0x0c93…aafa

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0c935d81782c0fa0192dd5d37df0f6c9f1d7aafa
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.5pp

ROI

+15%

Tasa de acierto

51% @ 44.8¢

Brier

0.181

Resueltas

548

Tamaño med.

$16

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	41% (31/76)	+36%	76
Política	33% (4/12)	-42%	12
Geopolítica	33% (1/3)	-4%	3
Economía	67% (2/3)	+10%	3
Deportes	50% (1/2)	-14%	2
Cultura	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other76 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (31/76)
ROI
+36%
Política12 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (4/12)
ROI
-42%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-4%
Economía3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+10%
Deportes2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
-14%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

40% acierto · 39/97

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$25	74.0¢	Ganó
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	$22	52.7¢	Ganó
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$4	50.7¢	Perdió
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$45	12.4¢	Ganó
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	$47	85.9¢	Perdió
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	No	$76	26.3¢	Perdió
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$31	79.0¢	Ganó
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$10	33.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$127	33.5¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$60	2.3¢	Perdió
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	No	$3	86.6¢	Ganó
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?	Yes	$112	4.7¢	Perdió
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?	No	$11	3.9¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?	No	$4	6.0¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	$32	10.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$24	39.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$67	45.5¢	Ganó
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?	Yes	$25	7.6¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$9	5.0¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	$46	2.6¢	Perdió
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$11	22.5¢	Perdió
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?	Yes	$179	15.2¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$180	84.2¢	Ganó
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?	No	$48	85.6¢	Ganó
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$5	28.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	Yes	$635	23.6¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$208	66.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$1.2k	26.4¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$87	58.1¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$54	33.7¢	Perdió
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$21	23.0¢	Perdió
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$80	24.6¢	Perdió
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$231	85.7¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	Yes	$187	10.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$64	48.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	63.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$59	52.3¢	Ganó
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?	No	$21	86.0¢	Ganó
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?	No	$5	31.0¢	Ganó
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?	Yes	$4	38.0¢	Perdió
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	$9	32.1¢	Ganó
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$230	33.3¢	Perdió
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	$505	66.3¢	Ganó
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$513	86.6¢	Ganó
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	$88	37.5¢	Perdió
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$103	50.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$89	38.4¢	Ganó
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	No	$19	54.1¢	Ganó
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	Yes	$4	42.0¢	Perdió
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$112	46.7¢	Perdió

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceGanó
Argentina$25 @ 74.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Ganó
No$22 @ 52.7¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 50.7¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Ganó
No$45 @ 12.4¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Perdió
Yes$47 @ 85.9¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Perdió
No$76 @ 26.3¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Ganó
Yes$31 @ 79.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$127 @ 33.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Perdió
Yes$60 @ 2.3¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Ganó
No$3 @ 86.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Perdió
Yes$112 @ 4.7¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Perdió
No$11 @ 3.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Perdió
No$4 @ 6.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$32 @ 10.7¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Perdió
No$24 @ 39.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Ganó
Yes$67 @ 45.5¢
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Perdió
Yes$25 @ 7.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 5.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Perdió
Yes$46 @ 2.6¢
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 22.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?Perdió
Yes$179 @ 15.2¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$180 @ 84.2¢
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Ganó
No$48 @ 85.6¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 28.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Perdió
Yes$635 @ 23.6¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$208 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$1.2k @ 26.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$87 @ 58.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Perdió
Yes$54 @ 33.7¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 23.0¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$80 @ 24.6¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$231 @ 85.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Perdió
Yes$187 @ 10.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Ganó
Yes$64 @ 48.0¢
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1 @ 63.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Ganó
Yes$59 @ 52.3¢
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?Ganó
No$21 @ 86.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Ganó
No$5 @ 31.0¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 38.0¢
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Ganó
No$9 @ 32.1¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Perdió
No$230 @ 33.3¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ganó
Yes$505 @ 66.3¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$513 @ 86.6¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Perdió
No$88 @ 37.5¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Ganó
Yes$103 @ 50.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Ganó
Yes$89 @ 38.4¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Ganó
No$19 @ 54.1¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 42.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Perdió
No$112 @ 46.7¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Política	Yes	$66	21.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$66	30.5¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Política	Yes	$62	34.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$61	11.2¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Política	No	$55	91.7¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$53	88.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Política	No	$42	30.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	No	$39	94.0¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Política	No	$37	94.9¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	—	Yes	$35	29.5¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	Yes	$30	28.9¢
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	Política	No	$23	93.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$19	34.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Geopolítica	Yes	$18	3.1¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Política	No	$17	63.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	Yes	$17	7.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Política	No	$17	90.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Política	No	$16	93.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	Política	Yes	$16	32.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	—	Yes	$15	2.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$15	16.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?	—	No	$13	43.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	No	$13	96.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$13	7.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$12	30.0¢
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	Política	Yes	$12	39.0¢
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	—	No	$12	59.0¢
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	—	No	$12	78.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$11	2.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$10	15.7¢

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Política
Yes$66 @ 21.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$66 @ 30.5¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Política
Yes$62 @ 34.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$61 @ 11.2¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?Política
No$55 @ 91.7¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$53 @ 88.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Política
No$42 @ 30.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
No$39 @ 94.0¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?Política
No$37 @ 94.9¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?—
Yes$35 @ 29.5¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
Yes$30 @ 28.9¢
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Política
No$23 @ 93.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?—
Yes$19 @ 34.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolítica
Yes$18 @ 3.1¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Política
No$17 @ 63.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
Yes$17 @ 7.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Política
No$17 @ 90.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Política
No$16 @ 93.7¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Política
Yes$16 @ 32.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?—
Yes$15 @ 2.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$15 @ 16.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?—
No$13 @ 43.0¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
No$13 @ 96.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$13 @ 7.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?—
No$12 @ 30.0¢
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Política
Yes$12 @ 39.0¢
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?—
No$12 @ 59.0¢
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?—
No$12 @ 78.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$11 @ 2.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$10 @ 15.7¢