0x2aac…a718

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2aaca6dcf0797a39821994cc528bfdd4eebfa718
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

-12.8pp

ROI

+84%

Tasa de acierto

20% @ 33.0¢

Brier

0.247

Resueltas

500

Tamaño med.

$142

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	26% (5/19)	-94%	19
Other	32% (6/19)	+121%	19
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Política19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
26% (5/19)
ROI
-94%
Other19 apuestas
Tasa acierto
32% (6/19)
ROI
+121%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

28% acierto · 11/39

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?	Yes	$713	3.5¢	Perdió
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$192	4.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	29.2¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	Yes	$1.1k	7.8¢	Perdió
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$11.0k	87.5¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$905	29.6¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$145	17.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$364	17.0¢	Perdió
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$7	9.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Ganó
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$126	89.7¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$1.1k	15.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	55.4¢	Perdió
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$178	4.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$2.7k	3.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	Yes	$410	68.3¢	Perdió
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	$767	45.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$3.5k	27.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$634	51.1¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$3.6k	60.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$1.0k	10.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	Yes	$80	40.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$4.1k	27.1¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$14	87.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.8k	11.6¢	Perdió
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?	Yes	$17	57.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$8.9k	69.9¢	Perdió
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$240	48.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	$295	31.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$6.8k	19.4¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$5.1k	86.6¢	Perdió
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	41.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	Yes	$1.4k	17.1¢	Perdió
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	Yes	$68	68.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$4.4k	35.1¢	Perdió
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?	Yes	$40	40.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	$1.5k	20.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	$884	49.0¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	$3.7k	40.5¢	Perdió

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?Perdió
Yes$713 @ 3.5¢
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$192 @ 4.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 29.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 7.8¢
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$11.0k @ 87.5¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$905 @ 29.6¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$145 @ 17.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$364 @ 17.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 9.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$126 @ 89.7¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 15.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.9k @ 55.4¢
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$178 @ 4.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Ganó
Yes$2.7k @ 3.6¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Perdió
Yes$410 @ 68.3¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Perdió
Yes$767 @ 45.0¢
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.5k @ 27.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$634 @ 51.1¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$3.6k @ 60.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 10.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$80 @ 40.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Ganó
Yes$4.1k @ 27.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 87.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.8k @ 11.6¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 57.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$8.9k @ 69.9¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$240 @ 48.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Perdió
Yes$295 @ 31.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6.8k @ 19.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Perdió
Yes$5.1k @ 86.6¢
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$8 @ 41.0¢
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 17.1¢
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Perdió
Yes$68 @ 68.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$4.4k @ 35.1¢
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Perdió
Yes$1.5k @ 20.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Perdió
Yes$884 @ 49.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Perdió
Yes$3.7k @ 40.5¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.8k	16.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.1k	24.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Política	Yes	$818	27.3¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?	Política	Yes	$319	3.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?Política
Yes$1.8k @ 16.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Política
Yes$1.1k @ 24.0¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Política
Yes$818 @ 27.3¢
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?Política
Yes$319 @ 3.5¢