0x1c14…0869

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1c144e30f405a25f991cbd8baa15d40599090869
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+10.2pp

ROI

+16%

Tasa de acierto

48% @ 38.0¢

Brier

0.144

Resueltas

2021

Tamaño med.

$127

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	73% (324/444)	+28%	444
Other	61% (143/236)	+36%	236
Geopolítica	57% (4/7)	+538%	7
Deportes	50% (3/6)	+38%	6
Economía	100% (1/1)	+20%	1
Cripto	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Política444 apuestas
Tasa acierto
73% (324/444)
ROI
+28%
Other236 apuestas
Tasa acierto
61% (143/236)
ROI
+36%
Geopolítica7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
57% (4/7)
ROI
+538%
Deportes6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (3/6)
ROI
+38%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%
Cripto1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

68% acierto · 475/695

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?	Yes	$140	28.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Bond" in June?	No	$5	99.0¢	Ganó
Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	$8	83.0¢	Ganó
Will the Republicans win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	$54	80.4¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?	Yes	$24	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?	No	$249	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?	No	$7	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$73	20.3¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$129	42.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$732	71.9¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?	No	$114	57.6¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$97	68.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$43	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$479	57.6¢	Ganó
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	France	$100	79.2¢	Ganó
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?	No	$303	54.3¢	Perdió
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$359	9.0¢	Perdió
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	Norway	$100	35.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Four More Years" in June?	No	$5	99.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?	No	$2.5k	90.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Tiger" in July?	Yes	$97	73.7¢	Ganó
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	Yes	$245	52.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?	Yes	$174	49.9¢	Perdió
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance	Germany	$87	87.0¢	Perdió
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	$683	47.4¢	Ganó
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$7	1.5¢	Perdió
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?	Yes	$40	98.1¢	Ganó
Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?	No	$20	99.1¢	Ganó
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	$551	28.4¢	Perdió
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?	Yes	$87	87.0¢	Ganó
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?	No	$87	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$6.1k	14.6¢	Ganó
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$780	39.0¢	Ganó
Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)	No	$246	91.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Burger" in October?	No	$17	89.5¢	Ganó
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	$2.1k	19.8¢	Ganó
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	$184	61.0¢	Ganó
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	$120	60.0¢	Ganó
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?	No	$154	76.6¢	Perdió
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?	Yes	$599	81.4¢	Perdió
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	$700	35.0¢	Perdió
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	Yes	$98	89.7¢	Ganó
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?	Yes	$13	74.0¢	Ganó
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$27	89.1¢	Ganó
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$5	26.0¢	Ganó
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Perdió
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	$3.2k	73.0¢	Ganó
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	$3.5k	70.0¢	Ganó
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	$26	52.0¢	Ganó

Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?Perdió
Yes$140 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump say "Bond" in June?Ganó
No$5 @ 99.0¢
Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ganó
Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
Will the Republicans win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ganó
No$54 @ 80.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Ganó
Yes$24 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?Ganó
No$249 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?Ganó
No$7 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?Ganó
Yes$73 @ 20.3¢
Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?Ganó
Yes$129 @ 42.0¢
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation?Ganó
Yes$732 @ 71.9¢
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?Ganó
No$114 @ 57.6¢
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation?Ganó
Yes$97 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?Perdió
Yes$43 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?Ganó
Yes$479 @ 57.6¢
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceGanó
France$100 @ 79.2¢
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Perdió
No$303 @ 54.3¢
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Perdió
Yes$359 @ 9.0¢
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvancePerdió
Norway$100 @ 35.5¢
Will Trump say "Four More Years" in June?Ganó
No$5 @ 99.0¢
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Ganó
No$2.5k @ 90.2¢
Will Trump say "Tiger" in July?Ganó
Yes$97 @ 73.7¢
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Perdió
Yes$245 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?Perdió
Yes$174 @ 49.9¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvancePerdió
Germany$87 @ 87.0¢
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ganó
No$683 @ 47.4¢
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 1.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 98.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?Ganó
No$20 @ 99.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Perdió
Yes$551 @ 28.4¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Ganó
Yes$87 @ 87.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?Ganó
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
Yes$6.1k @ 14.6¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$780 @ 39.0¢
Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)Ganó
No$246 @ 91.0¢
Will Trump say "Burger" in October?Ganó
No$17 @ 89.5¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Ganó
Yes$2.1k @ 19.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ganó
No$184 @ 61.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ganó
Yes$120 @ 60.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?Perdió
No$154 @ 76.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Perdió
Yes$599 @ 81.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePerdió
Yes$700 @ 35.0¢
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Ganó
Yes$98 @ 89.7¢
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Ganó
Yes$13 @ 74.0¢
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ganó
Yes$27 @ 89.1¢
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ganó
No$3.2k @ 73.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.5k @ 70.0¢
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Ganó
Yes$26 @ 52.0¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$33.9k	43.1¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$7.2k	4.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Política	No	$7.1k	97.6¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Política	Yes	$5.7k	42.2¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$4.7k	0.9¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$4.3k	4.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Política	No	$3.7k	97.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Política	No	$3.2k	89.3¢
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Política	Yes	$2.8k	84.6¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$2.5k	0.8¢
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?	Política	Yes	$2.2k	77.5¢
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$2.1k	0.6¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.0k	84.6¢
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Política	No	$1.6k	76.4¢
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$1.4k	0.2¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Política	Yes	$1.2k	53.1¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$1.2k	0.6¢
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Política	Yes	$1.0k	66.1¢
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Política	Yes	$1.0k	66.7¢
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Política	No	$990	94.4¢
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	Política	No	$779	92.8¢
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?	Política	Yes	$762	75.8¢
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$651	37.0¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Política	Yes	$642	38.7¢
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Política	Yes	$566	7.6¢
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Política	Yes	$530	76.9¢
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Política	No	$530	98.5¢
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Política	Yes	$512	70.0¢
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$460	62.4¢
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	Política	No	$453	84.3¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$33.9k @ 43.1¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$7.2k @ 4.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Política
No$7.1k @ 97.6¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Política
Yes$5.7k @ 42.2¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$4.7k @ 0.9¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$4.3k @ 4.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?Política
No$3.7k @ 97.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Política
No$3.2k @ 89.3¢
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?Política
Yes$2.8k @ 84.6¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$2.5k @ 0.8¢
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Política
Yes$2.2k @ 77.5¢
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$2.1k @ 0.6¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$2.0k @ 84.6¢
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Política
No$1.6k @ 76.4¢
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$1.4k @ 0.2¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?Política
Yes$1.2k @ 53.1¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$1.2k @ 0.6¢
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?Política
Yes$1.0k @ 66.1¢
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Política
Yes$1.0k @ 66.7¢
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?Política
No$990 @ 94.4¢
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Política
No$779 @ 92.8¢
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?Política
Yes$762 @ 75.8¢
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$651 @ 37.0¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Política
Yes$642 @ 38.7¢
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Política
Yes$566 @ 7.6¢
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?Política
Yes$530 @ 76.9¢
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Política
No$530 @ 98.5¢
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028?Política
Yes$512 @ 70.0¢
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Política
Yes$460 @ 62.4¢
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Política
No$453 @ 84.3¢