0x1cb6…93f6

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1cb63fd92efcaaf359ffdf301c40674b2ed793f6
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+12.2pp

ROI

+15%

Tasa de acierto

86% @ 74.0¢

Brier

0.090

Resueltas

166

Tamaño med.

$138

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	79% (38/48)	+19%	48
Deportes	75% (15/20)	-41%	20
Política	82% (14/17)	+40%	17
Cripto	100% (2/2)	+22%	2
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+22%	1

Other48 apuestas
Tasa acierto
79% (38/48)
ROI
+19%
Deportes20 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (15/20)
ROI
-41%
Política17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
82% (14/17)
ROI
+40%
Cripto2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+22%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+22%

Historial

80% acierto · 70/88

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?	No	$180	88.9¢	Ganó
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$251	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$984	67.0¢	Perdió
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	Yes	$151	85.2¢	Ganó
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$153	85.2¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$5	13.9¢	Perdió
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$48	36.0¢	Perdió
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	$683	71.6¢	Ganó
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	Yes	$472	68.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$431	78.2¢	Ganó
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5	Under	$50	80.8¢	Ganó
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$100	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$546	73.1¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$238	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$213	35.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	$227	88.8¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$85	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 22, 2026?	Yes	$602	88.8¢	Ganó
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	$106	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?	Yes	$491	79.4¢	Ganó
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$101	79.5¢	Ganó
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	Rina Saigo	$141	85.1¢	Ganó
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Perdió
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5	Over	$100	89.0¢	Ganó
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	No	$240	81.0¢	Ganó
Will Bernie Sanders say "Iran" in Michigan?	Yes	$201	83.8¢	Ganó
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$620	63.9¢	Ganó
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$216	73.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$352	76.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	$211	88.9¢	Ganó
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	$48	90.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	$181	89.0¢	Ganó
Nothing Ever Happens: July	Nothing	$103	80.7¢	Ganó
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski	Frances Tiafoe	$352	75.3¢	Ganó
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$60	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	No	$29	84.0¢	Ganó
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik	Taylor Fritz	$301	80.9¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$551	82.3¢	Ganó
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$75	87.0¢	Perdió
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	$224	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$101	84.2¢	Perdió
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	$198	86.5¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$125	74.7¢	Ganó
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$5	5.6¢	Perdió
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	$677	84.3¢	Ganó
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	$1.2k	50.2¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$239	11.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	$141	85.5¢	Ganó
Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	No	$197	89.9¢	Ganó

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Ganó
No$180 @ 88.9¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceGanó
Argentina$251 @ 89.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Perdió
Yes$984 @ 67.0¢
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?Ganó
Yes$151 @ 85.2¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
No$153 @ 85.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 13.9¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$48 @ 36.0¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Ganó
Yes$683 @ 71.6¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Ganó
Yes$472 @ 68.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$431 @ 78.2¢
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Ganó
Under$50 @ 80.8¢
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 89.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Ganó
Yes$546 @ 73.1¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$238 @ 82.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$213 @ 35.5¢
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?Ganó
No$227 @ 88.8¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$85 @ 84.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 22, 2026?Ganó
Yes$602 @ 88.8¢
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Ganó
Yes$106 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?Ganó
Yes$491 @ 79.4¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$101 @ 79.5¢
ITF Wuning: Rina Saigo vs Sonja ZhiyenbayevaGanó
Rina Saigo$141 @ 85.1¢
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Ganó
Over$100 @ 89.0¢
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Ganó
No$240 @ 81.0¢
Will Bernie Sanders say "Iran" in Michigan?Ganó
Yes$201 @ 83.8¢
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Ganó
Yes$620 @ 63.9¢
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Ganó
Yes$216 @ 73.0¢
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
Yes$352 @ 76.1¢
Will Trump say "Stock market" or "401(k)" at The Villages on May 1?Ganó
Yes$211 @ 88.9¢
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Ganó
Yes$48 @ 90.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Ganó
Yes$181 @ 89.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyGanó
Nothing$103 @ 80.7¢
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan ChoinskiGanó
Frances Tiafoe$352 @ 75.3¢
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Ganó
Yes$60 @ 80.0¢
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Ganó
No$29 @ 84.0¢
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander BublikGanó
Taylor Fritz$301 @ 80.9¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$551 @ 82.3¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Perdió
No$75 @ 87.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Ganó
No$224 @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$101 @ 84.2¢
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo ArnaldiGanó
Matteo Arnaldi$198 @ 86.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$125 @ 74.7¢
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
No$5 @ 5.6¢
Will England win on 2026-07-05?Ganó
Yes$677 @ 84.3¢
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 50.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Perdió
Yes$239 @ 11.7¢
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 27 - May 3)Ganó
Yes$141 @ 85.5¢
Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?Ganó
No$197 @ 89.9¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	—	No	$211	92.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026	Política	No	$200	95.0¢
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	—	No	$140	97.5¢
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?	—	No	$100	89.0¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?—
No$211 @ 92.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026Política
No$200 @ 95.0¢
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?—
No$140 @ 97.5¢
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?—
No$100 @ 89.0¢