0x1186…051b

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x118689b24aead1d6e9507b8068d056b2ec4f051b
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.0pp

ROI

+8%

Tasa de acierto

58% @ 51.7¢

Brier

0.187

Resueltas

2590

Tamaño med.

$251

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	60% (104/172)	+7%	172
Deportes	89% (8/9)	+11%	9
Ciencia	100% (8/8)	+29%	8
Política	50% (2/4)	-42%	4

Other172 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (104/172)
ROI
+7%
Deportes9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
89% (8/9)
ROI
+11%
Ciencia8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (8/8)
ROI
+29%
Política4 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (2/4)
ROI
-42%

Historial

63% acierto · 122/193

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$790	79.0¢	Perdió
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	No	$1.6k	80.0¢	Ganó
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$659	67.0¢	Perdió
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?	Yes	$313	14.4¢	Perdió
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?	Yes	$4.4k	28.4¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?	No	$16.0k	76.0¢	Ganó
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$1.6k	80.0¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?	Yes	$643	26.5¢	Perdió
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	$595	60.0¢	Perdió
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	$18.8k	77.1¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?	No	$4.0k	86.9¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?	Yes	$248	24.4¢	Perdió
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	$32.5k	75.9¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?	Yes	$4.8k	62.7¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?	No	$2.5k	63.8¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Perdió
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	Netherlands	$1.2k	59.0¢	Perdió
Panthers vs. 49ers	49ers	$780	78.0¢	Ganó
Warriors vs. Rockets	Rockets	$600	60.0¢	Perdió
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?	Yes	$9.1k	63.4¢	Perdió
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?	No	$113	87.4¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?	Yes	$3.8k	70.9¢	Ganó
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?	No	$2.2k	54.0¢	Perdió
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?	Yes	$1.1k	41.3¢	Ganó
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?	No	$24.4k	76.1¢	Ganó
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?	Yes	$1.7k	57.8¢	Perdió
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	Yes	$2.0k	60.2¢	Ganó
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$1.2k	57.0¢	Ganó
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?	No	$46	2.6¢	Perdió
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?	No	$17.9k	76.7¢	Ganó
2024 October hottest on record?	No	$5.4k	51.8¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?	No	$3.5k	71.0¢	Ganó
Creighton vs. Auburn	Auburn	$918	80.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?	No	$788	84.6¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?	No	$2.2k	86.6¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?	Yes	$441	33.8¢	Perdió
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?	Yes	$978	48.8¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?	Yes	$641	12.9¢	Perdió
Liberty vs. Oregon	Oregon	$689	75.0¢	Ganó
Trudeau resigns by Friday?	No	$798	87.3¢	Ganó
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?	No	$2.1k	69.0¢	Ganó
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?	No	$1.8k	88.5¢	Ganó
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	No	$4	85.0¢	Ganó
Will a hurricane form by September 30?	Yes	$66	68.0¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?	No	$670	53.8¢	Ganó
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?	Yes	$3.9k	25.5¢	Perdió
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel	Crawford	$13.9k	88.0¢	Ganó
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	$8.4k	79.2¢	Ganó
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?	No	$5.9k	46.8¢	Perdió
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?	Yes	$1.8k	89.0¢	Ganó

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Perdió
No$790 @ 79.0¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Ganó
No$1.6k @ 80.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Perdió
Yes$659 @ 67.0¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?Perdió
Yes$313 @ 14.4¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?Ganó
Yes$4.4k @ 28.4¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in October 2025?Ganó
No$16.0k @ 76.0¢
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Ganó
Yes$1.6k @ 80.0¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?Perdió
Yes$643 @ 26.5¢
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Perdió
No$595 @ 60.0¢
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Ganó
Yes$18.8k @ 77.1¢
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Ganó
No$4.0k @ 86.9¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?Perdió
Yes$248 @ 24.4¢
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Ganó
Yes$32.5k @ 75.9¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?Ganó
Yes$4.8k @ 62.7¢
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?Ganó
No$2.5k @ 63.8¢
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvancePerdió
Netherlands$1.2k @ 59.0¢
Panthers vs. 49ersGanó
49ers$780 @ 78.0¢
Warriors vs. RocketsPerdió
Rockets$600 @ 60.0¢
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?Perdió
Yes$9.1k @ 63.4¢
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?Ganó
No$113 @ 87.4¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?Ganó
Yes$3.8k @ 70.9¢
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?Perdió
No$2.2k @ 54.0¢
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?Ganó
Yes$1.1k @ 41.3¢
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Ganó
No$24.4k @ 76.1¢
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 57.8¢
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Ganó
Yes$2.0k @ 60.2¢
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?Ganó
Yes$1.2k @ 57.0¢
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?Perdió
No$46 @ 2.6¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?Ganó
No$17.9k @ 76.7¢
2024 October hottest on record?Ganó
No$5.4k @ 51.8¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Ganó
No$3.5k @ 71.0¢
Creighton vs. AuburnGanó
Auburn$918 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 16?Ganó
No$788 @ 84.6¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?Ganó
No$2.2k @ 86.6¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?Perdió
Yes$441 @ 33.8¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?Ganó
Yes$978 @ 48.8¢
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?Perdió
Yes$641 @ 12.9¢
Liberty vs. OregonGanó
Oregon$689 @ 75.0¢
Trudeau resigns by Friday?Ganó
No$798 @ 87.3¢
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?Ganó
No$2.1k @ 69.0¢
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Ganó
No$1.8k @ 88.5¢
Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Ganó
No$4 @ 85.0¢
Will a hurricane form by September 30?Ganó
Yes$66 @ 68.0¢
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?Ganó
No$670 @ 53.8¢
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?Perdió
Yes$3.9k @ 25.5¢
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel Ganó
Crawford$13.9k @ 88.0¢
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Ganó
Yes$8.4k @ 79.2¢
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Perdió
No$5.9k @ 46.8¢
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Ganó
Yes$1.8k @ 89.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Cultura	Yes	$47.9k	58.2¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Cultura	No	$5.1k	75.0¢
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	Ciencia	Yes	$739	38.5¢

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Cultura
Yes$47.9k @ 58.2¢
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Cultura
No$5.1k @ 75.0¢
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?Ciencia
Yes$739 @ 38.5¢