0x0787…0ca3

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

• Política262 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  50% (130/262)

  ROI

  +25%

• Other214 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  51% (109/214)

  ROI

  +20%

• Geopolítica91 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  47% (43/91)

  ROI

  +1%

• Tecnología43 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  53% (23/43)

  ROI

  +24%

• Economía10 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  40% (4/10)

  ROI

  +4%

• Cultura1 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20?Perdió
  Yes$4 @ 19.0¢
• Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Ganó
  No$15 @ 76.0¢
• NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Ganó
  Yes$126 @ 49.8¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Ganó
  No$143 @ 55.8¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$81 @ 31.6¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Ganó
  No$126 @ 84.3¢
• Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Perdió
  No$1.3k @ 43.0¢
• Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Ganó
  Yes$1.6k @ 51.9¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Perdió
  Yes$5 @ 5.2¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Perdió
  No$713 @ 42.1¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Ganó
  Yes$980 @ 53.7¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Ganó
  No$128 @ 48.1¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Perdió
  Yes$184 @ 69.4¢
• Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Ganó
  Yes$777 @ 75.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Perdió
  No$30 @ 6.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$427 @ 85.4¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Ganó
  No$44 @ 87.9¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Perdió
  Yes$11 @ 6.1¢
• CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Perdió
  No$35 @ 23.6¢
• CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?Ganó
  Yes$95 @ 65.9¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Ganó
  No$283 @ 84.4¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Perdió
  Yes$22 @ 3.9¢
• OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Perdió
  No$56 @ 69.0¢
• OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?Ganó
  Yes$65 @ 80.0¢
• Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$5 @ 9.7¢
• Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Perdió
  Yes$5 @ 1.4¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
  No$238 @ 84.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$334 @ 29.3¢
• Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Perdió
  No$135 @ 31.8¢
• Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$234 @ 55.5¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Ganó
  No$99 @ 66.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Perdió
  Yes$63 @ 14.5¢
• US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$20 @ 0.9¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Perdió
  No$225 @ 34.8¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Ganó
  Yes$420 @ 64.9¢
• SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?Ganó
  No$166 @ 86.7¢
• SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$8 @ 3.9¢
• Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Perdió
  No$3 @ 12.0¢
• Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Ganó
  Yes$12 @ 54.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Ganó
  No$7 @ 71.0¢
• Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Perdió
  Yes$3 @ 1.3¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Perdió
  No$459 @ 76.4¢
• Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Ganó
  Yes$102 @ 20.3¢
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Ganó
  No$289 @ 9.6¢
• US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Perdió
  Yes$148 @ 3.7¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Ganó
  No$45 @ 78.7¢
• Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Perdió
  Yes$11 @ 19.6¢
• Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Ganó
  No$23 @ 81.0¢
• Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?Ganó
  Yes$419 @ 76.8¢
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Ganó
  Yes$51 @ 53.1¢

Posiciones actuales

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolítica
  Yes$1.7k @ 84.0¢
• Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Política
  No$1.7k @ 85.8¢
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
  No$846 @ 83.8¢
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Política
  Yes$598 @ 26.3¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
  Yes$587 @ 87.0¢
• Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Geopolítica
  No$526 @ 95.6¢
• U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Geopolítica
  No$472 @ 81.9¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Política
  No$380 @ 83.0¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Política
  Yes$344 @ 40.9¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Política
  No$343 @ 76.1¢
• Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economía
  Yes$341 @ 22.7¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Política
  No$336 @ 77.0¢
• Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?Geopolítica
  No$249 @ 92.4¢
• Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
  No$227 @ 81.0¢
• Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?Política
  No$201 @ 84.4¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
  No$199 @ 79.6¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Política
  No$190 @ 95.0¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Geopolítica
  No$190 @ 77.4¢
• SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
  No$186 @ 90.6¢
• Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Geopolítica
  No$171 @ 71.4¢
• Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
  Yes$155 @ 51.8¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Geopolítica
  No$146 @ 80.0¢
• Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Política
  No$143 @ 65.1¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolítica
  No$137 @ 88.6¢
• Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
  No$137 @ 89.9¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Geopolítica
  No$137 @ 91.0¢
• Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
  No$131 @ 64.0¢
• US x China tariff agreement by September 30?Política
  Yes$109 @ 82.5¢
• Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Política
  Yes$108 @ 64.9¢
• Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Política
  Yes$105 @ 7.0¢