0x0bfb…26a7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x0bfb8009df6c46c1fdd79b65896cf224dc4526a7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.4pp

ROI

+19%

Tasa de acierto

44% @ 40.8¢

Brier

0.153

Resueltas

3971

Tamaño med.

$50

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	50% (108/214)	+4%	214
Política	58% (104/178)	+24%	178
Tecnología	60% (28/47)	-5%	47
Geopolítica	75% (30/40)	-1%	40
Cultura	47% (8/17)	-36%	17
Deportes	64% (7/11)	-60%	11
Cripto	67% (4/6)	+211%	6
Ciencia	100% (1/1)	+49%	1
Economía	100% (1/1)	+60%	1

Other214 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (108/214)
ROI
+4%
Política178 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (104/178)
ROI
+24%
Tecnología47 apuestas
Tasa acierto
60% (28/47)
ROI
-5%
Geopolítica40 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (30/40)
ROI
-1%
Cultura17 apuestas
Tasa acierto
47% (8/17)
ROI
-36%
Deportes11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
64% (7/11)
ROI
-60%
Cripto6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (4/6)
ROI
+211%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+49%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+60%

Historial

57% acierto · 291/515

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	$93	8.8¢	Perdió
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	$39	77.0¢	Ganó
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	$9	15.0¢	Perdió
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	$846	2.2¢	Perdió
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	$17	81.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$136	24.0¢	Ganó
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	$477	39.7¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$89	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.9k	74.4¢	Ganó
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?	No	$18	75.2¢	Ganó
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	No	$627	74.6¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	$165	27.9¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$738	71.4¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$108	6.9¢	Perdió
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$1.2k	77.3¢	Ganó
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$8	0.2¢	Perdió
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	$45	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	$112	21.7¢	Perdió
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$808	4.8¢	Perdió
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	$4	78.0¢	Ganó
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$41	82.0¢	Ganó
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	$159	53.0¢	Ganó
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	No	$146	81.1¢	Ganó
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$148	49.3¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$6.7k	62.5¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$140	35.0¢	Perdió
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?	No	$58	9.5¢	Perdió
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	$6	60.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$92	30.5¢	Perdió
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$61	61.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	$8	7.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	$40	80.1¢	Ganó
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$160	80.0¢	Ganó
Makarska: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Noma Noha Akugue	Noma Noha Akugue	$43	85.0¢	Ganó
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	No	$294	73.5¢	Ganó
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?	Yes	$43	43.0¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$2.0k	51.4¢	Perdió
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	$41	67.1¢	Perdió
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	No	$130	65.0¢	Ganó
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	$4	15.0¢	Perdió
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?	Yes	$301	2.3¢	Perdió
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?	No	$72	4.3¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$595	8.3¢	Perdió
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$1.6k	41.3¢	Ganó
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$176	88.0¢	Ganó
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	Yes	$6	1.2¢	Perdió
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	$7	7.1¢	Ganó
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$101	4.7¢	Perdió
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	Yes	$30	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	$64	54.1¢	Perdió

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Perdió
Yes$93 @ 8.8¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Ganó
Yes$39 @ 77.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1470?Perdió
No$9 @ 15.0¢
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Perdió
No$846 @ 2.2¢
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Ganó
No$17 @ 81.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Ganó
Yes$136 @ 24.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Perdió
Yes$477 @ 39.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Ganó
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$2.9k @ 74.4¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Ganó
No$18 @ 75.2¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Ganó
No$627 @ 74.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Perdió
No$165 @ 27.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$738 @ 71.4¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Perdió
Yes$108 @ 6.9¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Ganó
No$1.2k @ 77.3¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 0.2¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Perdió
Yes$45 @ 3.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$112 @ 21.7¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Perdió
Yes$808 @ 4.8¢
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Ganó
No$4 @ 78.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$41 @ 82.0¢
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?Ganó
No$159 @ 53.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Ganó
No$146 @ 81.1¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Perdió
Yes$148 @ 49.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$6.7k @ 62.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$140 @ 35.0¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Perdió
No$58 @ 9.5¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$6 @ 60.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$92 @ 30.5¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$61 @ 61.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in May 2026?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 7.7¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Ganó
Yes$40 @ 80.1¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Ganó
No$160 @ 80.0¢
Makarska: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Noma Noha AkugueGanó
Noma Noha Akugue$43 @ 85.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Ganó
No$294 @ 73.5¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Perdió
Yes$43 @ 43.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$2.0k @ 51.4¢
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Perdió
No$41 @ 67.1¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Ganó
No$130 @ 65.0¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 15.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Perdió
Yes$301 @ 2.3¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Perdió
No$72 @ 4.3¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Perdió
No$595 @ 8.3¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Ganó
Yes$1.6k @ 41.3¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Ganó
No$176 @ 88.0¢
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 1.2¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Ganó
No$7 @ 7.1¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Perdió
Yes$101 @ 4.7¢
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 1.0¢
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?Perdió
No$64 @ 54.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$1.0k	0.8¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$878	44.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Política	Yes	$822	73.7¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Política	No	$613	57.8¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Deportes	No	$526	77.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$516	50.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$346	86.5¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	No	$341	85.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	No	$324	81.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$296	4.9¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$258	69.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$202	67.3¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Política	Yes	$200	40.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Política	No	$186	93.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$172	86.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	No	$170	24.9¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Política	No	$170	85.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$166	83.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Política	No	$146	73.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$124	41.3¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Deportes	Yes	$93	8.8¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$92	92.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$88	88.4¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Política	No	$85	85.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Deportes	No	$84	84.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Cultura	Yes	$75	75.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$73	73.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Cultura	No	$68	68.0¢
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Política	No	$61	14.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Política	No	$59	58.5¢

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$1.0k @ 0.8¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$878 @ 44.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Política
Yes$822 @ 73.7¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Política
No$613 @ 57.8¢
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Deportes
No$526 @ 77.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$516 @ 50.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$346 @ 86.5¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
No$341 @ 85.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
No$324 @ 81.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$296 @ 4.9¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolítica
No$258 @ 69.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$202 @ 67.3¢
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Política
Yes$200 @ 40.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Política
No$186 @ 93.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$172 @ 86.0¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
No$170 @ 24.9¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Política
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Política
No$166 @ 83.0¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Política
No$146 @ 73.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$124 @ 41.3¢
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Deportes
Yes$93 @ 8.8¢
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Política
No$92 @ 92.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$88 @ 88.4¢
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Política
No$85 @ 85.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Deportes
No$84 @ 84.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Cultura
Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
No$73 @ 73.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Cultura
No$68 @ 68.0¢
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Política
No$61 @ 14.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
No$59 @ 58.5¢