0x0740…8a92

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x07405d21b26f03d5d157ec25e8cb30af6ace8a92
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+7.0pp

ROI

+8%

Tasa de acierto

62% @ 54.5¢

Brier

0.136

Resueltas

351

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	45% (13/29)	+22%	29
Other	34% (10/29)	-16%	29
Deportes	41% (11/27)	-1%	27
Geopolítica	75% (6/8)	+32%	8
Tecnología	67% (4/6)	+68%	6

Política29 apuestas
Tasa acierto
45% (13/29)
ROI
+22%
Other29 apuestas
Tasa acierto
34% (10/29)
ROI
-16%
Deportes27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
41% (11/27)
ROI
-1%
Geopolítica8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (6/8)
ROI
+32%
Tecnología6 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (4/6)
ROI
+68%

Historial

44% acierto · 44/99

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	$6	65.5¢	Ganó
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$2	2.2¢	Perdió
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	$5	40.1¢	Ganó
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	Bosnia and Herzegovina	$1	4.9¢	Perdió
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	$7	66.0¢	Ganó
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Monte	$1	13.0¢	Perdió
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	$1	0.7¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$7	81.4¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$34	16.7¢	Perdió
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$3	61.3¢	Ganó
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	No	$4	68.8¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	No	$11	73.7¢	Perdió
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$12	49.2¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$15	17.6¢	Perdió
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	$9	60.3¢	Ganó
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Legacy	$1	40.0¢	Perdió
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	BetBoom Team	$1	48.0¢	Perdió
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	$9	81.3¢	Ganó
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	No	$8	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$5	69.9¢	Ganó
Jets vs. Canucks	Canucks	$20	44.9¢	Perdió
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$25	84.3¢	Ganó
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	No	$4	77.0¢	Perdió
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	$12	66.8¢	Ganó
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	$6	78.7¢	Ganó
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	No	$5	35.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$3	22.5¢	Perdió
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	$91	79.0¢	Ganó
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	$4	29.3¢	Perdió
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	$4	68.0¢	Perdió
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	$24	77.2¢	Ganó
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	$5	73.7¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	4.6¢	Perdió
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	BetBoom Team	$1	55.0¢	Ganó
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$6	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Perdió
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$75	79.2¢	Ganó
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$8	83.0¢	Ganó
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$9	15.5¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$18	19.7¢	Ganó
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$1	33.0¢	Perdió
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$6	75.1¢	Ganó
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	$6	80.3¢	Ganó
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$5	42.4¢	Perdió
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$4	39.0¢	Ganó
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	$6	87.3¢	Ganó
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$6	63.8¢	Perdió
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	9z	$1	36.0¢	Ganó
Rockets vs. Magic	Magic	$10	44.0¢	Perdió
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$25	86.1¢	Ganó

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 65.5¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Ganó
No$5 @ 40.1¢
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Perdió
Bosnia and Herzegovina$1 @ 4.9¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Ganó
No$7 @ 66.0¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Perdió
Monte$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$7 @ 81.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$34 @ 16.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Ganó
No$3 @ 61.3¢
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?Ganó
No$4 @ 68.8¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Perdió
No$11 @ 73.7¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Perdió
No$12 @ 49.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 17.6¢
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 60.3¢
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Perdió
Legacy$1 @ 40.0¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)Perdió
BetBoom Team$1 @ 48.0¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Ganó
Yes$9 @ 81.3¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$8 @ 80.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 69.9¢
Jets vs. CanucksPerdió
Canucks$20 @ 44.9¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Ganó
No$25 @ 84.3¢
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Perdió
No$4 @ 77.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Ganó
No$12 @ 66.8¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Ganó
No$6 @ 78.7¢
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Ganó
No$5 @ 35.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 22.5¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Ganó
No$91 @ 79.0¢
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$4 @ 29.3¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Perdió
No$4 @ 68.0¢
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Ganó
No$24 @ 77.2¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Ganó
Yes$5 @ 73.7¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 4.6¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1Ganó
BetBoom Team$1 @ 55.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Ganó
No$6 @ 66.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Ganó
Yes$75 @ 79.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$8 @ 83.0¢
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
No$9 @ 15.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Ganó
Yes$18 @ 19.7¢
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
No$1 @ 33.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 75.1¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$6 @ 80.3¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Perdió
No$5 @ 42.4¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 39.0¢
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ganó
No$6 @ 87.3¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Perdió
No$6 @ 63.8¢
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)Ganó
9z$1 @ 36.0¢
Rockets vs. MagicPerdió
Magic$10 @ 44.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Ganó
No$25 @ 86.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Geopolítica	No	$9	93.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Geopolítica	No	$8	83.0¢
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?	Deportes	Yes	$6	16.2¢
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Tecnología	OpenAI	$6	20.5¢
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$6	68.4¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Política	No	$6	76.3¢
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	Yes	$6	80.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Política	Yes	$6	75.4¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$6	35.7¢
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	Política	Yes	$6	39.3¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Política	No	$6	87.7¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	Política	No	$6	78.9¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$6	40.8¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Tecnología	Yes	$6	35.9¢
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Cripto	No	$5	60.9¢
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?	Deportes	No	$5	68.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?	Política	No	$5	94.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Política	No	$4	70.0¢
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$4	64.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$4	24.4¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economía	Yes	$4	79.7¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Política	Yes	$4	77.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$3	46.7¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Política	No	$3	69.6¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	—	No	$3	63.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	No	$3	83.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$3	60.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Política	Yes	$3	35.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Tecnología	Yes	$2	28.8¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Deportes	No	$2	84.0¢

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Geopolítica
No$9 @ 93.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Geopolítica
No$8 @ 83.0¢
Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Deportes
Yes$6 @ 16.2¢
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tecnología
OpenAI$6 @ 20.5¢
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$6 @ 68.4¢
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Política
No$6 @ 76.3¢
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
Yes$6 @ 80.3¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Política
Yes$6 @ 75.4¢
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$6 @ 35.7¢
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Política
Yes$6 @ 39.3¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Política
No$6 @ 87.7¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Política
No$6 @ 78.9¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$6 @ 40.8¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tecnología
Yes$6 @ 35.9¢
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Cripto
No$5 @ 60.9¢
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?Deportes
No$5 @ 68.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Política
No$5 @ 94.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Política
No$4 @ 70.0¢
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$4 @ 64.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Geopolítica
Yes$4 @ 24.4¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economía
Yes$4 @ 79.7¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Política
Yes$4 @ 77.0¢
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Política
Yes$3 @ 46.7¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Política
No$3 @ 69.6¢
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?—
No$3 @ 63.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
No$3 @ 83.4¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$3 @ 60.5¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolítica
Yes$3 @ 35.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tecnología
Yes$2 @ 28.8¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Deportes
No$2 @ 84.0¢