0x2b4a…7bd0

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2b4a27cfef5364a9d56b3d47cab76897c78f7bd0
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+5.6pp

ROI

+22%

Tasa de acierto

32% @ 26.3¢

Brier

0.149

Resueltas

317

Tamaño med.

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	48% (13/27)	+10%	27
Política	25% (6/24)	+4%	24
Geopolítica	20% (1/5)	-63%	5
Deportes	50% (1/2)	-31%	2
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+275%	1

Other27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (13/27)
ROI
+10%
Política24 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (6/24)
ROI
+4%
Geopolítica5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
20% (1/5)
ROI
-63%
Deportes2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-31%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+275%

Historial

37% acierto · 22/59

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$4	79.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$22	74.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$36	14.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$10	48.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$30	14.3¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$6	72.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	No	$0	1.2¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$22	61.7¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$20	26.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$1	89.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$35	26.6¢	Ganó
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	Yes	$6	13.5¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Perdió
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$0	4.1¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$6	1.4¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$3	10.1¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$9	10.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$24	50.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$79	38.9¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$12	28.5¢	Perdió
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?	No	$3	82.0¢	Ganó
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$4	86.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	No	$20	74.0¢	Ganó
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Gokhan Saricam	$3	59.0¢	Ganó
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$0	3.6¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$1	28.6¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$0	5.1¢	Perdió
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	12.6¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$21	26.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$4	6.8¢	Perdió
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	No	$0	2.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$3	11.0¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	$1	25.0¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	$3	68.0¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	$2	4.9¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	$0	1.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	$13	63.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$4	8.0¢	Perdió
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	$1	1.9¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$1	7.0¢	Perdió
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$4	85.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$4	55.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$22	49.1¢	Perdió
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	$6	10.2¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$2	6.9¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	$7	72.0¢	Ganó

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Ganó
No$4 @ 79.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$22 @ 74.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 14.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$10 @ 48.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 14.3¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Ganó
No$6 @ 72.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?Perdió
No$0 @ 1.2¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$22 @ 61.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 26.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 89.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$35 @ 26.6¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 13.5¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 4.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 1.4¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Ganó
Yes$3 @ 10.1¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 10.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$24 @ 50.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$79 @ 38.9¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$12 @ 28.5¢
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?Ganó
No$3 @ 82.0¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Ganó
No$20 @ 74.0¢
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)Ganó
Gokhan Saricam$3 @ 59.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Perdió
No$0 @ 3.6¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 28.6¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 5.1¢
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 12.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 26.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 6.8¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Perdió
No$0 @ 2.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 11.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Ganó
No$3 @ 68.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 4.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Iran leadership change by April 30?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$13 @ 63.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 7.0¢
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 85.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$4 @ 55.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 49.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Perdió
No$6 @ 10.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 6.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Ganó
No$7 @ 72.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Trump out as President by June 30?	Política	No	$80	98.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Geopolítica	No	$48	99.6¢
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	Política	No	$21	99.2¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Política	No	$13	99.1¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Política	No	$8	93.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	Yes	$8	76.0¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Geopolítica	No	$7	99.5¢
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	Cultura	No	$7	99.2¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Política	No	$6	96.5¢
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	Política	No	$5	99.1¢
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?	Política	No	$4	99.8¢
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	Cultura	No	$3	94.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$3	94.0¢
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?	Política	No	$2	98.7¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Política	Yes	$2	35.0¢
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by June 30, 2026?	—	No	$1	99.3¢
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	Política	No	$1	99.4¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Geopolítica	No	$1	99.1¢
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Tecnología	No	$1	99.5¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$1	13.7¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	No	$1	25.0¢
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	Geopolítica	No	$1	99.2¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Política	No	$1	97.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Política	No	$1	55.3¢

Trump out as President by June 30?Política
No$80 @ 98.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Geopolítica
No$48 @ 99.6¢
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?Política
No$21 @ 99.2¢
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Política
No$13 @ 99.1¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Política
No$8 @ 93.0¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
Yes$8 @ 76.0¢
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Geopolítica
No$7 @ 99.5¢
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? Cultura
No$7 @ 99.2¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Política
No$6 @ 96.5¢
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?Política
No$5 @ 99.1¢
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?Política
No$4 @ 99.8¢
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Cultura
No$3 @ 94.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Política
No$3 @ 94.0¢
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?Política
No$2 @ 98.7¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Política
Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by June 30, 2026?—
No$1 @ 99.3¢
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?Política
No$1 @ 99.4¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Geopolítica
No$1 @ 99.1¢
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Tecnología
No$1 @ 99.5¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$1 @ 13.7¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
No$1 @ 25.0¢
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Geopolítica
No$1 @ 99.2¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Política
No$1 @ 97.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Política
No$1 @ 55.3¢