0x24fb…973e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x24fbc286881b0c0e76bc7558c47c3fa5f71d973e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+26.1pp

ROI

+22%

Tasa de acierto

78% @ 52.3¢

Brier

0.186

Resueltas

501

Tamaño med.

$152

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	64% (14/22)	+55%	22
Other	67% (12/18)	+7%	18
Tecnología	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Cultura	67% (2/3)	+47%	3
Cripto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Política22 apuestas
Tasa acierto
64% (14/22)
ROI
+55%
Other18 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (12/18)
ROI
+7%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Cultura3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+47%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

58% acierto · 28/48

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	No	$3.5k	74.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.4k	44.7¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$780	30.9¢	Perdió
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$3.8k	79.8¢	Ganó
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?	Yes	$2.8k	14.6¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$4.5k	69.7¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$1.3k	83.6¢	Ganó
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	Yes	$36	7.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$300	6.0¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	$669	70.6¢	Ganó
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	$5.4k	83.7¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?	No	$96	22.0¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	$945	88.8¢	Ganó
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?	Yes	$864	20.4¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$2.1k	42.9¢	Ganó
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	No	$40	56.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	$90	21.5¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	No	$1.7k	74.3¢	Ganó
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	$2.2k	57.1¢	Perdió
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	$315	35.1¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$83	3.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	15.1¢	Ganó
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?	Yes	$670	10.1¢	Perdió
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	No	$3	59.0¢	Ganó
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?	No	$291	19.9¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?	Yes	$6	3.1¢	Perdió
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	73.8¢	Perdió
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	$1.2k	34.8¢	Ganó
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	$2.8k	81.0¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?	Yes	$3.0k	88.7¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?	Yes	$9.4k	70.4¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?	No	$1.4k	59.5¢	Ganó
Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	$3	65.0¢	Ganó
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	$1.4k	65.2¢	Ganó
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	$109	3.5¢	Perdió
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?	Yes	$428	7.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	$4.0k	61.2¢	Ganó
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?	No	$130	10.1¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by March 31?	No	$3.0k	65.7¢	Ganó
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?	No	$425	85.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	$1.7k	88.7¢	Ganó
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?	Yes	$1.4k	21.3¢	Ganó
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	No	$1.4k	79.0¢	Ganó
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	Yes	$1.7k	20.9¢	Perdió
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	$134	15.8¢	Perdió
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	$4.5k	87.8¢	Ganó
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	$1.2k	86.8¢	Ganó
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?	No	$12	60.0¢	Ganó

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Ganó
No$3.5k @ 74.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 44.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$780 @ 30.9¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Ganó
No$3.8k @ 79.8¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2.8k @ 14.6¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Perdió
No$4.5k @ 69.7¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Ganó
Yes$1.3k @ 83.6¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 7.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$300 @ 6.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Ganó
No$669 @ 70.6¢
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?Ganó
Yes$5.4k @ 83.7¢
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Perdió
No$96 @ 22.0¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Ganó
No$945 @ 88.8¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?Perdió
Yes$864 @ 20.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Ganó
No$2.1k @ 42.9¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Ganó
No$40 @ 56.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Perdió
No$90 @ 21.5¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Ganó
No$1.7k @ 74.3¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2.2k @ 57.1¢
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Ganó
Yes$315 @ 35.1¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Perdió
Yes$83 @ 3.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 15.1¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Perdió
Yes$670 @ 10.1¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?Ganó
No$3 @ 59.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Perdió
No$291 @ 19.9¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 3.1¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.6k @ 73.8¢
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 34.8¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Perdió
No$2.8k @ 81.0¢
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.0k @ 88.7¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?Ganó
Yes$9.4k @ 70.4¢
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 19, 2026?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 59.5¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Ganó
No$3 @ 65.0¢
Iran leadership change by April 30?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 65.2¢
Iran leadership change by April 30?Perdió
Yes$109 @ 3.5¢
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?Perdió
Yes$428 @ 7.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$4.0k @ 61.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?Perdió
No$130 @ 10.1¢
Iran leadership change by March 31?Ganó
No$3.0k @ 65.7¢
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?Ganó
No$425 @ 85.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Ganó
No$1.7k @ 88.7¢
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 21.3¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 79.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 20.9¢
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?Perdió
No$134 @ 15.8¢
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Ganó
No$4.5k @ 87.8¢
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 86.8¢
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?Ganó
No$12 @ 60.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tecnología	No	$3.1k	96.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$2.9k	97.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Cultura	Yes	$2.5k	60.8¢
US military draft authorized in 2026?	Política	No	$2.2k	81.7¢
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Tecnología	No	$2.0k	69.1¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Política	No	$1.4k	89.6¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$1.3k	21.7¢
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?	Cripto	No	$1.3k	84.0¢
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Política	No	$1.2k	79.4¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Política	No	$1.1k	53.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Tecnología	No	$1.1k	92.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$820	69.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Cultura	Yes	$802	23.7¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$467	43.7¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$398	9.7¢
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?	Negocios	Yes	$374	66.9¢
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?	Cultura	No	$335	95.0¢
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	Cripto	Yes	$276	30.0¢
Will Sneako be deported in 2026?	Cultura	No	$237	96.0¢
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$189	34.7¢
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$186	69.6¢
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$108	18.8¢
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?	Política	No	$89	80.9¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$86	17.0¢
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Tecnología	No	$74	31.8¢
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Tecnología	Yes	$24	31.8¢
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?	Política	No	$23	92.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	Other	Yes	$19	19.0¢

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tecnología
No$3.1k @ 96.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$2.9k @ 97.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Cultura
Yes$2.5k @ 60.8¢
US military draft authorized in 2026?Política
No$2.2k @ 81.7¢
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
No$2.0k @ 69.1¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Política
No$1.4k @ 89.6¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$1.3k @ 21.7¢
Zcash's Orchard pool confirmed exploited?Cripto
No$1.3k @ 84.0¢
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Política
No$1.2k @ 79.4¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Política
No$1.1k @ 53.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Tecnología
No$1.1k @ 92.9¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$820 @ 69.0¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Cultura
Yes$802 @ 23.7¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$467 @ 43.7¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Cultura
Yes$398 @ 9.7¢
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?Negocios
Yes$374 @ 66.9¢
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?Cultura
No$335 @ 95.0¢
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Cripto
Yes$276 @ 30.0¢
Will Sneako be deported in 2026?Cultura
No$237 @ 96.0¢
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$189 @ 34.7¢
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Tecnología
No$186 @ 69.6¢
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$108 @ 18.8¢
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Política
No$89 @ 80.9¢
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
Yes$86 @ 17.0¢
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tecnología
No$74 @ 31.8¢
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tecnología
Yes$24 @ 31.8¢
Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?Política
No$23 @ 92.0¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Other
Yes$19 @ 19.0¢