← Dinero inteligente
0x3c34…3d3e
RentableVentaja
+20.2pp
ROI
+51%
Tasa de acierto
62% @ 41.9¢
Brier
0.249
Resueltas
58
Tamaño med.
$10
Especialización por esfera
| Esfera | Tasa acierto | ROI | Apuestas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Política | 86% (6/7) | +57% | 7 |
| Other | 100% (2/2) | +149% | 2 |
| Geopolítica | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Política7 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 86% (6/7)
- ROI
- +57%
- Other2 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +149%
- Geopolítica1 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Historial
80% acierto · 8/10| Mercado | Resultado | Tamaño | Entrada | Resultado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | No | $40 | 66.0¢ | Ganó |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | No | $83 | 26.5¢ | Perdió |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | No | $78 | 74.5¢ | Ganó |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | No | $80 | 64.6¢ | Ganó |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | No | $60 | 54.0¢ | Ganó |
| Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | Yes | $50 | 38.3¢ | Ganó |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | No | $39 | 43.5¢ | Ganó |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | No | $40 | 43.0¢ | Ganó |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | No | $59 | 29.6¢ | Ganó |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | Yes | $73 | 35.8¢ | Perdió |
- No$40 @ 66.0¢
- No$83 @ 26.5¢
- No$78 @ 74.5¢
- No$80 @ 64.6¢
- No$60 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 38.3¢
- No$39 @ 43.5¢
- No$40 @ 43.0¢
- No$59 @ 29.6¢
- Yes$73 @ 35.8¢
Operaciones recientes
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Posiciones actuales
| Mercado | Esfera | Resultado | Tamaño | Entrada |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Geopolítica | No | $79 | 50.0¢ |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Política | No | $79 | 59.7¢ |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Geopolítica | Yes | $64 | 47.2¢ |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Política | No | $58 | 69.2¢ |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | Geopolítica | Yes | $47 | 21.2¢ |
| Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | Geopolítica | Yes | $34 | 39.0¢ |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30? | Geopolítica | Yes | $20 | 23.2¢ |
| Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Geopolítica | Yes | $4 | 8.3¢ |
- No$79 @ 50.0¢
- No$79 @ 59.7¢
- Iran full airspace closure by December 31?GeopolíticaYes$64 @ 47.2¢
- No$58 @ 69.2¢
- Yes$47 @ 21.2¢
- Yes$34 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 23.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 8.3¢