0x2783…8321

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x2783e38aa7b7d1ba8a7f3cef36bed993f3138321
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+29.8pp

ROI

+110%

Tasa de acierto

83% @ 53.1¢

Brier

0.269

Resueltas

140

Tamaño med.

$44

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	68% (17/25)	+15%	25
Política	67% (4/6)	+18%	6
Deportes	33% (1/3)	-15%	3
Cripto	33% (1/3)	-64%	3
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+47%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

Other25 apuestas
Tasa acierto
68% (17/25)
ROI
+15%
Política6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (4/6)
ROI
+18%
Deportes3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-15%
Cripto3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-64%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+47%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%

Historial

64% acierto · 25/39

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	$43	86.8¢	Ganó
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	No	$3	62.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	69.0¢	Perdió
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?	No	$2	56.6¢	Perdió
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	No	$1	53.4¢	Ganó
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2	60.5¢	Perdió
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$813	85.6¢	Ganó
Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$7	68.3¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$16	78.5¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$4	71.4¢	Perdió
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	$1	62.0¢	Ganó
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Perdió
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	$1	52.0¢	Ganó
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$8	80.0¢	Ganó
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	$44	87.9¢	Ganó
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	$1	8.6¢	Perdió
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	$1	63.0¢	Perdió
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$9	88.0¢	Ganó
Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	$2	47.5¢	Ganó
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?	Yes	$1	46.7¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$1	31.0¢	Perdió
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$7	72.0¢	Ganó
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?	No	$1	34.0¢	Ganó
WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs China	Japan	$1	39.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	$1	56.0¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$9	89.9¢	Perdió
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	$1	27.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$10	74.1¢	Perdió
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	Yes	$1	69.0¢	Ganó
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$9	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$447	89.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?	Yes	$100	77.4¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?	No	$3	68.2¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	$1	57.0¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	$1	62.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	$1	28.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?	No	$9	88.0¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1	49.0¢	Ganó

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Ganó
Yes$43 @ 86.8¢
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Ganó
No$3 @ 62.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 69.0¢
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Perdió
No$2 @ 56.6¢
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?Ganó
No$1 @ 53.4¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 60.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$813 @ 85.6¢
Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$7 @ 68.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$16 @ 78.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 71.4¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Ganó
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Ganó
No$1 @ 52.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$8 @ 80.0¢
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$44 @ 87.9¢
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Perdió
No$1 @ 8.6¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Perdió
No$1 @ 63.0¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 88.0¢
Spurs vs. ThunderGanó
Spurs$2 @ 47.5¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 46.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 31.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Ganó
No$7 @ 72.0¢
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?Ganó
No$1 @ 34.0¢
WTT - Men's Singles: Japan vs ChinaPerdió
Japan$1 @ 39.0¢
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Ganó
No$1 @ 56.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Perdió
No$9 @ 89.9¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Ganó
No$1 @ 27.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 74.1¢
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 69.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Ganó
No$9 @ 85.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Ganó
Yes$447 @ 89.4¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 77.4¢
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Ganó
No$3 @ 68.2¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Ganó
No$1 @ 57.0¢
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 62.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$9 @ 88.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1 @ 49.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$1.7k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$1.7k	50.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	Economía	Yes	$109	58.5¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	No	$96	86.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Política	No	$17	86.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$10	95.2¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Política	Yes	$10	96.5¢
US defaults on debt by 2027?	Política	No	$10	97.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$9	86.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Geopolítica	Yes	$9	89.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Other	Yes	$9	85.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Economía	No	$7	60.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$5	45.0¢
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Política	No	$5	97.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Política	No	$4	70.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$1	85.9¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	16.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	—	Yes	$1	64.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Política	No	$1	80.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$1	77.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1	77.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	No	$1	66.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	—	No	$1	74.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$1	87.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$1	87.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Política	No	$1	87.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$1	87.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tecnología	No	$1	79.0¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Deportes	No	$1	73.8¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	No	$1	78.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$1.7k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$1.7k @ 50.0¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economía
Yes$109 @ 58.5¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
No$96 @ 86.7¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolítica
No$17 @ 86.0¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolítica
No$10 @ 95.2¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Política
Yes$10 @ 96.5¢
US defaults on debt by 2027?Política
No$10 @ 97.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$9 @ 86.0¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolítica
Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other
Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economía
No$7 @ 60.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$5 @ 45.0¢
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Política
No$5 @ 97.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Política
No$4 @ 70.4¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$1 @ 85.9¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?—
Yes$1 @ 64.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Política
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolítica
No$1 @ 77.0¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1 @ 77.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
No$1 @ 66.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?—
No$1 @ 74.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Geopolítica
No$1 @ 87.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolítica
No$1 @ 87.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Política
No$1 @ 87.0¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$1 @ 87.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tecnología
No$1 @ 79.0¢
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Deportes
No$1 @ 73.8¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
No$1 @ 78.0¢