0x3eae…5e6d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3eae62bde2d83aba0fe84018921b2693ec645e6d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+12.8pp

ROI

+15%

Tasa de acierto

83% @ 70.2¢

Brier

0.124

Resueltas

217

Tamaño med.

$91

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	70% (28/40)	+14%	40
Other	56% (15/27)	-11%	27
Geopolítica	100% (7/7)	+18%	7
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+19%	1

Política40 apuestas
Tasa acierto
70% (28/40)
ROI
+14%
Other27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
56% (15/27)
ROI
-11%
Geopolítica7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (7/7)
ROI
+18%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%

Historial

68% acierto · 51/75

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$86	86.0¢	Ganó
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	$137	42.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$752	68.4¢	Ganó
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$181	81.0¢	Ganó
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	$117	78.0¢	Ganó
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	No	$545	44.0¢	Perdió
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$19	4.2¢	Perdió
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$81	81.4¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$662	77.8¢	Ganó
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes	$139	60.3¢	Ganó
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$589	74.2¢	Ganó
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$43	56.2¢	Perdió
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	No	$85	77.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$198	85.6¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$1.4k	58.2¢	Ganó
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	$386	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$2.3k	86.1¢	Ganó
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$473	79.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.2k	87.7¢	Ganó
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	$530	86.7¢	Ganó
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$688	76.5¢	Ganó
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	Yes	$1.0k	83.4¢	Ganó
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	$712	78.4¢	Ganó
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$133	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?	Yes	$280	70.0¢	Ganó
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?	Yes	$26	25.0¢	Perdió
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$140	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$73	80.0¢	Ganó
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?	Yes	$168	84.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$178	40.0¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$82	41.0¢	Perdió
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$1.1k	73.4¢	Ganó
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	No	$483	47.5¢	Ganó
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$434	84.4¢	Ganó
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$57	11.0¢	Perdió
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$273	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	$364	81.0¢	Ganó
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	$297	89.2¢	Ganó
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	$64	43.0¢	Perdió
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$727	85.1¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$164	81.9¢	Perdió
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	$10	2.9¢	Perdió
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	No	$929	80.5¢	Ganó
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$947	64.3¢	Perdió
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	$134	67.6¢	Ganó
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	$297	81.1¢	Ganó
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	$25	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	No	$94	47.0¢	Perdió
Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	$66	33.0¢	Perdió
Will Leavitt say "Commander" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	$99	67.5¢	Perdió

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Ganó
Yes$86 @ 86.0¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Perdió
Yes$137 @ 42.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$752 @ 68.4¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$181 @ 81.0¢
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Ganó
Yes$117 @ 78.0¢
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Perdió
No$545 @ 44.0¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$19 @ 4.2¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Ganó
No$81 @ 81.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$662 @ 77.8¢
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?Ganó
Yes$139 @ 60.3¢
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
No$589 @ 74.2¢
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?Perdió
Yes$43 @ 56.2¢
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?Ganó
No$85 @ 77.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$198 @ 85.6¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 58.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$386 @ 87.0¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Ganó
Yes$2.3k @ 86.1¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$473 @ 79.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 87.7¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Ganó
Yes$530 @ 86.7¢
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Ganó
Yes$688 @ 76.5¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 83.4¢
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Ganó
No$712 @ 78.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Perdió
Yes$133 @ 3.0¢
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Ganó
Yes$280 @ 70.0¢
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 25.0¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$140 @ 7.0¢
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Ganó
Yes$73 @ 80.0¢
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?Ganó
Yes$168 @ 84.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$178 @ 40.0¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$82 @ 41.0¢
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
No$1.1k @ 73.4¢
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Ganó
No$483 @ 47.5¢
Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
No$434 @ 84.4¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$57 @ 11.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$273 @ 83.0¢
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Ganó
Yes$364 @ 81.0¢
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$297 @ 89.2¢
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?Perdió
Yes$64 @ 43.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Ganó
Yes$727 @ 85.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Perdió
No$164 @ 81.9¢
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 2.9¢
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Ganó
No$929 @ 80.5¢
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Perdió
Yes$947 @ 64.3¢
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?Ganó
Yes$134 @ 67.6¢
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Ganó
No$297 @ 81.1¢
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?Ganó
Yes$25 @ 87.0¢
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Perdió
No$94 @ 47.0¢
Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House press briefing?Perdió
Yes$66 @ 33.0¢
Will Leavitt say "Commander" during the next White House press briefing?Perdió
Yes$99 @ 67.5¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$9.6k	92.5¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	No	$7.1k	97.5¢
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	No	$5.0k	96.8¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Política	No	$3.4k	89.8¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Política	No	$2.7k	94.3¢
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	—	No	$2.0k	96.3¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$1.8k	88.7¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Política	Yes	$1.7k	79.6¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Política	No	$1.4k	93.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	No	$1.3k	87.1¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$1.0k	90.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	No	$962	96.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$550	55.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	Yes	$331	75.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$326	17.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$266	86.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	—	No	$264	66.0¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Política	No	$228	91.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$220	44.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$140	42.2¢
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?	Política	Yes	$125	59.1¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$124	3.4¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$106	33.0¢
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?	Política	No	$103	65.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$82	4.1¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$77	33.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	No	$67	67.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Política	Yes	$66	24.0¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$59	0.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Política	No	$36	64.0¢

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Política
No$9.6k @ 92.5¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
No$7.1k @ 97.5¢
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
No$5.0k @ 96.8¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?Política
No$3.4k @ 89.8¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Política
No$2.7k @ 94.3¢
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?—
No$2.0k @ 96.3¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$1.8k @ 88.7¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Política
Yes$1.7k @ 79.6¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Política
No$1.4k @ 93.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
No$1.3k @ 87.1¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolítica
No$1.0k @ 90.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
No$962 @ 96.2¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$550 @ 55.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
Yes$331 @ 75.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$326 @ 17.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$266 @ 86.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?—
No$264 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Política
No$228 @ 91.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$220 @ 44.0¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$140 @ 42.2¢
Will the Republican Party win the SC-06 House seat?Política
Yes$125 @ 59.1¢
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$124 @ 3.4¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$106 @ 33.0¢
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?Política
No$103 @ 65.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$82 @ 4.1¢
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$77 @ 33.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
No$67 @ 67.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Política
Yes$66 @ 24.0¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$59 @ 0.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Política
No$36 @ 64.0¢