← Dinero inteligente
0x300c…6a92
ExpertoVentaja
+4.4pp
ROI
+12%
Tasa de acierto
42% @ 37.5¢
Brier
0.155
Resueltas
1058
Tamaño med.
$33
Tendencia ROI
Especialización por esfera
| Esfera | Tasa acierto | ROI | Apuestas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (62/125) | +17% | 125 |
| Deportes | 44% (41/93) | +43% | 93 |
| Política | 35% (25/72) | +5% | 72 |
| Geopolítica | 46% (19/41) | -8% | 41 |
| Tecnología | 42% (13/31) | +1% | 31 |
- Other125 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 50% (62/125)
- ROI
- +17%
- Deportes93 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 44% (41/93)
- ROI
- +43%
- Política72 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 35% (25/72)
- ROI
- +5%
- Geopolítica41 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 46% (19/41)
- ROI
- -8%
- Tecnología31 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 42% (13/31)
- ROI
- +1%
Historial
44% acierto · 160/362- Yes$77 @ 16.8¢
- No$87 @ 28.9¢
- Argentina$289 @ 69.2¢
- Switzerland$145 @ 13.9¢
- Yes$73 @ 59.0¢
- No$410 @ 81.9¢
- Yes$75 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$86 @ 85.4¢
- Yes$346 @ 50.4¢
- No$70 @ 58.9¢
- Yes$27 @ 49.9¢
- Yes$124 @ 24.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- No$35 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 14.0¢
- No$11 @ 3.7¢
- No$2 @ 17.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 78.3¢
- Yes$181 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$68 @ 61.7¢
- Yes$151 @ 40.8¢
- No$49 @ 48.0¢
- No$35 @ 53.2¢
- Yes$50 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$26 @ 20.1¢
- Colombia$13 @ 42.0¢
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)PerdióUzbekistan$50 @ 60.8¢
- No$2 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$181 @ 28.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$63 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$252 @ 83.8¢
- No$15 @ 14.7¢
- No$104 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$142 @ 27.0¢
- No$68 @ 17.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 6.3¢
- No$74 @ 38.3¢
- Yes$40 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$61 @ 37.1¢
- No$4 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 12.7¢
- No$230 @ 58.2¢
- No$8 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$459 @ 78.5¢
- No$101 @ 23.1¢
Operaciones recientes
en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenarCargando operaciones recientes…
Posiciones actuales
- Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?TecnologíaNo$277 @ 72.2¢
- Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026?TecnologíaNo$186 @ 77.9¢
- Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?TecnologíaNo$162 @ 81.8¢
- No$142 @ 39.3¢
- No$138 @ 91.9¢
- Discord IPO before 2027?NegociosYes$120 @ 39.1¢
- Yes$95 @ 43.8¢
- Yes$81 @ 74.0¢
- Will Françoise Faverjon-Fortin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?PolíticaYes$74 @ 38.4¢
- No$72 @ 89.8¢
- Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$61 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$57 @ 37.9¢
- Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?TecnologíaNo$54 @ 86.9¢
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?PolíticaYes$51 @ 51.0¢
- Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?TecnologíaNo$47 @ 73.0¢
- Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TecnologíaYes$45 @ 17.8¢
- Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?TecnologíaNo$43 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$42 @ 66.7¢
- Yes$42 @ 63.5¢
- Yes$39 @ 66.2¢
- No$37 @ 40.3¢
- No$36 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$35 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$30 @ 16.1¢
- No$30 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 42.8¢
- No$23 @ 58.0¢
- No$22 @ 81.0¢