0x133a…8397

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x133a983218418809df1a1fcf71e984f1cb448397
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+9.5pp

ROI

+18%

Tasa de acierto

31% @ 21.7¢

Brier

0.079

Resueltas

173

Tamaño med.

$44

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	57% (13/23)	+46%	23
Política	24% (4/17)	-46%	17
Geopolítica	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Tecnología	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+185%	1

Other23 apuestas
Tasa acierto
57% (13/23)
ROI
+46%
Política17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
24% (4/17)
ROI
-46%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+185%

Historial

40% acierto · 18/45

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$110	61.7¢	Ganó
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$50	33.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$138	43.0¢	Ganó
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	$55	2.1¢	Perdió
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	$37	53.4¢	Ganó
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	$214	0.5¢	Perdió
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?	Yes	$50	20.5¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$282	31.8¢	Perdió
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$60	39.3¢	Ganó
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$179	0.6¢	Perdió
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$140	33.1¢	Perdió
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	Yes	$50	12.0¢	Perdió
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	$5	3.1¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$20	3.6¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$1.1k	56.0¢	Ganó
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	$28	31.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$5	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$150	48.8¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$5	0.5¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$1.3k	57.5¢	Ganó
Nothing Ever Happens: June	Nothing	$10	88.1¢	Ganó
Netanyahu out by March 31?	Yes	$316	3.6¢	Perdió
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	$387	14.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	No	$10	6.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	$50	8.3¢	Perdió
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$158	49.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	$170	52.4¢	Ganó
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$20	68.5¢	Ganó
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	$29	38.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$1	6.0¢	Perdió
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$10	41.0¢	Ganó
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$410	64.6¢	Ganó
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	$410	35.1¢	Ganó
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$43	0.2¢	Perdió
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$1	2.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	$20	85.0¢	Ganó
Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	$699	1.8¢	Perdió
Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	$707	63.6¢	Ganó
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$90	53.5¢	Perdió
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?	Yes	$1	94.0¢	Ganó
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	$56	0.5¢	Perdió
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	$1	4.7¢	Perdió
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$233	4.2¢	Perdió
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$130	9.2¢	Perdió
Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?	Yes	$100	70.1¢	Ganó

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Ganó
Yes$110 @ 61.7¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 33.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$138 @ 43.0¢
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Perdió
No$55 @ 2.1¢
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Ganó
Yes$37 @ 53.4¢
Trump out as President by April 30?Perdió
Yes$214 @ 0.5¢
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 20.5¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Perdió
Yes$282 @ 31.8¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Ganó
Yes$60 @ 39.3¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Perdió
Yes$179 @ 0.6¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?Perdió
Yes$140 @ 33.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 12.0¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 3.1¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Perdió
No$20 @ 3.6¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 56.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Perdió
No$28 @ 31.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Ganó
Yes$150 @ 48.8¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$5 @ 0.5¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Ganó
Yes$1.3k @ 57.5¢
Nothing Ever Happens: JuneGanó
Nothing$10 @ 88.1¢
Netanyahu out by March 31?Perdió
Yes$316 @ 3.6¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Perdió
Yes$387 @ 14.8¢
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?Perdió
No$10 @ 6.0¢
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?Perdió
Yes$50 @ 8.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Ganó
No$158 @ 49.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Ganó
Yes$170 @ 52.4¢
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 68.5¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Perdió
Yes$29 @ 38.0¢
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 6.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 41.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Ganó
Yes$410 @ 64.6¢
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Ganó
Yes$410 @ 35.1¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Perdió
No$43 @ 0.2¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.7¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Ganó
No$20 @ 85.0¢
Trump out as President by June 30?Perdió
Yes$699 @ 1.8¢
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchGanó
Nothing$707 @ 63.6¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Perdió
No$90 @ 53.5¢
Will Marco Rubio attend NATO Summit?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 94.0¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Perdió
No$56 @ 0.5¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 4.7¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
Yes$233 @ 4.2¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
No$130 @ 9.2¢
Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 70.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Trump out as President before 2027?	Política	Yes	$2.2k	14.5¢
Maduro guilty of all counts?	Política	No	$1.3k	77.2¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Política	Yes	$555	36.5¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Política	No	$196	36.6¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	Política	Yes	$193	45.5¢
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Política	No	$127	37.1¢
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Política	No	$100	98.4¢
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?	Política	No	$50	51.8¢
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	Política	Yes	$50	34.0¢
Trump out as President by August 31?	—	Yes	$40	1.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	—	Yes	$33	99.2¢
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Geopolítica	Yes	$25	24.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$20	20.2¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?	Política	Yes	$20	14.0¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Política	Yes	$17	3.1¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	—	Yes	$10	56.4¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Tecnología	Yes	$10	46.0¢
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	—	No	$10	42.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	—	No	$10	34.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	Yes	$5	41.0¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	Yes	$5	6.7¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?	Política	Yes	$5	2.2¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Tecnología	No	$1	57.0¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Política	Yes	$1	4.7¢

Trump out as President before 2027?Política
Yes$2.2k @ 14.5¢
Maduro guilty of all counts?Política
No$1.3k @ 77.2¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Política
Yes$555 @ 36.5¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Política
No$196 @ 36.6¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Política
Yes$193 @ 45.5¢
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Política
No$127 @ 37.1¢
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Política
No$100 @ 98.4¢
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Política
No$50 @ 51.8¢
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Política
Yes$50 @ 34.0¢
Trump out as President by August 31?—
Yes$40 @ 1.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?—
Yes$33 @ 99.2¢
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayGeopolítica
Yes$25 @ 24.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$20 @ 20.2¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?Política
Yes$20 @ 14.0¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Política
Yes$17 @ 3.1¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?—
Yes$10 @ 56.4¢
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tecnología
Yes$10 @ 46.0¢
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?—
No$10 @ 42.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?—
No$10 @ 34.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
Yes$5 @ 41.0¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
Yes$5 @ 6.7¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?Política
Yes$5 @ 2.2¢
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tecnología
No$1 @ 57.0¢
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Política
Yes$1 @ 4.7¢