0x08c8…1da2

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x08c897e4780c299061fe683120e5bb18cf931da2
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+8.5pp

ROI

+9%

Tasa de acierto

72% @ 63.0¢

Brier

0.158

Resueltas

3270

Tamaño med.

$238

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	63% (337/531)	+8%	531
Política	58% (21/36)	+11%	36
Deportes	45% (5/11)	+19%	11
Geopolítica	83% (5/6)	+21%	6
Tecnología	50% (1/2)	+78%	2
Negocios	100% (2/2)	+124%	2
Economía	100% (1/1)	+31%	1
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+20%	1

Other531 apuestas
Tasa acierto
63% (337/531)
ROI
+8%
Política36 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (21/36)
ROI
+11%
Deportes11 apuestas
Tasa acierto
45% (5/11)
ROI
+19%
Geopolítica6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
83% (5/6)
ROI
+21%
Tecnología2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (1/2)
ROI
+78%
Negocios2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+124%
Economía1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+31%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%

Historial

63% acierto · 373/590

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?	No	$4.8k	86.6¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during victory rally?	Yes	$237	74.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran ceasefire before July?	No	$815	67.0¢	Ganó
GPT ads by December 31?	No	$507	86.0¢	Ganó
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$2.0k	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?	No	$823	87.0¢	Ganó
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$603	60.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?	No	$9	79.0¢	Perdió
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	$140	41.0¢	Perdió
Will Gladiator II gross more than $75m on opening weekend?	Yes	$170	17.0¢	Perdió
French election called by October 10?	No	$210	40.6¢	Ganó
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	No	$1.0k	87.0¢	Ganó
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?	No	$4	36.0¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?	Yes	$1.7k	87.7¢	Ganó
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$890	53.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	No	$3.4k	77.9¢	Ganó
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	No	$1.0k	86.7¢	Ganó
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$1.7k	73.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	$581	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?	Yes	$182	63.0¢	Ganó
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$412	70.0¢	Perdió
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	$630	81.5¢	Perdió
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?	No	$2.4k	90.0¢	Ganó
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$8	7.0¢	Perdió
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	No	$2.3k	73.4¢	Perdió
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	Yes	$9	32.0¢	Ganó
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?	No	$4.4k	75.5¢	Perdió
Will RFK Jr. say "Vaccine" during Friday address?	Yes	$40	25.0¢	Perdió
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?	No	$887	72.0¢	Ganó
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?	No	$1.0k	63.9¢	Ganó
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?	No	$3.3k	79.8¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?	No	$73	66.0¢	Perdió
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?	No	$1.3k	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?	No	$629	72.9¢	Perdió
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	Yes	$33	15.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?	No	$3.0k	76.4¢	Ganó
Will Trump release medical records before the election?	No	$435	87.0¢	Ganó
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?	Yes	$1.8k	56.0¢	Perdió
Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?	No	$91	69.2¢	Ganó
Nothing Ever Happens	Yes	$488	61.0¢	Ganó
Walz's brother attends Trump rally in September?	No	$24	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	$304	23.1¢	Perdió
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?	No	$2.0k	33.9¢	Ganó
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?	Yes	$940	87.5¢	Perdió
TikTok banned in 2025?	Yes	$109	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?	Yes	$561	79.8¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Front Row Joe" during Greensboro, NC rally?	Yes	$129	52.8¢	Ganó
Will Kamala Harris get 80-82m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?	Yes	$118	10.1¢	Perdió
Will Trump win Wyoming by 50+ points?	No	$320	64.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?	No	$446	67.0¢	Ganó

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Ganó
No$4.8k @ 86.6¢
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during victory rally? Ganó
Yes$237 @ 74.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire before July? Ganó
No$815 @ 67.0¢
GPT ads by December 31?Ganó
No$507 @ 86.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Ganó
No$2.0k @ 80.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?Ganó
No$823 @ 87.0¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Ganó
No$603 @ 60.0¢
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Perdió
No$9 @ 79.0¢
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Perdió
Yes$140 @ 41.0¢
Will Gladiator II gross more than $75m on opening weekend?Perdió
Yes$170 @ 17.0¢
French election called by October 10?Ganó
No$210 @ 40.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 87.0¢
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? Perdió
No$4 @ 36.0¢
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Ganó
Yes$1.7k @ 87.7¢
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Perdió
Yes$890 @ 53.7¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Ganó
No$3.4k @ 77.9¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Ganó
No$1.0k @ 86.7¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Perdió
Yes$1.7k @ 73.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Ganó
No$581 @ 66.0¢
Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?Ganó
Yes$182 @ 63.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Perdió
Yes$412 @ 70.0¢
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Perdió
No$630 @ 81.5¢
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?Ganó
No$2.4k @ 90.0¢
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 7.0¢
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Perdió
No$2.3k @ 73.4¢
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 32.0¢
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?Perdió
No$4.4k @ 75.5¢
Will RFK Jr. say "Vaccine" during Friday address?Perdió
Yes$40 @ 25.0¢
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?Ganó
No$887 @ 72.0¢
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Ganó
No$1.0k @ 63.9¢
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?Ganó
No$3.3k @ 79.8¢
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?Perdió
No$73 @ 66.0¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Ganó
No$1.3k @ 88.0¢
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Perdió
No$629 @ 72.9¢
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Perdió
Yes$33 @ 15.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Ganó
No$3.0k @ 76.4¢
Will Trump release medical records before the election? Ganó
No$435 @ 87.0¢
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Perdió
Yes$1.8k @ 56.0¢
Will Anderson Cooper be named in Epstein files?Ganó
No$91 @ 69.2¢
Nothing Ever Happens Ganó
Yes$488 @ 61.0¢
Walz's brother attends Trump rally in September?Ganó
No$24 @ 89.0¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Perdió
Yes$304 @ 23.1¢
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Ganó
No$2.0k @ 33.9¢
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration?Perdió
Yes$940 @ 87.5¢
TikTok banned in 2025?Ganó
Yes$109 @ 82.0¢
Will Karoline Leavitt say Elon/Musk during next White House press briefing?Perdió
Yes$561 @ 79.8¢
Will Trump say "Front Row Joe" during Greensboro, NC rally?Ganó
Yes$129 @ 52.8¢
Will Kamala Harris get 80-82m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Perdió
Yes$118 @ 10.1¢
Will Trump win Wyoming by 50+ points?Ganó
No$320 @ 64.0¢
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?Ganó
No$446 @ 67.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Política	No	$25.2k	92.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Política	No	$15.1k	77.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Política	No	$14.2k	82.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Política	Yes	$10.1k	63.9¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Deportes	No	$7.9k	74.1¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Política	No	$7.6k	84.9¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$6.7k	52.3¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Política	No	$6.4k	76.3¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Tecnología	No	$3.2k	71.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$2.4k	35.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.3k	70.7¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Política	No	$1.4k	90.6¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$1.4k	59.7¢
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Política	No	$963	86.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Política	Yes	$891	81.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$683	68.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$681	49.8¢
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Política	No	$626	48.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Política	Yes	$623	62.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$565	14.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$523	52.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$455	6.4¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$409	5.4¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$363	41.1¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$361	8.1¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$318	13.6¢
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$309	3.8¢
Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Deportes	Yes	$270	50.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$216	7.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Negocios	No	$201	20.0¢

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolítica
No$25.2k @ 92.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Política
No$15.1k @ 77.3¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Política
No$14.2k @ 82.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Política
Yes$10.1k @ 63.9¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Deportes
No$7.9k @ 74.1¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Política
No$7.6k @ 84.9¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$6.7k @ 52.3¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Política
No$6.4k @ 76.3¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tecnología
No$3.2k @ 71.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$2.4k @ 35.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$2.3k @ 70.7¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Política
No$1.4k @ 90.6¢
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Política
No$1.4k @ 59.7¢
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Política
No$963 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Política
Yes$891 @ 81.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$683 @ 68.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$681 @ 49.8¢
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Política
No$626 @ 48.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Política
Yes$623 @ 62.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Política
Yes$565 @ 14.7¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$523 @ 52.0¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$455 @ 6.4¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$409 @ 5.4¢
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
Yes$363 @ 41.1¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
Yes$361 @ 8.1¢
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Política
Yes$318 @ 13.6¢
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$309 @ 3.8¢
Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Deportes
Yes$270 @ 50.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
Yes$216 @ 7.0¢
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Negocios
No$201 @ 20.0¢