0x08a6…f3cc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x08a6e4da67d93ab30bb3e4c88c550977866af3cc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.5pp

ROI

+19%

Tasa de acierto

23% @ 19.6¢

Brier

0.073

Resueltas

616

Tamaño med.

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	22% (34/155)	+12%	155
Other	25% (27/108)	+23%	108
Deportes	11% (9/80)	+35%	80
Geopolítica	35% (12/34)	+16%	34

Política155 apuestas
Tasa acierto
22% (34/155)
ROI
+12%
Other108 apuestas
Tasa acierto
25% (27/108)
ROI
+23%
Deportes80 apuestas
Tasa acierto
11% (9/80)
ROI
+35%
Geopolítica34 apuestas
Tasa acierto
35% (12/34)
ROI
+16%

Historial

22% acierto · 82/377

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	$15	72.4¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Perdió
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	$2	30.5¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by September 30, 2026?	No	$1	10.0¢	Perdió
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	$3	35.6¢	Perdió
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)	No	$7	46.7¢	Perdió
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?	No	$2	24.0¢	Perdió
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	$5	48.0¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	No	$8	79.0¢	Ganó
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$3	28.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$0	0.9¢	Perdió
Will Starmer officially leave office by June 30?	Yes	$0	1.2¢	Perdió
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	Yes	$5	7.3¢	Perdió
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?	No	$1	12.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?	Yes	$1	3.6¢	Perdió
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$7	3.1¢	Perdió
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	No	$5	32.1¢	Ganó
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	4.5¢	Perdió
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?	No	$15	77.0¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$1	2.1¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$2	20.5¢	Perdió
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	No	$3	30.6¢	Ganó
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	$0	3.4¢	Perdió
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$1	8.5¢	Perdió
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Perdió
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Perdió
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?	Yes	$0	7.0¢	Ganó
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$14	72.0¢	Ganó
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	$8	82.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?	No	$0	1.1¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	$2	23.0¢	Perdió
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Perdió
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	$19	75.0¢	Ganó
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?	No	$5	46.0¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$1	9.4¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$10	68.9¢	Ganó
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	$14	63.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?	Yes	$0	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	No	$6	56.6¢	Ganó
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	3.5¢	Perdió
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?	Yes	$1	5.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$2	44.0¢	Perdió

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$15 @ 72.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Ganó
No$2 @ 30.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by September 30, 2026?Perdió
No$1 @ 10.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Perdió
No$3 @ 35.6¢
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)Perdió
No$7 @ 46.7¢
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 24.0¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$5 @ 48.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?Ganó
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
Will Starmer officially leave office by June 30?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 7.3¢
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?Perdió
No$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 3.1¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
No$0 @ 0.1¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Ganó
No$5 @ 32.1¢
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 4.5¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Ganó
No$15 @ 77.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$2 @ 20.5¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Ganó
No$3 @ 30.6¢
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 3.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 8.5¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Ganó
Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 72.0¢
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Ganó
No$8 @ 82.1¢
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?Perdió
No$0 @ 1.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 23.0¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$19 @ 75.0¢
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Ganó
No$5 @ 46.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Perdió
No$1 @ 9.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 68.9¢
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 63.1¢
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in June?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Ganó
No$6 @ 56.6¢
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 3.5¢
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 44.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Política	No	$202	78.9¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Política	No	$198	84.1¢
USMCA extended in 2026?	Política	No	$189	57.6¢
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Política	Yes	$143	62.8¢
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	Política	No	$99	76.1¢
Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Deportes	No	$86	72.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	No	$81	77.9¢
Will Viggo Björck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Deportes	No	$78	94.3¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Política	No	$76	67.3¢
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Política	No	$75	78.6¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$62	23.9¢
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Política	No	$49	38.5¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$44	87.7¢
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?	Deportes	No	$39	71.4¢
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Política	No	$39	79.1¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$38	12.2¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Política	No	$35	49.6¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	No	$31	76.9¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Política	No	$29	52.8¢
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?	Política	No	$28	78.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	Política	No	$27	73.8¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Política	No	$26	15.7¢
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Política	No	$26	61.4¢
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	Política	No	$25	91.6¢
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?	Política	No	$22	16.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$22	33.7¢
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Política	Yes	$19	4.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Política	No	$17	65.3¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	Política	No	$16	80.0¢
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$16	10.6¢

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Política
No$202 @ 78.9¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Política
No$198 @ 84.1¢
USMCA extended in 2026?Política
No$189 @ 57.6¢
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Política
Yes$143 @ 62.8¢
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Política
No$99 @ 76.1¢
Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?Deportes
No$86 @ 72.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
No$81 @ 77.9¢
Will Viggo Björck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?Deportes
No$78 @ 94.3¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Política
No$76 @ 67.3¢
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Política
No$75 @ 78.6¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$62 @ 23.9¢
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Política
No$49 @ 38.5¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$44 @ 87.7¢
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?Deportes
No$39 @ 71.4¢
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Política
No$39 @ 79.1¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$38 @ 12.2¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Política
No$35 @ 49.6¢
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
No$31 @ 76.9¢
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Política
No$29 @ 52.8¢
Will Donald Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?Política
No$28 @ 78.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Política
No$27 @ 73.8¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Política
No$26 @ 15.7¢
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Política
No$26 @ 61.4¢
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Política
No$25 @ 91.6¢
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?Política
No$22 @ 16.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$22 @ 33.7¢
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Política
Yes$19 @ 4.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Política
No$17 @ 65.3¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Política
No$16 @ 80.0¢
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$16 @ 10.6¢