0x22e4…ef1c

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

RentableFrancotirador

Ventaja

+25.9pp

ROI

+38%

Tasa de acierto

100% @ 74.1¢

Brier

0.071

Resueltas

335

Tamaño med.

$832

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	54% (7/13)	+20%	13
Tecnología	100% (4/4)	+50%	4
Política	100% (2/2)	+31%	2
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+1%	1

Other13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (7/13)
ROI
+20%
Tecnología4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (4/4)
ROI
+50%
Política2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+31%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1%

Historial

70% acierto · 14/20

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$519	84.6¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$47.9k	74.1¢	Ganó
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$37.9k	79.4¢	Ganó
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?	No	$84	66.4¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$1.6k	55.0¢	Ganó
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?	Yes	$7.5k	82.4¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	$710	71.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?	No	$18	8.0¢	Perdió
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$916	75.4¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$1.7k	76.7¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?	No	$870	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Perdió
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	$847	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	No	$80	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?	No	$52	8.0¢	Perdió
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	$182	75.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$83.3k	98.9¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	$2.1k	78.3¢	Ganó

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Ganó
Yes$519 @ 84.6¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$47.9k @ 74.1¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Ganó
No$37.9k @ 79.4¢
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?Ganó
No$84 @ 66.4¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 55.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Ganó
Yes$7.5k @ 82.4¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Ganó
No$710 @ 71.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Perdió
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?Perdió
No$18 @ 8.0¢
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Ganó
Yes$916 @ 75.4¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 76.7¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?Perdió
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?Ganó
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?Perdió
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Ganó
Yes$847 @ 72.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?Perdió
No$80 @ 8.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?Perdió
No$52 @ 8.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Ganó
Yes$182 @ 75.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$83.3k @ 98.9¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.1k @ 78.3¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolítica	No	$198.4k	80.9¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Política	No	$9.1k	91.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Política	No	$9.1k	82.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$6.4k	23.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Política	No	$4.6k	67.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Política	No	$2.3k	23.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$2.0k	10.9¢
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$1.1k	24.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$977	30.6¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	Tecnología	No	$924	92.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Política	Yes	$836	53.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$413	75.8¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$393	26.0¢
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$362	51.0¢
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$287	24.5¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$162	8.1¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Tecnología	Yes	$112	5.4¢
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$102	2.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolítica
No$198.4k @ 80.9¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Política
No$9.1k @ 91.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Política
No$9.1k @ 82.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$6.4k @ 23.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Política
No$4.6k @ 67.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Política
No$2.3k @ 23.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tecnología
Yes$2.0k @ 10.9¢
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$1.1k @ 24.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$977 @ 30.6¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tecnología
No$924 @ 92.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Política
Yes$836 @ 53.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$413 @ 75.8¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tecnología
Yes$393 @ 26.0¢
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$362 @ 51.0¢
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tecnología
Yes$287 @ 24.5¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tecnología
Yes$162 @ 8.1¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tecnología
Yes$112 @ 5.4¢
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$102 @ 2.0¢