0x04dc…2387

Especialización por esfera

• Other113 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  35% (39/113)

  ROI

  -28%

• Política50 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  50% (25/50)

  ROI

  +58%

• Tecnología37 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  38% (14/37)

  ROI

  +2%

• Economía30 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  40% (12/30)

  ROI

  +29%

• Cultura26 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  54% (14/26)

  ROI

  +40%

• Geopolítica17 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  47% (8/17)

  ROI

  +102%

• Deportes12 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  42% (5/12)

  ROI

  +14%

• Ciencia1 apuestas

  Tasa acierto

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +20%

• Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?Perdió
  Yes$12 @ 1.1¢
• Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Ganó
  No$214 @ 63.9¢
• No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Perdió
  Yes$3 @ 30.9¢
• Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?Ganó
  No$63 @ 88.9¢
• Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Ganó
  No$415 @ 65.0¢
• Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?Perdió
  Yes$341 @ 12.0¢
• Will Tesla deliver between 300000 and 325000 vehicles in Q2 2026Perdió
  Yes$4 @ 0.6¢
• Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Ganó
  Yes$114 @ 20.0¢
• Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Perdió
  No$21 @ 34.0¢
• Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?Perdió
  No$2 @ 8.0¢
• Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?Ganó
  Yes$436 @ 34.7¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Perdió
  Yes$11 @ 11.6¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Ganó
  No$62 @ 32.3¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Perdió
  No$15 @ 9.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Ganó
  Yes$29 @ 82.0¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?Ganó
  No$18 @ 87.1¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?Perdió
  Yes$21 @ 8.1¢
• Ebola case in the US by June 30?Ganó
  No$293 @ 83.0¢
• Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Perdió
  Yes$39 @ 8.0¢
• Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$5 @ 6.0¢
• Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Perdió
  No$350 @ 21.1¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in May?Perdió
  Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
• Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the June meeting?Perdió
  Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Perdió
  No$62 @ 26.9¢
• Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Ganó
  Yes$573 @ 58.1¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Perdió
  No$697 @ 60.0¢
• Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Perdió
  Yes$24 @ 59.0¢
• Will Caleb Downs be drafted 5th overall in the 2026 pro football draft?Perdió
  Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Ganó
  No$710 @ 75.0¢
• Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Perdió
  No$70 @ 69.0¢
• Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Perdió
  Yes$7 @ 1.0¢
• Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Ganó
  No$623 @ 63.6¢
• Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Perdió
  Yes$134 @ 37.7¢
• Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?Perdió
  Yes$5 @ 1.0¢
• Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?Ganó
  No$1.3k @ 89.0¢
• Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Ganó
  No$1.2k @ 86.0¢
• Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?Perdió
  Yes$80 @ 10.4¢
• Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Perdió
  Yes$3 @ 2.1¢
• Will PPI YoY be between 7.0% and 7.9% in May?Perdió
  Yes$7 @ 5.2¢
• Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Ganó
  No$19 @ 81.9¢
• Will James Fishback win 25–30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Perdió
  Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
• Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?Ganó
  No$194 @ 87.0¢
• Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?Perdió
  Yes$17 @ 9.2¢
• No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Perdió
  No$13 @ 3.0¢
• Will "Big Mistakes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Perdió
  No$2 @ 5.6¢
• Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026Ganó
  No$925 @ 58.0¢
• Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026Perdió
  Yes$137 @ 21.6¢
• Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Perdió
  Yes$61 @ 14.4¢
• Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Perdió
  Yes$21 @ 2.3¢
• Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Perdió
  Yes$39 @ 29.0¢

Posiciones actuales

• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?—
  No$938 @ 74.2¢
• Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?—
  Yes$859 @ 81.9¢
• Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?—
  No$819 @ 65.7¢
• Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tecnología
  No$762 @ 84.7¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Política
  Yes$574 @ 61.9¢
• Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Política
  Yes$498 @ 83.0¢
• Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?—
  No$485 @ 80.2¢
• Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?—
  No$437 @ 82.0¢
• Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Deportes
  No$436 @ 84.9¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?—
  No$433 @ 51.7¢
• Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.0M and 7.1M in August?—
  No$381 @ 95.1¢
• Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?—
  No$360 @ 27.7¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
  Yes$342 @ 65.0¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tecnología
  Yes$333 @ 29.4¢
• Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections?—
  No$328 @ 35.3¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?—
  No$324 @ 67.5¢
• Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?—
  Yes$321 @ 43.8¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Política
  Yes$307 @ 32.1¢
• Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
  Yes$295 @ 36.8¢
• Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?—
  No$282 @ 88.0¢
• Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.0M in August?—
  No$282 @ 70.5¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?—
  Yes$280 @ 59.0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?—
  No$272 @ 90.0¢
• Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?—
  Yes$271 @ 37.6¢
• Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Política
  Yes$271 @ 54.2¢
• Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tecnología
  Yes$271 @ 64.3¢
• Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?—
  No$268 @ 66.4¢
• Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?—
  No$267 @ 90.1¢
• Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Política
  Yes$244 @ 41.1¢
• Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Política
  No$233 @ 72.6¢