0x0845…6b6f

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x08458f7e9d2858027de579e4c3ca305475496b6f
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+24.8pp

ROI

+71%

Tasa de acierto

55% @ 30.7¢

Brier

0.166

Resueltas

397

Tamaño med.

$226

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	50% (7/14)	+75%	14
Tecnología	63% (5/8)	-7%	8
Geopolítica	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Cultura	100% (1/1)	+15%	1

Política14 apuestas
Tasa acierto
50% (7/14)
ROI
+75%
Tecnología8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
63% (5/8)
ROI
-7%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+15%

Historial

54% acierto · 13/24

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	$1	3.0¢	Perdió
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$250	2.5¢	Perdió
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?	Yes	$22	5.5¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$39	78.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$3.2k	75.1¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	$256	64.0¢	Ganó
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$400	4.0¢	Perdió
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	76.0¢	Ganó
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$104	52.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$29.5k	47.9¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$272	68.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$1.2k	64.8¢	Ganó
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$31	0.5¢	Perdió
GTA VI released before November 2026?	No	$676	87.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	$1.1k	33.7¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	$425	85.0¢	Ganó
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$134	0.6¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$47.2k	60.1¢	Ganó
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?	Yes	$692	86.5¢	Ganó
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$1.9k	49.7¢	Perdió
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$411	21.4¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$60	20.0¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$53	5.3¢	Perdió
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$4	0.2¢	Perdió

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Perdió
Yes$250 @ 2.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?Perdió
Yes$22 @ 5.5¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ganó
Yes$39 @ 78.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Ganó
Yes$3.2k @ 75.1¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ganó
No$256 @ 64.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$400 @ 4.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 76.0¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Ganó
Yes$104 @ 52.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$29.5k @ 47.9¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Ganó
Yes$272 @ 68.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Ganó
Yes$1.2k @ 64.8¢
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Perdió
Yes$31 @ 0.5¢
GTA VI released before November 2026?Ganó
No$676 @ 87.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 33.7¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Ganó
No$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Perdió
Yes$134 @ 0.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$47.2k @ 60.1¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Ganó
Yes$692 @ 86.5¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$1.9k @ 49.7¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$411 @ 21.4¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Perdió
Yes$60 @ 20.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Perdió
Yes$53 @ 5.3¢
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 0.2¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Política	No	$33.4k	89.2¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	No	$24.0k	96.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?	—	No	$19.5k	79.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Política	No	$13.7k	99.1¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$12.1k	67.3¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$7.7k	23.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Política	No	$7.0k	53.5¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$6.2k	51.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$5.8k	97.1¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	No	$5.3k	81.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Política	Yes	$5.0k	24.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Política	No	$4.6k	81.9¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Geopolítica	No	$4.5k	97.4¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Geopolítica	No	$3.7k	95.4¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	Yes	$3.7k	78.3¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Geopolítica	Yes	$3.4k	74.1¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Política	No	$3.4k	84.3¢
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Deportes	No	$3.3k	92.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?	—	No	$3.3k	99.4¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Política	No	$3.2k	92.3¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$3.0k	89.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$2.9k	96.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$2.8k	50.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Política	No	$2.8k	75.9¢
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Política	Yes	$2.7k	85.3¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$2.6k	81.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$2.6k	69.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$2.3k	28.7¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?	Tecnología	No	$2.1k	95.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Política	No	$2.1k	77.5¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Política
No$33.4k @ 89.2¢
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
No$24.0k @ 96.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?—
No$19.5k @ 79.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Política
No$13.7k @ 99.1¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$12.1k @ 67.3¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?—
Yes$7.7k @ 23.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Política
No$7.0k @ 53.5¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolítica
No$6.2k @ 51.8¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tecnología
Yes$5.8k @ 97.1¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
No$5.3k @ 81.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Política
Yes$5.0k @ 24.6¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Política
No$4.6k @ 81.9¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Geopolítica
No$4.5k @ 97.4¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Geopolítica
No$3.7k @ 95.4¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
Yes$3.7k @ 78.3¢
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Geopolítica
Yes$3.4k @ 74.1¢
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Política
No$3.4k @ 84.3¢
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Deportes
No$3.3k @ 92.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?—
No$3.3k @ 99.4¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Política
No$3.2k @ 92.3¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolítica
No$3.0k @ 89.6¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?—
No$2.9k @ 96.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$2.8k @ 50.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Política
No$2.8k @ 75.9¢
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Política
Yes$2.7k @ 85.3¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$2.6k @ 81.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$2.6k @ 69.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Política
Yes$2.3k @ 28.7¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Tecnología
No$2.1k @ 95.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Política
No$2.1k @ 77.5¢