0x3f3b…1d77

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3f3bfc6d754e416699793901ffb12ddeee9f1d77
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.5pp

ROI

+12%

Tasa de acierto

42% @ 35.8¢

Brier

0.118

Resueltas

3256

Tamaño med.

$147

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	33% (66/203)	+10%	203
Política	50% (6/12)	+31%	12
Cripto	0% (0/8)	-100%	8
Economía	60% (3/5)	+115%	5
Tecnología	33% (1/3)	+6%	3
Ciencia	100% (1/1)	+24%	1
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+1150%	1

Other203 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (66/203)
ROI
+10%
Política12 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (6/12)
ROI
+31%
Cripto8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/8)
ROI
-100%
Economía5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (3/5)
ROI
+115%
Tecnología3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
+6%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+24%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1150%

Historial

33% acierto · 78/233

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the December meeting?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Perdió
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?	Yes	$84	12.5¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$50	5.0¢	Perdió
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$340	68.0¢	Perdió
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?	Yes	$4.7k	78.6¢	Ganó
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	$40	4.0¢	Perdió
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?	Yes	$186	15.2¢	Ganó
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	$44	88.6¢	Ganó
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	Yes	$15	6.1¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	No	$295	12.7¢	Perdió
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	Yes	$520	59.7¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Perdió
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.5k	59.0¢	Ganó
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	No	$943	75.1¢	Ganó
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	Yes	$1.6k	7.7¢	Perdió
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$3	6.9¢	Perdió
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Patriots	$1.9k	32.0¢	Perdió
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$13.6k	68.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$712	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?	Yes	$108	2.8¢	Perdió
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in December?	Yes	$4	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?	No	$11	84.0¢	Ganó
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$15	13.5¢	Perdió
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	Yes	$7	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?	Yes	$8	24.0¢	Perdió
Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?	No	$294	81.0¢	Ganó
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	$395	4.6¢	Perdió
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$255	51.0¢	Perdió
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.2k	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	$2.5k	53.6¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?	Yes	$47	2.1¢	Perdió
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?	Yes	$13	87.0¢	Ganó
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$714	7.0¢	Perdió
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?	Yes	$3.7k	28.0¢	Ganó
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$2.7k	88.8¢	Ganó
Will "MUTT - Leon Thomas" win Best R&B Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$200	89.0¢	Ganó
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$28	1.4¢	Perdió
Will "Abracadabra - Lady Gaga" win Best Dance Pop Recording at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	$96	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	$870	87.0¢	Ganó
Fight to Go the Distance?	No	$2	65.0¢	Ganó
Will the New England Patriots win the Super Bowl?	Yes	$3.2k	32.0¢	Perdió
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?	Yes	$5	1.0¢	Perdió
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$28	11.0¢	Perdió
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?	No	$19	5.2¢	Perdió
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	$202	66.4¢	Ganó
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	$375	8.4¢	Perdió
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	No	$407	5.2¢	Perdió
ETH flipped in 2025?	Yes	$4	0.7¢	Perdió

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the December meeting?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?Perdió
Yes$84 @ 12.5¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 5.0¢
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$340 @ 68.0¢
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Ganó
Yes$4.7k @ 78.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 4.0¢
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?Ganó
Yes$186 @ 15.2¢
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?Ganó
Yes$44 @ 88.6¢
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 6.1¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Perdió
No$295 @ 12.7¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Ganó
Yes$520 @ 59.7¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.5k @ 59.0¢
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Ganó
No$943 @ 75.1¢
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Perdió
Yes$1.6k @ 7.7¢
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?Perdió
No$3 @ 6.9¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsPerdió
Patriots$1.9k @ 32.0¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsGanó
Seahawks$13.6k @ 68.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Perdió
No$712 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?Perdió
Yes$108 @ 2.8¢
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in December?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 14.0¢
Will Denver face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?Ganó
No$11 @ 84.0¢
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 13.5¢
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 5.0¢
Will Diego Pavia win the Heisman Trophy?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 24.0¢
Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?Ganó
No$294 @ 81.0¢
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Perdió
Yes$395 @ 4.6¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$255 @ 51.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.2k @ 66.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Perdió
No$2.5k @ 53.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 2.1¢
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?Ganó
Yes$13 @ 87.0¢
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?Perdió
Yes$714 @ 7.0¢
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?Ganó
Yes$3.7k @ 28.0¢
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
Yes$2.7k @ 88.8¢
Will "MUTT - Leon Thomas" win Best R&B Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Ganó
Yes$200 @ 89.0¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 1.4¢
Will "Abracadabra - Lady Gaga" win Best Dance Pop Recording at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?Ganó
Yes$96 @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Ganó
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Fight to Go the Distance?Ganó
No$2 @ 65.0¢
Will the New England Patriots win the Super Bowl?Perdió
Yes$3.2k @ 32.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 11.0¢
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$19 @ 5.2¢
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ganó
No$202 @ 66.4¢
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Perdió
Yes$375 @ 8.4¢
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Perdió
No$407 @ 5.2¢
ETH flipped in 2025?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 0.7¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Política	No	$20.8k	73.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	No	$13.9k	49.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$10.6k	34.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$8.3k	35.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$5.9k	19.7¢
Negative GDP growth in 2026?	Economía	No	$5.8k	87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$5.5k	19.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$4.6k	15.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$4.6k	29.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$4.1k	31.7¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$2.9k	34.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Política	No	$2.7k	90.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$2.5k	24.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tecnología	No	$2.5k	78.2¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$2.3k	46.7¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Política	Yes	$2.0k	24.7¢
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?	Política	No	$1.9k	91.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$1.8k	22.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	No	$1.7k	15.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$1.7k	13.0¢
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Cultura	No	$1.6k	68.4¢
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$1.4k	69.1¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$1.2k	45.3¢
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$923	92.3¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$806	91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	No	$733	46.5¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Tecnología	Yes	$696	15.5¢
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	Política	Yes	$650	15.1¢
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$574	92.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$523	7.6¢

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Política
No$20.8k @ 73.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
No$13.9k @ 49.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$10.6k @ 34.2¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$8.3k @ 35.8¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$5.9k @ 19.7¢
Negative GDP growth in 2026?Economía
No$5.8k @ 87.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$5.5k @ 19.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$4.6k @ 15.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Política
No$4.6k @ 29.1¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$4.1k @ 31.7¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$2.9k @ 34.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Política
No$2.7k @ 90.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$2.5k @ 24.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tecnología
No$2.5k @ 78.2¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$2.3k @ 46.7¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Política
Yes$2.0k @ 24.7¢
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Política
No$1.9k @ 91.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$1.8k @ 22.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
No$1.7k @ 15.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tecnología
Yes$1.7k @ 13.0¢
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Cultura
No$1.6k @ 68.4¢
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Cultura
Yes$1.4k @ 69.1¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$1.2k @ 45.3¢
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$923 @ 92.3¢
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$806 @ 91.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
No$733 @ 46.5¢
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tecnología
Yes$696 @ 15.5¢
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Política
Yes$650 @ 15.1¢
Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Política
No$574 @ 92.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
Yes$523 @ 7.6¢