0x3e5d…a2e6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x3e5d5497e450231e58e1afab803791636560a2e6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+15.8pp

ROI

+53%

Tasa de acierto

62% @ 45.8¢

Brier

0.276

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

$55

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	47% (7/15)	+75%	15
Política	71% (5/7)	+1%	7
Deportes	100% (2/2)	+30%	2
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other15 apuestas
Tasa acierto
47% (7/15)
ROI
+75%
Política7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (5/7)
ROI
+1%
Deportes2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+30%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Historial

60% acierto · 15/25

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$350	75.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$100	70.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 7?	Yes	$3	8.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$408	18.3¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$100	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$101	80.0¢	Ganó
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	$53	68.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$100	83.0¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$128	85.0¢	Ganó
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	Nuggets	$33	76.0¢	Ganó
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$50	79.1¢	Ganó
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	Yes	$44	62.1¢	Ganó
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31	73.7¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	Yes	$50	53.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$25	60.0¢	Ganó
Kings vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$67	67.0¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	$100	82.0¢	Ganó
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$500	69.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	68.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	$261	74.4¢	Ganó
Grizzlies vs. Knicks	Grizzlies	$7	7.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$50	60.0¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$17	30.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$100	81.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	Yes	$80	4.7¢	Perdió

Will the government shutdown end November 12?Perdió
Yes$350 @ 75.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$100 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 7?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 8.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$408 @ 18.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$100 @ 85.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$101 @ 80.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Perdió
No$53 @ 68.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$100 @ 83.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Ganó
No$128 @ 85.0¢
Nuggets vs. GrizzliesGanó
Nuggets$33 @ 76.0¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Ganó
Yes$50 @ 79.1¢
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Ganó
Yes$44 @ 62.1¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$31 @ 73.7¢
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 53.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$25 @ 60.0¢
Kings vs. CanadiensPerdió
Canadiens$67 @ 67.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Ganó
No$100 @ 82.0¢
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Ganó
Yes$500 @ 69.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 68.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$261 @ 74.4¢
Grizzlies vs. KnicksPerdió
Grizzlies$7 @ 7.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$50 @ 60.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Ganó
Yes$17 @ 30.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Perdió
No$100 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?Perdió
Yes$80 @ 4.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$125	92.0¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Política	No	$74	92.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$50	79.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$50	71.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$50	65.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	Política	Yes	$9	87.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Política	No	$2	90.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$125 @ 92.0¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?Política
No$74 @ 92.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Política
Yes$50 @ 79.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$50 @ 71.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$50 @ 65.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Política
Yes$9 @ 87.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Política
No$2 @ 90.0¢