← Dinero inteligente
0x1b0d…e9e9
ExpertoVentaja
+22.3pp
ROI
+61%
Tasa de acierto
82% @ 59.3¢
Brier
0.173
Resueltas
38
Tamaño med.
$1
Tendencia ROI
Especialización por esfera
| Esfera | Tasa acierto | ROI | Apuestas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 67% (4/6) | +44% | 6 |
| Política | 75% (3/4) | +81% | 4 |
| Cripto | 67% (2/3) | +76% | 3 |
- Other6 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +44%
- Política4 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +81%
- Cripto3 apuestas
- Tasa acierto
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +76%
Historial
69% acierto · 9/13| Mercado | Resultado | Tamaño | Entrada | Resultado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $1 | 32.0¢ | Perdió |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | No | $2 | 72.0¢ | Ganó |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $4 | 70.6¢ | Ganó |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $9 | 39.0¢ | Ganó |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Yes | $4 | 31.4¢ | Perdió |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | No | $2 | 24.7¢ | Ganó |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | $1 | 63.3¢ | Perdió |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | $1 | 37.0¢ | Perdió |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | $11 | 79.8¢ | Ganó |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $1 | 65.7¢ | Ganó |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | $1 | 19.0¢ | Ganó |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $1 | 85.0¢ | Ganó |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | No | $1 | 99.0¢ | Ganó |
- Yes$1 @ 32.0¢
- No$2 @ 72.0¢
- No$4 @ 70.6¢
- No$9 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 31.4¢
- No$2 @ 24.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 63.3¢
- No$1 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 79.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 65.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
- No$1 @ 85.0¢
- No$1 @ 99.0¢
Operaciones recientes
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Posiciones actuales
| Mercado | Esfera | Resultado | Tamaño | Entrada |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Cripto | No | $30 | 92.8¢ |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | — | No | $6 | 78.2¢ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Política | No | $5 | 69.9¢ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | Cripto | No | $2 | 92.0¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | — | No | $2 | 97.0¢ |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | Cripto | No | $1 | 80.0¢ |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | — | Yes | $1 | 54.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat? | Política | No | $1 | 95.0¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | — | No | $1 | 70.0¢ |
- No$30 @ 92.8¢
- No$6 @ 78.2¢
- No$5 @ 69.9¢
- No$2 @ 92.0¢
- No$2 @ 97.0¢
- No$1 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
- No$1 @ 95.0¢
- No$1 @ 70.0¢