0x22e4…ef1c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.8pp

ROI

+9%

Tasa de acierto

62% @ 58.5¢

Brier

0.141

Resueltas

5036

Tamaño med.

$379

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	51% (46/90)	+9%	90
Other	58% (50/86)	-2%	86
Tecnología	58% (7/12)	-51%	12
Geopolítica	86% (6/7)	+16%	7
Cultura	25% (1/4)	-100%	4
Deportes	50% (1/2)	+43%	2
Economía	100% (1/1)	+43%	1

Política90 apuestas
Tasa acierto
51% (46/90)
ROI
+9%
Other86 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (50/86)
ROI
-2%
Tecnología12 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (7/12)
ROI
-51%
Geopolítica7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
86% (6/7)
ROI
+16%
Cultura4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (1/4)
ROI
-100%
Deportes2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+43%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+43%

Historial

55% acierto · 112/202

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$4.6k	32.8¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$2	30.0¢	Ganó
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$21	69.0¢	Perdió
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$519	84.6¢	Ganó
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$25.1k	71.5¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$67.1k	74.6¢	Ganó
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$4.1k	89.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$110	0.3¢	Perdió
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?	No	$74	81.2¢	Ganó
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide	Texas Tech Red Raiders	$7.8k	52.0¢	Perdió
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$47.9k	74.1¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$10.2k	79.6¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$3.4k	52.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$6.9k	45.9¢	Perdió
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$37.9k	79.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$3.1k	87.0¢	Ganó
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$916	75.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	$60.4k	57.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	10.5¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$8.4k	84.5¢	Ganó
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	Kansas Jayhawks	$7.8k	39.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$3.5k	85.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$7.0k	89.7¢	Ganó
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans	Louisville Cardinals	$17.5k	35.0¢	Perdió
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans	Michigan State Spartans	$5.8k	64.0¢	Ganó
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$54.7k	81.1¢	Ganó
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$160	38.0¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$1.7k	76.7¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$26.5k	75.7¢	Ganó
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$64	63.3¢	Perdió
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini	VCU Rams	$16.0k	16.0¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	No	$870	87.0¢	Ganó
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	$301	86.0¢	Ganó
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	$31.5k	56.8¢	Perdió
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	$798	75.4¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$4.4k	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Perdió
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$259	38.7¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$9.2k	47.3¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$3.1k	62.0¢	Ganó
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Purdue Boilermakers	$11.3k	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	$5.2k	74.1¢	Ganó
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$2.2k	45.2¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$847	72.0¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$500	2.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	$4.8k	72.7¢	Perdió
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	$626	39.4¢	Ganó

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Perdió
Yes$4.6k @ 32.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Perdió
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$2 @ 30.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 69.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Ganó
Yes$519 @ 84.6¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Ganó
Yes$25.1k @ 71.5¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$67.1k @ 74.6¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Ganó
Yes$4.1k @ 89.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$110 @ 0.3¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?Ganó
No$74 @ 81.2¢
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson TidePerdió
Texas Tech Red Raiders$7.8k @ 52.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$47.9k @ 74.1¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$10.2k @ 79.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?Perdió
No$80 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Ganó
No$3.4k @ 52.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$6.9k @ 45.9¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Ganó
No$37.9k @ 79.4¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Ganó
No$3.1k @ 87.0¢
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Ganó
Yes$916 @ 75.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Ganó
No$60.4k @ 57.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 10.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$8.4k @ 84.5¢
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas JayhawksPerdió
Kansas Jayhawks$7.8k @ 39.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Perdió
No$3.5k @ 85.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Ganó
Yes$7.0k @ 89.7¢
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansPerdió
Louisville Cardinals$17.5k @ 35.0¢
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansGanó
Michigan State Spartans$5.8k @ 64.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$54.7k @ 81.1¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Ganó
Yes$160 @ 38.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 76.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?Perdió
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Ganó
No$26.5k @ 75.7¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Perdió
Yes$64 @ 63.3¢
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniPerdió
VCU Rams$16.0k @ 16.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$870 @ 87.0¢
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue DevilsGanó
Duke Blue Devils$301 @ 86.0¢
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Perdió
No$31.5k @ 56.8¢
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Ganó
Yes$798 @ 75.4¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Ganó
No$4.4k @ 88.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?Perdió
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Ganó
Yes$259 @ 38.7¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$9.2k @ 47.3¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$3.1k @ 62.0¢
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue BoilermakersGanó
Purdue Boilermakers$11.3k @ 75.0¢
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Ganó
No$5.2k @ 74.1¢
Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Perdió
Yes$2.2k @ 45.2¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Ganó
Yes$847 @ 72.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$500 @ 2.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Perdió
No$4.8k @ 72.7¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Ganó
No$626 @ 39.4¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$13.3k	87.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Política	No	$8.8k	88.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Política	No	$4.6k	67.7¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	No	$3.5k	34.6¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.1k	4.2¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Negocios	No	$1.6k	79.5¢
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$1.1k	24.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Política	No	$805	80.5¢
Blue wave in 2026?	Política	Yes	$535	77.8¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Negocios	No	$459	39.0¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Negocios	Yes	$393	26.0¢
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$362	51.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?	Negocios	Yes	$202	24.2¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Cultura	Yes	$195	39.1¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$151	10.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$141	18.0¢
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?	Política	No	$15	51.0¢
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	Política	No	$6	63.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$4	76.0¢
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?	Cultura	Yes	$1	50.0¢

Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$13.3k @ 87.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Política
No$8.8k @ 88.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Política
No$4.6k @ 67.7¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
No$3.5k @ 34.6¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Política
Yes$2.1k @ 4.2¢
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Negocios
No$1.6k @ 79.5¢
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$1.1k @ 24.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Política
No$805 @ 80.5¢
Blue wave in 2026?Política
Yes$535 @ 77.8¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Negocios
No$459 @ 39.0¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Negocios
Yes$393 @ 26.0¢
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$362 @ 51.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Negocios
Yes$202 @ 24.2¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Cultura
Yes$195 @ 39.1¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Cultura
Yes$151 @ 10.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$141 @ 18.0¢
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Política
No$15 @ 51.0¢
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Política
No$6 @ 63.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$4 @ 76.0¢
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Cultura
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢