0x2478…2e62

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x24787691ebc296444add2ee3dea03c9d6f9b2e62
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.9pp

ROI

+15%

Tasa de acierto

44% @ 40.5¢

Brier

0.167

Resueltas

4379

Tamaño med.

$51

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	48% (261/541)	+14%	541
Política	23% (10/43)	-26%	43
Economía	60% (6/10)	+112%	10
Geopolítica	14% (1/7)	-85%	7
Cripto	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Negocios	100% (3/3)	+58%	3
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+27%	1
Deportes	100% (1/1)	+69%	1

Other541 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (261/541)
ROI
+14%
Política43 apuestas
Tasa acierto
23% (10/43)
ROI
-26%
Economía10 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (6/10)
ROI
+112%
Geopolítica7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
14% (1/7)
ROI
-85%
Cripto3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Negocios3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (3/3)
ROI
+58%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+27%
Deportes1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+69%

Historial

46% acierto · 283/609

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Yes	$536	89.3¢	Ganó
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	$337	70.8¢	Ganó
Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?	No	$13	20.0¢	Ganó
Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?	Yes	$116	57.4¢	Perdió
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	No	$82	41.2¢	Perdió
India air/missile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?	No	$872	73.0¢	Ganó
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?	Rajasthan Royals	$9	48.0¢	Ganó
1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?	Yes	$1.2k	78.4¢	Ganó
Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?	No	$420	86.9¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$3	82.0¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$9	9.0¢	Perdió
Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $640 in April?	No	$53	88.0¢	Ganó
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$527	51.9¢	Ganó
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$20	15.0¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	Yes	$44	89.0¢	Ganó
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?	Delhi Capitals	$240	48.0¢	Perdió
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?	Kolkata Knight Riders	$599	47.8¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$150	58.2¢	Perdió
Trump x Xi talk before July?	No	$323	31.6¢	Perdió
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	Yes	$182	19.3¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$36	15.0¢	Perdió
Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?	Yes	$0	22.0¢	Perdió
Next French confidence vote passes?	Yes	$88	8.8¢	Perdió
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$376	47.0¢	Ganó
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	Yes	$134	26.8¢	Perdió
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?	No	$81	27.0¢	Perdió
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?	Yes	$17	61.0¢	Ganó
Will Solana reach $275 in November?	No	$23	46.0¢	Ganó
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	No	$107	89.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	Yes	$576	14.5¢	Perdió
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	$55	30.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$60	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?	No	$61	55.0¢	Perdió
Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Perdió
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	No	$652	81.5¢	Ganó
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$989	28.3¢	Perdió
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	$311	72.3¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$900	22.5¢	Perdió
Will General Mills (GIS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	$110	55.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 12?	Yes	$280	80.0¢	Ganó
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?	Yes	$42	21.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$240	12.0¢	Perdió
India strike on Pakistan before August?	No	$719	83.9¢	Ganó
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	$416	15.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.5k	24.8¢	Perdió
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?	Yes	$260	19.3¢	Perdió
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$90	18.0¢	Perdió
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?	No	$6	60.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$213	85.2¢	Ganó

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Ganó
Yes$536 @ 89.3¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Ganó
Yes$337 @ 70.8¢
Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Ganó
No$13 @ 20.0¢
Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Perdió
Yes$116 @ 57.4¢
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Perdió
No$82 @ 41.2¢
India air/missile strike on Pakistan soil by Friday?Ganó
No$872 @ 73.0¢
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals - Who wins the toss?Ganó
Rajasthan Royals$9 @ 48.0¢
1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Ganó
Yes$1.2k @ 78.4¢
Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?Ganó
No$420 @ 86.9¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Ganó
No$3 @ 82.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $640 in April?Ganó
No$53 @ 88.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Ganó
No$527 @ 51.9¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 15.0¢
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Ganó
Yes$44 @ 89.0¢
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?Perdió
Delhi Capitals$240 @ 48.0¢
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?Ganó
Kolkata Knight Riders$599 @ 47.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$150 @ 58.2¢
Trump x Xi talk before July?Perdió
No$323 @ 31.6¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Perdió
Yes$182 @ 19.3¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Perdió
Yes$36 @ 15.0¢
Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 22.0¢
Next French confidence vote passes?Perdió
Yes$88 @ 8.8¢
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers HyderabadGanó
Sunrisers Hyderabad$376 @ 47.0¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Perdió
Yes$134 @ 26.8¢
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Perdió
No$81 @ 27.0¢
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Ganó
Yes$17 @ 61.0¢
Will Solana reach $275 in November?Ganó
No$23 @ 46.0¢
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Ganó
No$107 @ 89.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Perdió
Yes$576 @ 14.5¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Ganó
Yes$55 @ 30.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Perdió
Yes$60 @ 15.0¢
Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Perdió
No$61 @ 55.0¢
Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Ganó
No$652 @ 81.5¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Perdió
No$989 @ 28.3¢
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?Perdió
Yes$311 @ 72.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Perdió
Yes$900 @ 22.5¢
Will General Mills (GIS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Ganó
Yes$110 @ 55.0¢
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 12?Ganó
Yes$280 @ 80.0¢
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?Perdió
Yes$42 @ 21.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Perdió
Yes$240 @ 12.0¢
India strike on Pakistan before August?Ganó
No$719 @ 83.9¢
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Ganó
Yes$416 @ 15.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2.5k @ 24.8¢
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?Perdió
Yes$260 @ 19.3¢
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Perdió
Yes$90 @ 18.0¢
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?Ganó
No$6 @ 60.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Ganó
No$213 @ 85.2¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
US recession by end of 2026?	Economía	No	$1.2k	82.3¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Economía	Yes	$662	30.2¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	Economía	No	$544	35.9¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Economía	Yes	$431	69.2¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?	Economía	No	$304	67.3¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Geopolítica	Yes	$290	27.2¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Geopolítica	No	$267	29.4¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Política	Yes	$194	38.7¢
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$164	66.9¢
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	Política	No	$123	69.0¢
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Economía	No	$105	77.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Política	No	$45	37.2¢
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$40	33.6¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Economía	Yes	$2	0.4¢

US recession by end of 2026?Economía
No$1.2k @ 82.3¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Economía
Yes$662 @ 30.2¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economía
No$544 @ 35.9¢
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Economía
Yes$431 @ 69.2¢
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?Economía
No$304 @ 67.3¢
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Geopolítica
Yes$290 @ 27.2¢
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Geopolítica
No$267 @ 29.4¢
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Política
Yes$194 @ 38.7¢
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$164 @ 66.9¢
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Política
No$123 @ 69.0¢
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economía
No$105 @ 77.0¢
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Política
No$45 @ 37.2¢
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economía
Yes$40 @ 33.6¢
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Economía
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢