0x08a6…f3cc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x08a6e4da67d93ab30bb3e4c88c550977866af3cc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+3.3pp

ROI

+21%

Tasa de acierto

24% @ 21.0¢

Brier

0.089

Resueltas

3901

Tamaño med.

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	24% (140/585)	-1%	585
Política	32% (117/364)	+27%	364
Deportes	19% (25/130)	+43%	130
Geopolítica	40% (23/58)	+45%	58
Tecnología	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Ciencia	100% (1/1)	+52%	1
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other585 apuestas
Tasa acierto
24% (140/585)
ROI
-1%
Política364 apuestas
Tasa acierto
32% (117/364)
ROI
+27%
Deportes130 apuestas
Tasa acierto
19% (25/130)
ROI
+43%
Geopolítica58 apuestas
Tasa acierto
40% (23/58)
ROI
+45%
Tecnología1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Ciencia1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+52%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

Historial

27% acierto · 307/1140

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?	No	$2	11.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	No	$6	55.0¢	Perdió
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	Yes	$1	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$0	0.5¢	Perdió
Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Perdió
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Perdió
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Perdió
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Yes	$4	43.0¢	Ganó
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	$3	59.0¢	Perdió
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	$1	9.3¢	Perdió
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Perdió
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Perdió
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	Yes	$2	8.0¢	Perdió
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	No	$9	89.1¢	Ganó
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$3	18.0¢	Perdió
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	$2	36.0¢	Perdió
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	$124	56.1¢	Ganó
Will Anthony Cirelli win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Pig" during Wisconsin events?	No	$2	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	$3	7.1¢	Perdió
Canada recession before 2027?	No	$6	58.5¢	Perdió
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?	Yes	$5	20.7¢	Perdió
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	$13	53.0¢	Ganó
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	No	$0	1.9¢	Perdió
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	No	$15	71.0¢	Ganó
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$1	4.0¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$0	0.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Perdió
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$7	24.2¢	Perdió
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?	Yes	$14	27.3¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$1	8.0¢	Perdió
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?	Anthropic	$2	7.5¢	Perdió
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?	Yes	$1	2.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Mine" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	$3	55.0¢	Perdió
Will Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?	Yes	$1	0.6¢	Perdió
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	$7	74.3¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Wisconsin events?	No	$4	17.7¢	Perdió
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$0	2.0¢	Perdió
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?	No	$2	11.5¢	Perdió
Will the match not air?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Perdió
Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?	Yes	$34	8.8¢	Perdió
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	No	$4	42.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	No	$8	79.0¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	$4	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?	No	$10	52.1¢	Ganó

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?Perdió
No$2 @ 11.0¢
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?Perdió
No$6 @ 55.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 43.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 59.0¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 9.3¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$9 @ 89.1¢
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 18.0¢
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Perdió
No$2 @ 36.0¢
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Ganó
Yes$124 @ 56.1¢
Will Anthony Cirelli win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will Trump say "Pig" during Wisconsin events?Ganó
No$2 @ 53.0¢
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 7.1¢
Canada recession before 2027?Perdió
No$6 @ 58.5¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?Perdió
Yes$5 @ 20.7¢
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$13 @ 53.0¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?Perdió
No$0 @ 1.9¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Ganó
No$15 @ 71.0¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Perdió
No$7 @ 24.2¢
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 27.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 8.0¢
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?Perdió
Anthropic$2 @ 7.5¢
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 2.0¢
Will Trump say "Mine" during Fox interview on Wednesday?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
Will Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Perdió
No$7 @ 74.3¢
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Wisconsin events?Perdió
No$4 @ 17.7¢
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 2.0¢
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?Perdió
No$2 @ 11.5¢
Will the match not air?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Will Evan Bouchard win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 8.8¢
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Perdió
No$4 @ 42.0¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?Ganó
No$8 @ 79.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Ganó
No$4 @ 84.0¢
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?Ganó
No$10 @ 52.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
USMCA extended in 2026?	Política	No	$111	57.6¢
Will Arvid Soderblom record 4+ shutouts?	Deportes	No	$89	85.6¢
Will Thatcher Demko record 4+ shutouts?	Deportes	No	$85	78.0¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Política	No	$84	84.1¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	No	$81	77.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$62	23.9¢
Will Alex Tuch record 100+ points?	Deportes	No	$60	84.6¢
Will the New York Rangers record 100+ points?	Deportes	No	$56	79.9¢
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?	Deportes	No	$55	61.7¢
Will Aleksander Barkov record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Deportes	No	$55	91.5¢
Will the Seattle Kraken record 100+ points?	Deportes	No	$53	89.0¢
Will Connor Ingram record 4+ shutouts?	Deportes	No	$46	94.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	Política	No	$45	33.8¢
Will Boston Bruins advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?	Deportes	No	$40	66.7¢
Will Petr Mrazek record 4+ shutouts?	Deportes	No	$40	95.2¢
Will Ivan Demidov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	Deportes	No	$40	59.9¢
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?	Política	No	$39	76.8¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$39	12.0¢
Will Brady Tkachuk record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Deportes	No	$39	86.6¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Política	No	$37	36.8¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$35	87.5¢
Will Ilya Samsonov record 4+ shutouts?	Deportes	No	$35	90.0¢
Will Nick Suzuki record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Deportes	No	$35	88.9¢
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Política	No	$35	78.9¢
Will Roope Hintz record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Deportes	No	$35	86.7¢
Will Connor Bedard record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?	Deportes	No	$34	68.6¢
Will Detroit Red Wings advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?	Deportes	No	$34	88.0¢
Will Nick Suzuki record 100+ points?	Deportes	No	$32	80.5¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Política	No	$31	69.3¢
Will Pavel Buchnevich record 100+ points?	Deportes	No	$30	93.8¢

USMCA extended in 2026?Política
No$111 @ 57.6¢
Will Arvid Soderblom record 4+ shutouts?Deportes
No$89 @ 85.6¢
Will Thatcher Demko record 4+ shutouts?Deportes
No$85 @ 78.0¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Política
No$84 @ 84.1¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
No$81 @ 77.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$62 @ 23.9¢
Will Alex Tuch record 100+ points?Deportes
No$60 @ 84.6¢
Will the New York Rangers record 100+ points?Deportes
No$56 @ 79.9¢
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?Deportes
No$55 @ 61.7¢
Will Aleksander Barkov record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Deportes
No$55 @ 91.5¢
Will the Seattle Kraken record 100+ points?Deportes
No$53 @ 89.0¢
Will Connor Ingram record 4+ shutouts?Deportes
No$46 @ 94.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Política
No$45 @ 33.8¢
Will Boston Bruins advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Deportes
No$40 @ 66.7¢
Will Petr Mrazek record 4+ shutouts?Deportes
No$40 @ 95.2¢
Will Ivan Demidov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?Deportes
No$40 @ 59.9¢
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?Política
No$39 @ 76.8¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$39 @ 12.0¢
Will Brady Tkachuk record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Deportes
No$39 @ 86.6¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Política
No$37 @ 36.8¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$35 @ 87.5¢
Will Ilya Samsonov record 4+ shutouts?Deportes
No$35 @ 90.0¢
Will Nick Suzuki record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Deportes
No$35 @ 88.9¢
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Política
No$35 @ 78.9¢
Will Roope Hintz record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Deportes
No$35 @ 86.7¢
Will Connor Bedard record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Deportes
No$34 @ 68.6¢
Will Detroit Red Wings advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Deportes
No$34 @ 88.0¢
Will Nick Suzuki record 100+ points?Deportes
No$32 @ 80.5¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Política
No$31 @ 69.3¢
Will Pavel Buchnevich record 100+ points?Deportes
No$30 @ 93.8¢