0x392a…262d

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x392ae2a1fbc20cc1be679958f4a8809c8b49262d
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+9.4pp

ROI

+8%

Tasa de acierto

58% @ 48.2¢

Brier

0.196

Resueltas

785

Tamaño med.

$71

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	53% (52/99)	+3%	99
Other	48% (35/73)	+15%	73
Geopolítica	48% (14/29)	+34%	29

Política99 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (52/99)
ROI
+3%
Other73 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (35/73)
ROI
+15%
Geopolítica29 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (14/29)
ROI
+34%

Historial

50% acierto · 101/201

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	No	$76	76.0¢	Ganó
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	No	$100	80.5¢	Ganó
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$8	42.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$336	32.4¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	$234	29.2¢	Perdió
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	$60	20.0¢	Perdió
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	$30	75.3¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$20	12.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$260	65.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$35	11.7¢	Perdió
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$410	38.6¢	Perdió
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$128	32.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$31	52.0¢	Perdió
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$25	12.3¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$70	35.0¢	Perdió
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	No	$72	36.0¢	Ganó
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	$36	36.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	$9	44.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	$914	51.5¢	Ganó
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$180	69.2¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$58	29.0¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$185	36.8¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$1.3k	80.1¢	Ganó
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$87	34.8¢	Perdió
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	$3	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	$507	79.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?	No	$207	69.0¢	Ganó
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	No	$16	80.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$976	61.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$520	60.5¢	Ganó
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$124	9.7¢	Perdió
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$40	40.0¢	Ganó
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$44	36.8¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$10	3.1¢	Perdió
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	$12	81.0¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$59	23.7¢	Ganó
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$30	10.0¢	Perdió
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$612	69.5¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$163	11.7¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$3	7.7¢	Perdió
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	$129	38.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$1.9k	69.9¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$214	13.4¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	$141	47.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$216	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$35	33.6¢	Perdió
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	No	$118	59.0¢	Ganó
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$6	28.0¢	Perdió

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Ganó
No$76 @ 76.0¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Ganó
No$100 @ 80.5¢
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 42.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$336 @ 32.4¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$234 @ 29.2¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?Perdió
No$60 @ 20.0¢
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 75.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$260 @ 65.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$35 @ 11.7¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$410 @ 38.6¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$128 @ 32.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 52.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$25 @ 12.3¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Perdió
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Ganó
No$72 @ 36.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 36.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Perdió
No$9 @ 44.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Ganó
No$914 @ 51.5¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$180 @ 69.2¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$58 @ 29.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$185 @ 36.8¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Ganó
Yes$1.3k @ 80.1¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$87 @ 34.8¢
Will Putin visit China by May 31?Perdió
No$3 @ 15.0¢
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Ganó
Yes$507 @ 79.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?Ganó
No$207 @ 69.0¢
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?Perdió
No$16 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$976 @ 61.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$520 @ 60.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Perdió
Yes$124 @ 9.7¢
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$40 @ 40.0¢
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$44 @ 36.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 3.1¢
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Ganó
No$12 @ 81.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Ganó
Yes$59 @ 23.7¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$30 @ 10.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$612 @ 69.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$163 @ 11.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 7.7¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Ganó
No$129 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$1.9k @ 69.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$214 @ 13.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Ganó
No$141 @ 47.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Ganó
No$216 @ 72.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$35 @ 33.6¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Ganó
No$118 @ 59.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 28.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$1.0k	55.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$1.0k	56.7¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Política	Yes	$917	63.5¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$836	59.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Política	No	$827	78.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$816	54.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	No	$740	74.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$716	59.3¢
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Política	Yes	$624	49.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Política	No	$596	71.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Política	No	$504	77.6¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$328	50.3¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	Política	No	$264	64.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Política	No	$240	60.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$211	52.7¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$205	68.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$174	58.0¢
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$142	28.2¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$135	67.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$66	66.0¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Política	No	$64	74.5¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Política	No	$26	46.3¢
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	Política	Yes	$24	79.0¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$12	63.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$9	2.9¢
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	Yes	$7	7.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	No	$5	9.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	Yes	$5	53.2¢
Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election?	Política	Yes	$3	5.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$1	65.0¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$1.0k @ 55.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$1.0k @ 56.7¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Política
Yes$917 @ 63.5¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$836 @ 59.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Política
No$827 @ 78.4¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$816 @ 54.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
No$740 @ 74.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Política
No$716 @ 59.3¢
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Política
Yes$624 @ 49.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Política
No$596 @ 71.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Política
No$504 @ 77.6¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Política
No$328 @ 50.3¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?Política
No$264 @ 64.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Política
No$240 @ 60.0¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$211 @ 52.7¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Política
Yes$205 @ 68.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$174 @ 58.0¢
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$142 @ 28.2¢
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$135 @ 67.5¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$66 @ 66.0¢
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Política
No$64 @ 74.5¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Política
No$26 @ 46.3¢
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?Política
Yes$24 @ 79.0¢
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$12 @ 63.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Geopolítica
Yes$9 @ 2.9¢
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026?Geopolítica
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
No$5 @ 9.0¢
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
Yes$5 @ 53.2¢
Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election?Política
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$1 @ 65.0¢