0x01e6…3641

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x01e607d27875e10bb09fcf3309c899a664313641
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+24.6pp

ROI

+27%

Tasa de acierto

89% @ 64.2¢

Brier

0.175

Resueltas

240

Tamaño med.

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Política	67% (18/27)	+53%	27
Other	63% (15/24)	+2%	24
Geopolítica	100% (2/2)	+14%	2

Política27 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (18/27)
ROI
+53%
Other24 apuestas
Tasa acierto
63% (15/24)
ROI
+2%
Geopolítica2 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (2/2)
ROI
+14%

Historial

66% acierto · 35/53

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$61	62.0¢	Ganó
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$8	49.9¢	Ganó
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$7	66.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$2	66.0¢	Ganó
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$13	81.3¢	Ganó
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$25	60.1¢	Perdió
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$80	79.7¢	Ganó
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	$4	81.7¢	Ganó
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	$21	60.9¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$7	86.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	$3	49.0¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	Yes	$8	79.5¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$70	71.9¢	Ganó
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	Yes	$3	59.0¢	Perdió
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?	Yes	$3	29.0¢	Perdió
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$17	88.3¢	Ganó
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	$18	87.2¢	Ganó
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$4	77.0¢	Perdió
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$45	69.1¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$4	66.8¢	Ganó
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$46	80.3¢	Perdió
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	$7	87.0¢	Ganó
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	No	$17	82.5¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?	Yes	$22	84.1¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	Yes	$36	62.1¢	Ganó
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$24	83.5¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$3	53.0¢	Ganó
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$15	79.4¢	Ganó
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?	No	$4	33.0¢	Perdió
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?	Yes	$33	60.8¢	Perdió
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	$10	25.0¢	Perdió
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	$11	49.5¢	Perdió
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?	Yes	$2	5.3¢	Perdió
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	No	$7	84.0¢	Ganó
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$1	51.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?	No	$12	88.0¢	Ganó
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	Yes	$6	87.0¢	Ganó
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$130	38.5¢	Ganó
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	$11	88.4¢	Ganó
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?	No	$31	65.0¢	Ganó
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$4	68.0¢	Perdió
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$6	53.8¢	Ganó
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$39	79.1¢	Ganó
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$21	74.6¢	Perdió
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	$63	70.9¢	Ganó
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$138	72.0¢	Ganó
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$2	57.0¢	Perdió
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$6	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	$47	81.0¢	Ganó
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	No	$4	56.9¢	Ganó

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$61 @ 62.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$8 @ 49.9¢
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Perdió
Yes$7 @ 66.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$2 @ 66.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Ganó
No$13 @ 81.3¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Perdió
No$25 @ 60.1¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Ganó
Yes$80 @ 79.7¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Ganó
No$4 @ 81.7¢
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Ganó
No$21 @ 60.9¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Ganó
Yes$7 @ 86.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Perdió
No$3 @ 49.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Ganó
Yes$8 @ 79.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Ganó
No$70 @ 71.9¢
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 59.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 29.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Ganó
No$17 @ 88.3¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Ganó
No$18 @ 87.2¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Perdió
No$4 @ 77.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Ganó
Yes$45 @ 69.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Ganó
No$4 @ 66.8¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Perdió
No$46 @ 80.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Ganó
No$7 @ 87.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Ganó
No$17 @ 82.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Ganó
Yes$22 @ 84.1¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Ganó
Yes$36 @ 62.1¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Ganó
No$24 @ 83.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Ganó
No$3 @ 53.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
Yes$15 @ 79.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Perdió
No$4 @ 33.0¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Perdió
Yes$33 @ 60.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Perdió
No$10 @ 25.0¢
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Perdió
Yes$11 @ 49.5¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Perdió
Yes$2 @ 5.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Ganó
No$7 @ 84.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 51.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Ganó
No$12 @ 88.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 87.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Ganó
Yes$130 @ 38.5¢
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Ganó
Yes$11 @ 88.4¢
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?Ganó
No$31 @ 65.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Perdió
No$4 @ 68.0¢
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 53.8¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Ganó
No$39 @ 79.1¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Perdió
No$21 @ 74.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Ganó
Yes$63 @ 70.9¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Ganó
Yes$138 @ 72.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Perdió
No$2 @ 57.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ganó
No$6 @ 84.0¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Ganó
Yes$47 @ 81.0¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Ganó
No$4 @ 56.9¢

Operaciones recientes

en vivo desde Polymarket · haz clic en una columna para ordenar

Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$141	73.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$61	98.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Política	Yes	$47	82.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	—	Yes	$32	63.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	—	Yes	$31	85.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Política	Yes	$30	86.1¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$27	87.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	—	No	$20	87.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Política	Yes	$14	68.1¢
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	Política	No	$7	90.4¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Política	No	$5	64.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$4	56.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$3	49.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Política	Yes	$2	78.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$2	77.8¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Política	Yes	$1	5.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Política	No	$1	71.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Política	Yes	$1	70.0¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$141 @ 73.4¢
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$61 @ 98.9¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Política
Yes$47 @ 82.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?—
Yes$32 @ 63.5¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?—
Yes$31 @ 85.0¢
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Política
Yes$30 @ 86.1¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$27 @ 87.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?—
No$20 @ 87.6¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Política
Yes$14 @ 68.1¢
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Política
No$7 @ 90.4¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Política
No$5 @ 64.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$4 @ 56.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$3 @ 49.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Política
Yes$2 @ 78.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
No$2 @ 77.8¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Política
Yes$1 @ 5.9¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Política
No$1 @ 71.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Política
Yes$1 @ 70.0¢