0x296b…2cf2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x296bd652f74deac6a8bd9bcb04265f3a65fd2cf2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+17.0pp

ROI

+31%

Tasa de acierto

54% @ 36.9¢

Brier

0.241

Resueltas

1524

Tamaño med.

$92

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	37% (94/253)	+8%	253
Política	55% (12/22)	+190%	22
Deportes	31% (4/13)	+24%	13

Other253 apuestas
Tasa acierto
37% (94/253)
ROI
+8%
Política22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
55% (12/22)
ROI
+190%
Deportes13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
31% (4/13)
ROI
+24%

Historial

38% acierto · 110/288

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?	Yes	$46	7.6¢	Perdió
Will another woman win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?	Yes	$45	9.0¢	Perdió
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?	No	$953	87.2¢	Ganó
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?	No	$7	0.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?	Yes	$129	58.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump say 'NATO' during the 2025 State of the Union?	Yes	$45	64.5¢	Perdió
US inflation >0.1% from April to May 2024?	No	$146	73.0¢	Ganó
US inflation >0.1% from April to May 2024?	Yes	$104	52.0¢	Perdió
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?	Yes	$162	75.5¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Perdió
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	$41	40.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	Yes	$13	4.4¢	Perdió
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?	Yes	$2.0k	70.1¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$103	40.6¢	Perdió
US inflation >0.1% from Jan to Feb 2024?	Yes	$182	73.7¢	Ganó
Super Bowl LIX Winner	Chiefs	$145	41.6¢	Perdió
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	Yes	$66	22.0¢	Ganó
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$295	62.2¢	Ganó
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?	Yes	$1	46.7¢	Ganó
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?	Yes	$9.2k	74.2¢	Ganó
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	$33	2.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?	No	$46	11.6¢	Perdió
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May?	Yes	$14	5.7¢	Perdió
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?	Yes	$110	55.0¢	Ganó
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$1.6k	37.9¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$71	71.0¢	Ganó
Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in June?	Yes	$100	50.0¢	Ganó
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$130	64.9¢	Ganó
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	No	$15	0.5¢	Perdió
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?	Yes	$338	47.0¢	Ganó
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%	Yes	$532	69.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)	Colombia	$45	44.0¢	Ganó
2024 August hottest on record?	No	$202	33.7¢	Perdió
Spread: France (-1.5)	France	$51	59.0¢	Perdió
Fed rate cut by July 31?	Yes	$294	8.7¢	Perdió
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	$61	75.5¢	Ganó
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in June?	Yes	$39	13.0¢	Perdió
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$7	6.7¢	Perdió
Fed rate cut by June 12?	Yes	$4.6k	55.8¢	Perdió
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?	No	$36	9.0¢	Perdió
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in July?	Yes	$23	4.7¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$6	6.3¢	Perdió
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$42	1.4¢	Perdió
SEC approves first spot Bitcoin ETF on Jan 10?	Yes	$1.1k	70.9¢	Ganó
Will National Rally win the most seats in the National Assembly?	No	$33	3.3¢	Perdió
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?	Yes	$38	38.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$47	58.5¢	Perdió
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	Yes	$393	32.7¢	Perdió
Will the unemployment rate for February be less than or equal to 3.9%?	Yes	$61	14.0¢	Perdió
2024 July hottest on record?	No	$350	58.3¢	Perdió

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Perdió
Yes$46 @ 7.6¢
Will another woman win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Perdió
Yes$45 @ 9.0¢
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?Ganó
No$953 @ 87.2¢
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Perdió
No$7 @ 0.4¢
Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union?Ganó
Yes$129 @ 58.4¢
Will Trump say 'NATO' during the 2025 State of the Union?Perdió
Yes$45 @ 64.5¢
US inflation >0.1% from April to May 2024?Ganó
No$146 @ 73.0¢
US inflation >0.1% from April to May 2024?Perdió
Yes$104 @ 52.0¢
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVIII?Perdió
Yes$162 @ 75.5¢
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ganó
No$41 @ 40.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 4.4¢
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?Perdió
Yes$2.0k @ 70.1¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$103 @ 40.6¢
US inflation >0.1% from Jan to Feb 2024?Ganó
Yes$182 @ 73.7¢
Super Bowl LIX WinnerPerdió
Chiefs$145 @ 41.6¢
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Ganó
Yes$66 @ 22.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$295 @ 62.2¢
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVIII?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 46.7¢
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?Ganó
Yes$9.2k @ 74.2¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Perdió
Yes$33 @ 2.8¢
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Perdió
No$46 @ 11.6¢
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 5.7¢
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Ganó
Yes$110 @ 55.0¢
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Perdió
Yes$1.6k @ 37.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$71 @ 71.0¢
Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in June?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 50.0¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Ganó
Yes$130 @ 64.9¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Perdió
No$15 @ 0.5¢
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Ganó
Yes$338 @ 47.0¢
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%Ganó
Yes$532 @ 69.0¢
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Ganó
Colombia$45 @ 44.0¢
2024 August hottest on record?Perdió
No$202 @ 33.7¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Perdió
France$51 @ 59.0¢
Fed rate cut by July 31?Perdió
Yes$294 @ 8.7¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Ganó
Yes$61 @ 75.5¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in June?Perdió
Yes$39 @ 13.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 6.7¢
Fed rate cut by June 12?Perdió
Yes$4.6k @ 55.8¢
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?Perdió
No$36 @ 9.0¢
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in July?Perdió
Yes$23 @ 4.7¢
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 6.3¢
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 1.4¢
SEC approves first spot Bitcoin ETF on Jan 10?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 70.9¢
Will National Rally win the most seats in the National Assembly?Perdió
No$33 @ 3.3¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?Perdió
Yes$38 @ 38.0¢
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Perdió
No$47 @ 58.5¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Perdió
Yes$393 @ 32.7¢
Will the unemployment rate for February be less than or equal to 3.9%?Perdió
Yes$61 @ 14.0¢
2024 July hottest on record?Perdió
No$350 @ 58.3¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Cultura	Yes	$125	50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$125	50.0¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Política	Yes	$60	75.5¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$7	3.3¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	Yes	$7	36.6¢

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Cultura
Yes$125 @ 50.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$125 @ 50.0¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Política
Yes$60 @ 75.5¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$7 @ 3.3¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
Yes$7 @ 36.6¢