0x04b3…1b7e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+4.5pp

ROI

+7%

Tasa de acierto

64% @ 59.8¢

Brier

0.167

Resueltas

1186

Tamaño med.

$15

Tendencia ROI

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	66% (443/670)	+8%	670
Política	58% (128/219)	+4%	219
Ciencia	62% (86/138)	+10%	138
Geopolítica	65% (22/34)	+8%	34
Tecnología	53% (17/32)	-24%	32
Cultura	75% (12/16)	-2%	16
Economía	78% (7/9)	+64%	9
Deportes	13% (1/8)	-73%	8

Other670 apuestas
Tasa acierto
66% (443/670)
ROI
+8%
Política219 apuestas
Tasa acierto
58% (128/219)
ROI
+4%
Ciencia138 apuestas
Tasa acierto
62% (86/138)
ROI
+10%
Geopolítica34 apuestas
Tasa acierto
65% (22/34)
ROI
+8%
Tecnología32 apuestas
Tasa acierto
53% (17/32)
ROI
-24%
Cultura16 apuestas
Tasa acierto
75% (12/16)
ROI
-2%
Economía9 apuestas
Tasa acierto
78% (7/9)
ROI
+64%
Deportes8 apuestas
Tasa acierto
13% (1/8)
ROI
-73%

Historial

64% acierto · 716/1126

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	$10	74.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?	No	$10	52.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 24?	No	$20	85.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 24?	No	$20	87.5¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 24?	Yes	$6	60.5¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	$10	77.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	$10	86.0¢	Ganó
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$41	56.9¢	Perdió
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$10	11.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?	No	$41	68.8¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 10?	No	$20	67.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 22?	No	$20	71.4¢	Ganó
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	Yes	$10	89.0¢	Ganó
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	No	$15	68.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	$4	23.7¢	Ganó
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$30	16.4¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 20?	No	$20	69.0¢	Ganó
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	No	$10	84.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?	No	$20	84.9¢	Perdió
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	$10	72.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?	No	$15	61.2¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 29?	No	$20	87.0¢	Ganó
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$16	24.0¢	Ganó
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?	Yes	$6	10.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	No	$20	70.6¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	$13	54.4¢	Ganó
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$15	21.6¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on June 15?	Yes	$0	16.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 18?	No	$20	80.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 21?	No	$20	64.0¢	Perdió
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	$15	67.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	Yes	$31	56.7¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	No	$1	81.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	Yes	$2	48.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?	Yes	$20	70.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 4?	Yes	$21	30.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11?	Yes	$15	39.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14?	No	$20	67.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?	No	$20	58.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 5?	Yes	$20	87.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 30?	No	$20	78.8¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?	No	$20	79.0¢	Perdió
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	$10	88.0¢	Ganó
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	No	$15	56.5¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	$12	35.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?	Yes	$15	47.2¢	Perdió
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?	Yes	$10	52.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 4?	No	$20	74.0¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?	No	$20	72.1¢	Ganó
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?	No	$20	64.0¢	Ganó

Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 74.0¢
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?Ganó
No$10 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 24?Ganó
No$20 @ 85.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 24?Ganó
No$20 @ 87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 24?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 60.5¢
Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Ganó
No$10 @ 77.0¢
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?Ganó
No$10 @ 86.0¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Perdió
Yes$41 @ 56.9¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?Ganó
No$41 @ 68.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 10?Perdió
No$20 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 22?Ganó
No$20 @ 71.4¢
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?Ganó
No$15 @ 68.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 23.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Perdió
Yes$30 @ 16.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 20?Ganó
No$20 @ 69.0¢
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?Perdió
No$10 @ 84.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?Perdió
No$20 @ 84.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 72.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?Perdió
No$15 @ 61.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 29?Ganó
No$20 @ 87.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Ganó
Yes$16 @ 24.0¢
Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Perdió
Yes$6 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?Ganó
No$20 @ 70.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?Ganó
Yes$13 @ 54.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 21.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on June 15?Perdió
Yes$0 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 18?Ganó
No$20 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 21?Perdió
No$20 @ 64.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Perdió
No$15 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?Ganó
Yes$31 @ 56.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?Perdió
No$1 @ 81.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?Ganó
Yes$2 @ 48.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 70.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 4?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 14?Ganó
No$20 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 5?Ganó
No$20 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 5?Ganó
Yes$20 @ 87.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 30?Ganó
No$20 @ 78.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?Perdió
No$20 @ 79.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 88.0¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Ganó
No$15 @ 56.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?Ganó
Yes$12 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?Perdió
Yes$15 @ 47.2¢
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Ganó
Yes$10 @ 52.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 4?Ganó
No$20 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 2?Ganó
No$20 @ 72.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?Ganó
No$20 @ 64.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$25	55.5¢
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?	Política	No	$25	86.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$20	48.1¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$15	78.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tecnología	No	$15	26.0¢
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by December 31?	Política	Yes	$15	15.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$15	80.0¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$15	49.3¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$15	89.9¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Política	Yes	$15	84.0¢
Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?	Política	No	$15	77.0¢
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?	Tecnología	No	$15	78.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Tecnología	Yes	$15	71.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Política	Yes	$15	62.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Geopolítica	Yes	$15	61.0¢
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$15	58.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$15	51.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Política	Yes	$15	24.9¢
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$15	18.0¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$15	14.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$15	7.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$15	86.3¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Política	Yes	$14	15.1¢
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Tecnología	No	$14	71.3¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Política	Yes	$14	62.2¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?	Tecnología	Yes	$13	60.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$11	76.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Política	Yes	$11	10.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Política	Yes	$10	25.0¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Política	No	$10	78.9¢

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$25 @ 55.5¢
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Política
No$25 @ 86.8¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Política
No$20 @ 48.1¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Tecnología
Yes$15 @ 78.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tecnología
No$15 @ 26.0¢
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by December 31?Política
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Geopolítica
Yes$15 @ 80.0¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$15 @ 49.3¢
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Tecnología
Yes$15 @ 89.9¢
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Política
Yes$15 @ 84.0¢
Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?Política
No$15 @ 77.0¢
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?Tecnología
No$15 @ 78.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tecnología
Yes$15 @ 71.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Política
Yes$15 @ 62.3¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Geopolítica
Yes$15 @ 61.0¢
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tecnología
Yes$15 @ 58.0¢
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$15 @ 51.0¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Política
Yes$15 @ 24.9¢
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tecnología
Yes$15 @ 18.0¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$15 @ 14.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tecnología
Yes$15 @ 7.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tecnología
Yes$15 @ 86.3¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Política
Yes$14 @ 15.1¢
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tecnología
No$14 @ 71.3¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Política
Yes$14 @ 62.2¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tecnología
Yes$13 @ 60.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Tecnología
Yes$11 @ 76.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Política
Yes$11 @ 10.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Política
Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Política
No$10 @ 78.9¢