0x24aa…7e0a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x24aab9f0ffe38a718f988760f5d27c8418317e0a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+8.3pp

ROI

+11%

Tasa de acierto

35% @ 27.1¢

Brier

0.109

Resueltas

164

Tamaño med.

$49

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	40% (8/20)	+45%	20
Deportes	64% (7/11)	+30%	11
Tecnología	33% (3/9)	-18%	9
Política	14% (1/7)	-81%	7
Negocios	100% (2/2)	+12%	2
Ciencia	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+203%	1
Cultura	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other20 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (8/20)
ROI
+45%
Deportes11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
64% (7/11)
ROI
+30%
Tecnología9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (3/9)
ROI
-18%
Política7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
14% (1/7)
ROI
-81%
Negocios2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+12%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+203%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

42% acierto · 22/52

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$20	67.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$128	5.1¢	Perdió
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$4	0.7¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	$4	2.4¢	Perdió
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$40	64.0¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$47	23.0¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$30	71.0¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$864	38.4¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$558	31.0¢	Ganó
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$51	0.5¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	$200	10.0¢	Perdió
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$20	61.0¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	$217	86.9¢	Ganó
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$204	89.3¢	Ganó
Spurs vs. Warriors	Warriors	$10	0.7¢	Perdió
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$31	25.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$303	4.8¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$1.4k	37.2¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$16	4.0¢	Perdió
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	$5	9.0¢	Ganó
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$80	26.0¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	$103	66.6¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	$35	17.1¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$389	38.0¢	Perdió
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$154	77.0¢	Ganó
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	$20	20.0¢	Ganó
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	$177	59.0¢	Perdió
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$20	33.0¢	Ganó
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$50	4.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	$191	63.6¢	Ganó
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	$70	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	44.0¢	Ganó
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	$458	57.9¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?	Yes	$10	56.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$70	70.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$75	51.7¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	$225	43.9¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$168	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	$7	1.3¢	Perdió
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan?	Yes	$10	57.0¢	Ganó
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$41	52.0¢	Ganó
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$20	77.0¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	$329	70.1¢	Ganó
Nets vs. Pistons	Nets	$3	3.0¢	Ganó
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	Yes	$26	8.7¢	Perdió
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$5	1.6¢	Perdió
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	$36	33.0¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$123	1.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$248	1.5¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	$172	15.0¢	Perdió

Will France win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 67.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$128 @ 5.1¢
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 0.7¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Perdió
No$4 @ 2.4¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 64.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 23.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$30 @ 71.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$864 @ 38.4¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$558 @ 31.0¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$51 @ 0.5¢
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 10.0¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 61.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Ganó
No$217 @ 86.9¢
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$204 @ 89.3¢
Spurs vs. WarriorsPerdió
Warriors$10 @ 0.7¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 25.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Perdió
No$303 @ 4.8¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Ganó
Yes$1.4k @ 37.2¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 4.0¢
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 9.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Perdió
Yes$80 @ 26.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$103 @ 66.6¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Perdió
No$35 @ 17.1¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Perdió
No$389 @ 38.0¢
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
Yes$154 @ 77.0¢
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Perdió
Yes$177 @ 59.0¢
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 33.0¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 4.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Ganó
No$191 @ 63.6¢
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Perdió
Yes$70 @ 7.0¢
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$0 @ 44.0¢
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Perdió
No$458 @ 57.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$70 @ 70.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Ganó
No$75 @ 51.7¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Perdió
No$225 @ 43.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$168 @ 0.8¢
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 1.3¢
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 57.0¢
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Ganó
Yes$41 @ 52.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 77.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Ganó
Yes$329 @ 70.1¢
Nets vs. PistonsGanó
Nets$3 @ 3.0¢
Will a hurricane form by May 31?Perdió
Yes$26 @ 8.7¢
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 1.6¢
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Ganó
Yes$36 @ 33.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$123 @ 1.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$248 @ 1.5¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Perdió
No$172 @ 15.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$594	32.8¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	Yes	$528	66.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$219	73.0¢
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?	Negocios	No	$145	85.0¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$110	27.5¢
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$100	92.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	—	Yes	$100	72.0¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$93	93.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Economía	Yes	$50	17.0¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Negocios	Yes	$47	39.0¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Tecnología	No	$40	41.0¢
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Política	Yes	$39	38.9¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$30	47.2¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	—	Yes	$30	31.0¢
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?	Negocios	No	$23	78.0¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Tecnología	No	$22	21.8¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	—	Yes	$20	52.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	—	Yes	$20	35.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	—	Yes	$20	27.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$20	10.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$16	16.1¢
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Ciencia	Yes	$15	15.0¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Tecnología	No	$2	29.0¢

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$594 @ 32.8¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
Yes$528 @ 66.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tecnología
Yes$219 @ 73.0¢
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Negocios
No$145 @ 85.0¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$110 @ 27.5¢
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ciencia
No$100 @ 92.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?—
Yes$100 @ 72.0¢
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Política
No$93 @ 93.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economía
Yes$50 @ 17.0¢
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Negocios
Yes$47 @ 39.0¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Tecnología
No$40 @ 41.0¢
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Política
Yes$39 @ 38.9¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$30 @ 47.2¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?—
Yes$30 @ 31.0¢
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Negocios
No$23 @ 78.0¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tecnología
No$22 @ 21.8¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?—
Yes$20 @ 52.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?—
Yes$20 @ 35.0¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?—
Yes$20 @ 27.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$20 @ 10.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$16 @ 16.1¢
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Ciencia
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Tecnología
No$2 @ 29.0¢