0x2574…144b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x257492f3ffa9df584bfb0ec93d8aa0a32135144b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Rentable

Ventaja

+21.4pp

ROI

+58%

Tasa de acierto

65% @ 43.3¢

Brier

0.239

Resueltas

136

Tamaño med.

$46

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	62% (21/34)	+73%	34
Other	52% (12/23)	+29%	23
Deportes	71% (5/7)	+20%	7
Geopolítica	67% (4/6)	+57%	6
Tecnología	100% (2/2)	+118%	2
Ciencia	100% (2/2)	+39%	2
Economía	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+30%	1

Política34 apuestas
Tasa acierto
62% (21/34)
ROI
+73%
Other23 apuestas
Tasa acierto
52% (12/23)
ROI
+29%
Deportes7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (5/7)
ROI
+20%
Geopolítica6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (4/6)
ROI
+57%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+118%
Ciencia2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+39%
Economía2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+30%

Historial

61% acierto · 47/77

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	$200	42.0¢	Perdió
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$54	53.8¢	Perdió
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	$200	88.7¢	Ganó
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	$10	36.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$10	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$50	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$10	9.6¢	Perdió
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$153	54.0¢	Perdió
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	$61	61.0¢	Perdió
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?	No	$308	36.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$250	73.4¢	Ganó
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$14	19.0¢	Perdió
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$5	3.9¢	Perdió
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$14	69.0¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	$15	7.0¢	Perdió
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	$23	60.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$124	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	$72	18.6¢	Perdió
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$28	9.1¢	Perdió
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$51	43.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$50	34.0¢	Ganó
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$34	17.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$120	61.8¢	Ganó
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$50	71.2¢	Ganó
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$85	84.1¢	Ganó
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance	Portugal	$15	34.0¢	Perdió
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$123	29.1¢	Perdió
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	$234	83.3¢	Ganó
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$225	81.9¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	$53	89.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$200	61.0¢	Ganó
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$26	52.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$200	44.1¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$28	56.3¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$153	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	$15	83.0¢	Ganó
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$40	4.5¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$100	76.0¢	Ganó
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?	No	$20	88.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$50	57.0¢	Ganó
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	$92	46.0¢	Perdió
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	$156	77.0¢	Ganó
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$101	83.0¢	Ganó
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance	Belgium	$10	48.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$103	85.4¢	Ganó
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$260	9.5¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$123	73.0¢	Ganó
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	32.8¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$26	26.5¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	$150	79.0¢	Ganó

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 42.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$54 @ 53.8¢
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ganó
Yes$200 @ 88.7¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 36.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Perdió
No$10 @ 0.3¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
No$50 @ 83.0¢
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 9.6¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Perdió
No$153 @ 54.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Perdió
Yes$61 @ 61.0¢
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Perdió
No$308 @ 36.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$250 @ 73.4¢
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 19.0¢
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 3.9¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 69.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 7.0¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ganó
Yes$23 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Perdió
Yes$124 @ 0.6¢
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Perdió
Yes$72 @ 18.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 9.1¢
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$51 @ 43.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$50 @ 34.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$120 @ 61.8¢
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$50 @ 71.2¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$85 @ 84.1¢
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePerdió
Portugal$15 @ 34.0¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$123 @ 29.1¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?Ganó
Yes$234 @ 83.3¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Ganó
No$225 @ 81.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Perdió
Yes$53 @ 89.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$200 @ 61.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$26 @ 52.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$200 @ 44.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$28 @ 56.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Ganó
No$153 @ 83.0¢
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 83.0¢
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$40 @ 4.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$100 @ 76.0¢
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Ganó
No$20 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$50 @ 57.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Perdió
No$92 @ 46.0¢
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Ganó
Yes$156 @ 77.0¢
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
No$101 @ 83.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceGanó
Belgium$10 @ 48.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$103 @ 85.4¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$260 @ 9.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$123 @ 73.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 32.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Ganó
No$26 @ 26.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Ganó
No$150 @ 79.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$200	64.0¢
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Política	No	$200	82.1¢
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Tecnología	Yes	$200	29.7¢
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Política	Yes	$200	79.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?	Economía	Yes	$200	67.1¢
Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	Política	Yes	$200	62.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Política	Yes	$200	42.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$200	41.3¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?	Economía	Yes	$194	64.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	Política	No	$154	77.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$86	51.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$81	57.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$72	28.8¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$60	2.6¢
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$18	0.1¢

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$200 @ 64.0¢
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Política
No$200 @ 82.1¢
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Tecnología
Yes$200 @ 29.7¢
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Política
Yes$200 @ 79.0¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Economía
Yes$200 @ 67.1¢
Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?Política
Yes$200 @ 62.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Política
Yes$200 @ 42.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$200 @ 41.3¢
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Economía
Yes$194 @ 64.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Política
No$154 @ 77.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$86 @ 51.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
Yes$81 @ 57.6¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$72 @ 28.8¢
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$60 @ 2.6¢
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$18 @ 0.1¢