0x15ce…d5fa

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x15ceffed7bf820cd2d90f90ea24ae9909f5cd5fa
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

-3.8pp

ROI

+24%

Tasa de acierto

10% @ 13.4¢

Brier

0.048

Resueltas

874

Tamaño med.

$18

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	9% (22/232)	-22%	232
Ciencia	43% (6/14)	-24%	14
Deportes	31% (4/13)	-6%	13
Política	33% (1/3)	-15%	3

Other232 apuestas
Tasa acierto
9% (22/232)
ROI
-22%
Ciencia14 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (6/14)
ROI
-24%
Deportes13 apuestas
Tasa acierto
31% (4/13)
ROI
-6%
Política3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-15%

Historial

13% acierto · 33/262

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 19?	Yes	$14	9.1¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 20?	Yes	$6	3.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?	Yes	$52	7.6¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	$17	3.6¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?	Yes	$27	1.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?	Yes	$304	41.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?	Yes	$438	34.2¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 21?	Yes	$127	10.6¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 19?	Yes	$13	11.8¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 19?	Yes	$9	1.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	$28	13.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 21?	Yes	$49	12.8¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on August 21?	Yes	$15	4.3¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 18?	Yes	$43	9.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 20?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	$17	18.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?	Yes	$12	2.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?	No	$82	33.5¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 20?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 21?	Yes	$9	30.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21?	Yes	$168	19.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 21?	Yes	$143	12.8¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 21?	Yes	$15	1.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?	Yes	$47	3.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	$57	26.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	Yes	$91	23.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 19?	Yes	$12	8.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 18?	Yes	$7	3.5¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 20?	Yes	$28	3.5¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	$77	16.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 21?	Yes	$38	4.1¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	Yes	$153	8.8¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20?	Yes	$186	6.4¢	Perdió
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 19?	Yes	$17	24.3¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 19?	Yes	$65	3.1¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	Yes	$118	18.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?	Yes	$136	25.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 19?	Yes	$16	8.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 18?	Yes	$29	2.8¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 18?	Yes	$37	13.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	$12	3.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 15?	Yes	$80	9.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 14?	Yes	$59	19.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	$62	6.2¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	$31	3.7¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on August 13?	Yes	$2	0.2¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	$9	7.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	Yes	$48	0.9¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 17?	Yes	$13	5.1¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	$48	2.3¢	Perdió

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 19?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 3.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$52 @ 7.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 3.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$27 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$304 @ 41.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?Perdió
Yes$438 @ 34.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 21?Perdió
Yes$127 @ 10.6¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 19?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 11.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 19?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 21?Perdió
Yes$49 @ 12.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on August 21?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 4.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 18?Perdió
Yes$43 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 18.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on August 21?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 2.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?Perdió
No$82 @ 33.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 21?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 30.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21?Perdió
Yes$168 @ 19.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 21?Perdió
Yes$143 @ 12.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 21?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 1.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 19?Perdió
Yes$57 @ 26.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?Perdió
Yes$91 @ 23.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 19?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 8.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 18?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 3.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 21?Perdió
Yes$77 @ 16.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 21?Perdió
Yes$38 @ 4.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?Perdió
Yes$153 @ 8.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$186 @ 6.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 19?Perdió
Yes$17 @ 24.3¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 19?Perdió
Yes$65 @ 3.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?Perdió
Yes$118 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?Perdió
Yes$136 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 19?Perdió
Yes$16 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 18?Perdió
Yes$29 @ 2.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 18?Perdió
Yes$37 @ 13.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 15?Perdió
Yes$80 @ 9.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 14?Perdió
Yes$59 @ 19.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 17?Perdió
Yes$62 @ 6.2¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 13?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on August 13?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 13?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 7.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?Perdió
Yes$48 @ 0.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 17?Perdió
Yes$13 @ 5.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?Perdió
Yes$48 @ 2.3¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?	—	No	$5.0k	99.8¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$472	26.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?	—	Yes	$438	34.2¢
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$411	70.2¢
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	—	Yes	$326	46.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?	—	Yes	$304	41.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 18?	—	Yes	$266	26.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on August 15?	—	Yes	$221	6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?	—	Yes	$192	12.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20?	—	Yes	$186	6.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21?	—	Yes	$168	19.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	—	Yes	$153	8.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?	—	Yes	$148	13.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 21?	—	Yes	$143	12.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 15?	—	Yes	$141	23.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?	—	Yes	$136	25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 13?	—	Yes	$135	21.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?	—	Yes	$133	25.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 21?	—	Yes	$127	10.6¢
Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?	Ciencia	Yes	$125	30.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 13?	—	Yes	$120	24.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?	—	Yes	$118	18.0¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Deportes	Yes	$115	4.2¢
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	—	Yes	$114	57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 1?	—	Yes	$112	15.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$99	0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 17?	—	Yes	$98	12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?	—	Yes	$95	27.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	—	Yes	$91	23.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 18?	—	Yes	$85	5.9¢

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?—
No$5.0k @ 99.8¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$472 @ 26.9¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?—
Yes$438 @ 34.2¢
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ciencia
Yes$411 @ 70.2¢
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?—
Yes$326 @ 46.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?—
Yes$304 @ 41.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 18?—
Yes$266 @ 26.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on August 15?—
Yes$221 @ 6.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?—
Yes$192 @ 12.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 20?—
Yes$186 @ 6.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 21?—
Yes$168 @ 19.4¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?—
Yes$153 @ 8.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?—
Yes$148 @ 13.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 21?—
Yes$143 @ 12.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 15?—
Yes$141 @ 23.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?—
Yes$136 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 13?—
Yes$135 @ 21.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?—
Yes$133 @ 25.8¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 21?—
Yes$127 @ 10.6¢
Will there be no hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?Ciencia
Yes$125 @ 30.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 13?—
Yes$120 @ 24.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 20?—
Yes$118 @ 18.0¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Deportes
Yes$115 @ 4.2¢
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?—
Yes$114 @ 57.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 1?—
Yes$112 @ 15.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$99 @ 0.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 17?—
Yes$98 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 18?—
Yes$95 @ 27.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?—
Yes$91 @ 23.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 18?—
Yes$85 @ 5.9¢