0x2c03…0d7e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2c033798e002158361fa1e6c344acb4828320d7e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+33.3pp

ROI

+69%

Tasa de acierto

80% @ 47.0¢

Brier

0.277

Resueltas

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	50% (8/16)	+80%	16
Deportes	50% (3/6)	-14%	6
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+32%	1
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+22%	1

Política16 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (8/16)
ROI
+80%
Deportes6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (3/6)
ROI
-14%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+32%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%

Historial

54% acierto · 13/24

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?	No	$17	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?	Yes	$2	12.0¢	Perdió
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	$83	88.0¢	Ganó
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	$2	6.4¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$20	81.8¢	Ganó
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	$1	10.0¢	Perdió
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	No	$16	54.0¢	Perdió
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	$46	56.3¢	Ganó
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	$46	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$31	75.8¢	Ganó
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$12	17.3¢	Perdió
KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo vs. PAOK BC	KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo	$3	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	$42	55.0¢	Perdió
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$19	20.0¢	Perdió
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	No	$78	80.1¢	Ganó
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	$5	26.0¢	Perdió
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$6	61.8¢	Ganó
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$5	19.9¢	Ganó
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	$10	81.9¢	Ganó
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	$3	59.0¢	Perdió
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$245	34.4¢	Ganó
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$19	63.0¢	Ganó
Will Peter Newman finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	Yes	$6	60.0¢	Perdió
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Yes	$10	80.0¢	Ganó

Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?Ganó
No$17 @ 84.0¢
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Ganó
No$83 @ 88.0¢
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 6.4¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$20 @ 81.8¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Perdió
No$16 @ 54.0¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Ganó
Yes$46 @ 56.3¢
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?Ganó
No$46 @ 82.0¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$31 @ 75.8¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 17.3¢
KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo vs. PAOK BCPerdió
KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo$3 @ 15.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Perdió
No$42 @ 55.0¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$19 @ 20.0¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Ganó
No$78 @ 80.1¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 61.8¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 19.9¢
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Ganó
No$10 @ 81.9¢
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 59.0¢
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$245 @ 34.4¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
No$19 @ 63.0¢
Will Peter Newman finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 60.0¢
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 80.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Política	Yes	$117	98.9¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?	Política	No	$103	93.8¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Política	No	$97	82.8¢
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?	Política	Yes	$57	91.3¢
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?	Política	Yes	$45	89.0¢
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$37	73.0¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?	Política	Yes	$34	21.9¢
Will Geoffrey Pyatt be the next US Ambassador to Greece?	Política	No	$24	81.0¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?	Política	Yes	$24	23.8¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?	Política	Yes	$22	17.9¢
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	No	$19	96.6¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Política	No	$17	97.1¢
Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?	Política	Yes	$13	6.2¢
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?	Deportes	Yes	$2	6.0¢

Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Política
Yes$117 @ 98.9¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?Política
No$103 @ 93.8¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Política
No$97 @ 82.8¢
Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?Política
Yes$57 @ 91.3¢
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Política
Yes$45 @ 89.0¢
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Deportes
Yes$37 @ 73.0¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?Política
Yes$34 @ 21.9¢
Will Geoffrey Pyatt be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Política
No$24 @ 81.0¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?Política
Yes$24 @ 23.8¢
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?Política
Yes$22 @ 17.9¢
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
No$19 @ 96.6¢
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Política
No$17 @ 97.1¢
Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Política
Yes$13 @ 6.2¢
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Deportes
Yes$2 @ 6.0¢