will London have between 35-45mm of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	Yes	$8	8.4¢
Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	Yes	$6	9.3¢
Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?	Política	Yes	$4	44.0¢
Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	Yes	$1	5.7¢
Will Chen Kai-huang win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?	Política	Yes	$0	1.0¢
Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?	Ciencia	Yes	$0	1.0¢

Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?Ciencia
Yes$821 @ 54.2¢
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Cultura
No$622 @ 43.3¢
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?Tecnología
Yes$421 @ 26.1¢
Will Seoul have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?Ciencia
No$342 @ 74.3¢
Will Seoul have between 30-40mm of precipitation in October?Ciencia
No$262 @ 73.0¢
Will Seattle have more than 6 inches of precipitation in October?Ciencia
No$230 @ 81.6¢
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Ciencia
Yes$150 @ 60.3¢
Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Política
Yes$120 @ 61.5¢
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Tecnología
No$66 @ 55.5¢
Will London have 110mm or more of precipitation in October?Ciencia
No$48 @ 87.6¢
Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?Ciencia
No$47 @ 92.0¢
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Tecnología
No$11 @ 52.0¢
Will London have between 35-45mm of precipitation in October?Ciencia
Yes$8 @ 8.4¢
Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?Ciencia
Yes$6 @ 9.3¢
Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?Política
Yes$4 @ 44.0¢
Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?Ciencia
Yes$1 @ 5.7¢
Will Chen Kai-huang win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Política
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Seoul have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?Ciencia
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢