0x39d0…4fe8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x39d0f1dca6fb7e5514858c1a337724a426764fe8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+8.1pp

ROI

+14%

Tasa de acierto

57% @ 48.8¢

Brier

0.207

Resueltas

4800

Tamaño med.

$67

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	59% (52/88)	+20%	88
Geopolítica	69% (27/39)	+6%	39
Other	43% (15/35)	-17%	35
Deportes	50% (3/6)	-50%	6
Cripto	75% (3/4)	+121%	4
Tecnología	33% (1/3)	+119%	3
Economía	100% (1/1)	+46%	1

Política88 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (52/88)
ROI
+20%
Geopolítica39 apuestas
Tasa acierto
69% (27/39)
ROI
+6%
Other35 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (15/35)
ROI
-17%
Deportes6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (3/6)
ROI
-50%
Cripto4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (3/4)
ROI
+121%
Tecnología3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
+119%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+46%

Historial

58% acierto · 102/176

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	No	$26	32.5¢	Perdió
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	No	$1.7k	49.7¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$75	18.6¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.4k	9.4¢	Perdió
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	No	$36	72.7¢	Ganó
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$266	75.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$10.8k	22.8¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$295	34.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?	Yes	$38	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	No	$1.0k	75.3¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$3.7k	65.8¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$638	61.8¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$165	40.7¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$48	78.0¢	Ganó
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	No	$170	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$48	88.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$79	2.6¢	Perdió
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$98	40.8¢	Perdió
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	49.0¢	Ganó
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	$1.6k	34.0¢	Ganó
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	$112	25.7¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	$1.4k	77.3¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$96	32.1¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$3.2k	84.4¢	Ganó
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	$181	60.3¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$805	67.2¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$39	71.9¢	Ganó
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$370	50.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?	Yes	$460	76.7¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$4.6k	74.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$6.1k	35.1¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?	No	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?	Yes	$122	81.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$446	46.8¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$40	35.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$2.3k	27.5¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.6k	21.2¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$204	11.3¢	Perdió
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$5.7k	72.7¢	Ganó
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	$31	34.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?	No	$252	65.3¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$6.8k	29.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$1.5k	50.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	$108	10.0¢	Perdió
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	$103	49.3¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$2.9k	50.8¢	Perdió
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$181	82.5¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$113	51.3¢	Perdió
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	$38	38.2¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	$7.4k	77.4¢	Ganó

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Perdió
No$26 @ 32.5¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Perdió
No$1.7k @ 49.7¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Perdió
Yes$75 @ 18.6¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 9.4¢
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$36 @ 72.7¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$266 @ 75.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$10.8k @ 22.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$295 @ 34.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Ganó
Yes$38 @ 75.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Perdió
No$1.0k @ 75.3¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$3.7k @ 65.8¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$638 @ 61.8¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$165 @ 40.7¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$48 @ 78.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$48 @ 88.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$79 @ 2.6¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Perdió
No$98 @ 40.8¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 49.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 34.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Perdió
Yes$112 @ 25.7¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 77.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Ganó
Yes$96 @ 32.1¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$3.2k @ 84.4¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Perdió
No$181 @ 60.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Ganó
Yes$805 @ 67.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Ganó
Yes$39 @ 71.9¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Ganó
Yes$370 @ 50.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Ganó
Yes$460 @ 76.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$4.6k @ 74.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$6.1k @ 35.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Perdió
No$1 @ 8.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Ganó
Yes$122 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Ganó
No$446 @ 46.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 35.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2.3k @ 27.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 21.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$204 @ 11.3¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Ganó
No$5.7k @ 72.7¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Perdió
No$31 @ 34.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$252 @ 65.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6.8k @ 29.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Ganó
Yes$1.5k @ 50.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Perdió
Yes$108 @ 10.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Perdió
Yes$103 @ 49.3¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Perdió
No$2.9k @ 50.8¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Ganó
Yes$181 @ 82.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$113 @ 51.3¢
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Perdió
No$38 @ 38.2¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Ganó
No$7.4k @ 77.4¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$16.9k	70.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$4.2k	61.8¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$3.1k	70.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$2.4k	87.4¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Política	No	$1.4k	67.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$1.4k	71.3¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$689	70.4¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$489	49.9¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$382	63.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	No	$276	69.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Política	Yes	$197	37.8¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$192	16.9¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$143	71.5¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$16.9k @ 70.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$4.2k @ 61.8¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$3.1k @ 70.8¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$2.4k @ 87.4¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Política
No$1.4k @ 67.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$1.4k @ 71.3¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
No$689 @ 70.4¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Política
Yes$489 @ 49.9¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$382 @ 63.7¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
No$276 @ 69.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Política
Yes$197 @ 37.8¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$192 @ 16.9¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Geopolítica
No$143 @ 71.5¢