0x1b60…a55b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x1b6022ae41ad7a0b387a88c17885c754436ca55b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+28.5pp

ROI

+65%

Tasa de acierto

81% @ 52.2¢

Brier

0.206

Resueltas

844

Tamaño med.

$166

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	73% (41/56)	+38%	56
Other	54% (22/41)	+121%	41
Tecnología	86% (6/7)	-23%	7
Geopolítica	67% (4/6)	-14%	6
Economía	100% (3/3)	+9%	3

Política56 apuestas
Tasa acierto
73% (41/56)
ROI
+38%
Other41 apuestas
Tasa acierto
54% (22/41)
ROI
+121%
Tecnología7 apuestas
Tasa acierto
86% (6/7)
ROI
-23%
Geopolítica6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (4/6)
ROI
-14%
Economía3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (3/3)
ROI
+9%

Historial

67% acierto · 76/113

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$159	48.0¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$956	68.3¢	Ganó
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	No	$121	89.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?	No	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	No	$169	70.0¢	Perdió
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$400	83.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in July?	No	$50	10.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$900	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$9	0.9¢	Perdió
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	86.8¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	$300	33.2¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$6.6k	63.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?	No	$81	81.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$200	47.0¢	Perdió
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?	Yes	$100	0.6¢	Perdió
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$186	74.3¢	Ganó
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	$175	30.8¢	Perdió
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$1.3k	60.6¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$100	22.0¢	Perdió
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?	No	$206	28.1¢	Perdió
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?	Yes	$478	83.9¢	Ganó
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	$563	13.9¢	Perdió
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$1.5k	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$237	23.6¢	Perdió
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$2.3k	53.9¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$8.5k	50.9¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$340	34.0¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	$100	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	80.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$461	48.2¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?	No	$1.2k	7.6¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?	Yes	$16.6k	25.7¢	Ganó
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$95	38.0¢	Perdió
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	$1.3k	74.7¢	Ganó
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	$140	28.0¢	Perdió
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	$3.0k	71.4¢	Ganó
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	$3.0k	78.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in July?	No	$108	54.0¢	Perdió
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	$179	89.4¢	Ganó
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	$200	24.2¢	Perdió
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	$502	87.9¢	Ganó
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?	Yes	$401	79.8¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$27	38.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$1.1k	10.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$7.4k	74.0¢	Ganó
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$9.4k	68.9¢	Ganó
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	$1000	87.1¢	Ganó
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	$379	8.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	$232	45.9¢	Perdió
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?	No	$890	89.0¢	Ganó

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Ganó
No$159 @ 48.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Ganó
Yes$956 @ 68.3¢
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$121 @ 89.2¢
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in July 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 8.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Perdió
No$169 @ 70.0¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$400 @ 83.1¢
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in July?Perdió
No$50 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Ganó
No$900 @ 88.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 0.9¢
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 86.8¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Perdió
No$300 @ 33.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Ganó
Yes$6.6k @ 63.0¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?Ganó
No$81 @ 81.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Perdió
Yes$200 @ 47.0¢
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 0.6¢
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$186 @ 74.3¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Perdió
No$175 @ 30.8¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Ganó
Yes$1.3k @ 60.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Perdió
Yes$100 @ 22.0¢
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?Perdió
No$206 @ 28.1¢
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?Ganó
Yes$478 @ 83.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Perdió
Yes$563 @ 13.9¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 84.0¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Perdió
Yes$237 @ 23.6¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$2.3k @ 53.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$8.5k @ 50.9¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$340 @ 34.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 72.0¢
Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Ganó
No$461 @ 48.2¢
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Perdió
No$1.2k @ 7.6¢
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Ganó
Yes$16.6k @ 25.7¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$95 @ 38.0¢
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 74.7¢
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$140 @ 28.0¢
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Ganó
Yes$3.0k @ 71.4¢
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Ganó
Yes$3.0k @ 78.1¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in July?Perdió
No$108 @ 54.0¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Ganó
No$179 @ 89.4¢
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Perdió
No$200 @ 24.2¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Ganó
No$502 @ 87.9¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Ganó
Yes$401 @ 79.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Ganó
No$27 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 10.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$7.4k @ 74.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Ganó
Yes$9.4k @ 68.9¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Ganó
No$1000 @ 87.1¢
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Perdió
Yes$379 @ 8.8¢
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Perdió
Yes$232 @ 45.9¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Ganó
No$890 @ 89.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Trump out as President before 2027?	Política	No	$9.2k	92.0¢
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$7.1k	90.6¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$5.2k	81.9¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$4.9k	88.9¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Política	No	$3.6k	90.2¢
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?	Política	No	$3.4k	90.5¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$3.2k	58.1¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Política	No	$3.1k	89.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$3.1k	76.7¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$3.0k	93.6¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$2.6k	86.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$2.4k	79.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$2.3k	63.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$1.6k	22.1¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Política	No	$1.4k	93.2¢
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1.4k	89.7¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$1.3k	21.2¢
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Política	No	$1.1k	64.3¢
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1.1k	79.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Política	No	$1.0k	78.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Política	Yes	$1.0k	48.9¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Política	No	$930	93.0¢
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$929	92.9¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Política	Yes	$923	87.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$900	90.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$880	88.0¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$529	89.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Tecnología	No	$460	92.0¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Política	No	$400	81.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	Política	No	$398	94.0¢

Trump out as President before 2027?Política
No$9.2k @ 92.0¢
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Política
No$7.1k @ 90.6¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Política
No$5.2k @ 81.9¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Política
No$4.9k @ 88.9¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Política
No$3.6k @ 90.2¢
Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?Política
No$3.4k @ 90.5¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$3.2k @ 58.1¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Política
No$3.1k @ 89.2¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Política
No$3.1k @ 76.7¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$3.0k @ 93.6¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$2.6k @ 86.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?Política
No$2.4k @ 79.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Política
No$2.3k @ 63.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$1.6k @ 22.1¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
No$1.4k @ 93.2¢
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1.4k @ 89.7¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$1.3k @ 21.2¢
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Política
No$1.1k @ 64.3¢
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1.1k @ 79.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Política
No$1.0k @ 78.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Política
Yes$1.0k @ 48.9¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Política
No$930 @ 93.0¢
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Política
No$929 @ 92.9¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Política
Yes$923 @ 87.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Política
No$900 @ 90.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$880 @ 88.0¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?Política
No$529 @ 89.0¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tecnología
No$460 @ 92.0¢
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Política
No$400 @ 81.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Política
No$398 @ 94.0¢