0x1d1a…324e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1d1aa3439835cc8dbb5e55d615bee3f39b0d324e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+7.2pp

ROI

+17%

Tasa de acierto

46% @ 38.3¢

Brier

0.191

Resueltas

2445

Tamaño med.

$20

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	53% (448/853)	+23%	853
Política	56% (59/105)	+6%	105
Deportes	6% (1/16)	-48%	16
Geopolítica	67% (6/9)	+12%	9
Cripto	60% (3/5)	+117%	5
Cultura	50% (1/2)	+80%	2

Other853 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (448/853)
ROI
+23%
Política105 apuestas
Tasa acierto
56% (59/105)
ROI
+6%
Deportes16 apuestas
Tasa acierto
6% (1/16)
ROI
-48%
Geopolítica9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (6/9)
ROI
+12%
Cripto5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (3/5)
ROI
+117%
Cultura2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+80%

Historial

52% acierto · 518/990

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	$28	55.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	$40	61.2¢	Ganó
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Timmy Cuamba	$3	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?	No	$32	61.6¢	Ganó
Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?	No	$5	65.0¢	Ganó
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Trump" 10+ times during NYC rally?	No	$28	80.6¢	Ganó
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Melania's remarks not air?	No	$75	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Boat" or "Terrorist" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?	Yes	$2	42.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during Women's History Month event?	Yes	$16	54.3¢	Ganó
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$53	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Greek Independence Day event?	Yes	$12	40.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)	No	$24	28.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 25)	Yes	$15	75.0¢	Ganó
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	$115	50.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?	No	$22	17.2¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$55	55.0¢	Ganó
Will Tim Cook say "Amazing" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?	No	$7	27.0¢	Ganó
Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	$1	34.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$212	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 8)	Yes	$15	29.4¢	Ganó
Will Hegseth say "Objective" during press conference?	No	$3	8.0¢	Perdió
Stars vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$25	53.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?	Yes	$2	2.9¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	No	$36	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Israel" this week? (December 22 - 28)	Yes	$6	58.0¢	Perdió
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$37	12.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$13	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)	Yes	$11	62.0¢	Ganó
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$34	17.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Drone" this week?	Yes	$55	84.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Peace" during Honduran President events?	No	$38	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" this week?	Yes	$15	24.7¢	Perdió
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Perdió
Will "Disease" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	$7	70.5¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Miami address?	Yes	$41	34.2¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Hormuz" this week? (March 22)	No	$12	22.3¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	$23	56.6¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Peace" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?	No	$55	67.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)	No	$18	19.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Ozempic" or "Fat shot" during healthcare event?	No	$48	40.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Ozempic" or "Fat shot" during healthcare event?	Yes	$4	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$46	46.0¢	Perdió
Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" on The Late Show on December 10?	Yes	$4	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$174	17.4¢	Perdió
Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?	Yes	$34	78.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Pool" or "Pond" this week?	Yes	$24	54.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Melania" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?	No	$1	7.0¢	Perdió
Will Vance say "Hell" 2+ times during Air Force Academy Address?	No	$0	27.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Hezbollah" or "Hamas" during Ohio visit?	No	$28	71.0¢	Ganó

Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 55.0¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 61.2¢
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)Perdió
Timmy Cuamba$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Ganó
No$32 @ 61.6¢
Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?Ganó
No$5 @ 65.0¢
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Trump" 10+ times during NYC rally?Ganó
No$28 @ 80.6¢
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Melania's remarks not air?Ganó
No$75 @ 75.0¢
Will Trump say "Boat" or "Terrorist" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 42.0¢
Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during Women's History Month event?Ganó
Yes$16 @ 54.3¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Ganó
No$53 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Greek Independence Day event?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump say "Democrat Shutdown" this week? (March 29)Perdió
No$24 @ 28.7¢
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 25)Ganó
Yes$15 @ 75.0¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Perdió
No$115 @ 50.4¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Perdió
No$22 @ 17.2¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?Ganó
Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
Will Tim Cook say "Amazing" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?Ganó
No$7 @ 27.0¢
Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 34.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$212 @ 53.0¢
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 8)Ganó
Yes$15 @ 29.4¢
Will Hegseth say "Objective" during press conference?Perdió
No$3 @ 8.0¢
Stars vs. CanadiensPerdió
Canadiens$25 @ 53.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 2.9¢
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?Perdió
No$36 @ 35.0¢
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Israel" this week? (December 22 - 28)Perdió
Yes$6 @ 58.0¢
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Perdió
Yes$37 @ 12.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 35.0¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)Ganó
Yes$11 @ 62.0¢
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 17.0¢
Will Trump say "Drone" this week?Ganó
Yes$55 @ 84.2¢
Will Trump say "Peace" during Honduran President events?Ganó
No$38 @ 75.0¢
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" this week?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 24.7¢
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will "Disease" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?Ganó
No$7 @ 70.5¢
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Miami address?Perdió
Yes$41 @ 34.2¢
Will Trump say "Hormuz" this week? (March 22)Perdió
No$12 @ 22.3¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$23 @ 56.6¢
Will Trump say "Peace" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?Ganó
No$55 @ 67.0¢
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)Ganó
No$18 @ 19.1¢
Will Trump say "Ozempic" or "Fat shot" during healthcare event?Ganó
No$48 @ 40.0¢
Will Trump say "Ozempic" or "Fat shot" during healthcare event?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?Perdió
Yes$46 @ 46.0¢
Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" on The Late Show on December 10?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$174 @ 17.4¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?Ganó
Yes$34 @ 78.0¢
Will Trump say "Pool" or "Pond" this week?Ganó
Yes$24 @ 54.0¢
Will Trump say "Melania" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?Perdió
No$1 @ 7.0¢
Will Vance say "Hell" 2+ times during Air Force Academy Address?Ganó
No$0 @ 27.0¢
Will Trump say "Hezbollah" or "Hamas" during Ohio visit?Ganó
No$28 @ 71.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Política	Yes	$40	61.2¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Política	Yes	$28	55.0¢

Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Política
Yes$40 @ 61.2¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?Política
Yes$28 @ 55.0¢