0x246b…1196

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x246b6f2cf1eb3c74ab82b5d7288ef49baeed1196
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+15.8pp

ROI

+40%

Tasa de acierto

68% @ 52.5¢

Brier

0.151

Resueltas

1683

Tamaño med.

$111

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	69% (84/121)	+12%	121
Política	85% (11/13)	+85%	13
Geopolítica	71% (5/7)	+14%	7
Tecnología	100% (1/1)	+20%	1
Cripto	100% (1/1)	+122%	1

Other121 apuestas
Tasa acierto
69% (84/121)
ROI
+12%
Política13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
85% (11/13)
ROI
+85%
Geopolítica7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
71% (5/7)
ROI
+14%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+122%

Historial

71% acierto · 102/143

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner	KT Rolster	$154	38.5¢	Ganó
GPT ads by December 31?	No	$44	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?	Yes	$2	24.9¢	Perdió
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	$111	74.0¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?	No	$2.2k	73.1¢	Ganó
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$384	64.0¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	$1.7k	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$145	88.0¢	Ganó
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$33	33.3¢	Perdió
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	T1	$196	65.4¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$184	71.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$196	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	$594	32.6¢	Ganó
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$100	68.0¢	Ganó
Will Player 195 win Beast Games: Season 2?	Yes	$22	1.9¢	Perdió
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?	Yes	$770	85.2¢	Ganó
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	$178	89.1¢	Ganó
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)	Gen.G	$254	84.7¢	Perdió
James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	$3.2k	75.4¢	Ganó
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)	T1	$338	45.7¢	Ganó
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$6.3k	78.7¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$17.4k	52.4¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$801	50.4¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.8k	45.1¢	Ganó
Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?	No	$1.3k	82.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$1.6k	82.4¢	Ganó
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?	Yes	$1.4k	57.4¢	Perdió
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?	No	$67	81.0¢	Perdió
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	Yes	$526	52.6¢	Perdió
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?	No	$176	88.1¢	Ganó
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$163	81.7¢	Ganó
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	No	$869	74.0¢	Perdió
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	Yes	$7.0k	62.6¢	Ganó
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	$3	62.0¢	Perdió
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	Yes	$256	53.9¢	Ganó
James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	$740	69.0¢	Perdió
James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	$1.9k	74.2¢	Ganó
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	Yes	$1.0k	85.6¢	Ganó
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	T1	$71	71.0¢	Ganó
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?	No	$515	79.9¢	Ganó
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?	No	$1.3k	82.7¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$5.7k	70.4¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$513	61.0¢	Ganó
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$100	30.0¢	Perdió
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$160	77.0¢	Ganó
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?	No change	$83	89.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$3.4k	82.0¢	Ganó
Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?	No	$210	83.7¢	Ganó
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$740	74.0¢	Ganó

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 WinnerGanó
KT Rolster$154 @ 38.5¢
GPT ads by December 31?Ganó
No$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 24.9¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Ganó
Makhachev$111 @ 74.0¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Ganó
No$2.2k @ 73.1¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Ganó
No$384 @ 64.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Ganó
No$1.7k @ 87.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Ganó
No$145 @ 88.0¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Perdió
No$33 @ 33.3¢
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerPerdió
T1$196 @ 65.4¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Ganó
No$184 @ 71.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Ganó
No$196 @ 71.0¢
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Ganó
Yes$594 @ 32.6¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsGanó
Seahawks$100 @ 68.0¢
Will Player 195 win Beast Games: Season 2?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 1.9¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Ganó
Yes$770 @ 85.2¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Ganó
No$178 @ 89.1¢
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)Perdió
Gen.G$254 @ 84.7¢
James Comey arrested by May 15?Ganó
Yes$3.2k @ 75.4¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Ganó
T1$338 @ 45.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Ganó
No$6.3k @ 78.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Ganó
No$17.4k @ 52.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$801 @ 50.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$1.8k @ 45.1¢
Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 82.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 82.4¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?Perdió
Yes$1.4k @ 57.4¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Perdió
No$67 @ 81.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Perdió
Yes$526 @ 52.6¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Ganó
No$176 @ 88.1¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Ganó
No$163 @ 81.7¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Perdió
No$869 @ 74.0¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Ganó
Yes$7.0k @ 62.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Ganó
Yes$256 @ 53.9¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Perdió
No$740 @ 69.0¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 74.2¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Ganó
Yes$1.0k @ 85.6¢
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerGanó
T1$71 @ 71.0¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?Ganó
No$515 @ 79.9¢
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 82.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$5.7k @ 70.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Ganó
Yes$513 @ 61.0¢
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Perdió
No$100 @ 30.0¢
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
Yes$160 @ 77.0¢
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?Ganó
No change$83 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Ganó
No$3.4k @ 82.0¢
Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?Ganó
No$210 @ 83.7¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$740 @ 74.0¢

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