0x0049…6034

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x00497937c03436c8b1c033123d282688c7976034
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+6.0pp

ROI

+10%

Tasa de acierto

58% @ 52.3¢

Brier

0.170

Resueltas

846

Tamaño med.

$56

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	59% (199/339)	+10%	339
Tecnología	83% (10/12)	+25%	12
Política	80% (4/5)	+17%	5
Deportes	33% (1/3)	-31%	3
Economía	67% (2/3)	+30%	3
Cripto	33% (1/3)	+86%	3
Geopolítica	100% (1/1)	+13%	1
Cultura	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other339 apuestas
Tasa acierto
59% (199/339)
ROI
+10%
Tecnología12 apuestas
Tasa acierto
83% (10/12)
ROI
+25%
Política5 apuestas
Tasa acierto
80% (4/5)
ROI
+17%
Deportes3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
-31%
Economía3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
+30%
Cripto3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
33% (1/3)
ROI
+86%
Geopolítica1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%
Cultura1 apuestas
Tasa acierto
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Historial

59% acierto · 218/367

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?	No	$201	67.0¢	Ganó
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?	No	$25	50.0¢	Ganó
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	$136	68.0¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?	No	$164	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world on January 31?	Yes	$100	51.0¢	Ganó
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023?	Yes	$20	16.0¢	Perdió
Will Hillary Clinton say "Woman president" at DNC speech?	Yes	$14	52.0¢	Perdió
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?	Yes	$38	25.0¢	Ganó
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?	No	$11	10.5¢	Perdió
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$182	70.3¢	Perdió
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?	No	$1	71.0¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?	No	$21	70.0¢	Ganó
Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?	Yes	$14	29.0¢	Ganó
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$269	89.5¢	Ganó
Texans vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	$40	81.0¢	Ganó
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?	No	$170	85.0¢	Ganó
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	No	$102	51.0¢	Perdió
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	Yes	$108	54.0¢	Ganó
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$178	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$323	79.9¢	Ganó
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	Yes	$106	53.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	Yes	$4	3.5¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	$0	89.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Gold" at CPAC conference on Saturday?	No	$16	32.0¢	Perdió
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?	No	$23	23.0¢	Perdió
Trump posts 40-49 times on X?	Yes	$4	22.0¢	Perdió
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?	No	$86	86.0¢	Ganó
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?	Yes	$158	83.0¢	Ganó
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?	Yes	$43	86.9¢	Ganó
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$28	14.0¢	Perdió
Will Ding Liren win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Barron" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?	Yes	$8	26.0¢	Perdió
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?	Yes	$336	84.0¢	Ganó
Chargers vs. Texans	Chargers	$12	60.0¢	Perdió
500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?	No	$213	71.0¢	Ganó
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?	Yes	$48	80.0¢	Ganó
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?	No	$1.5k	73.8¢	Ganó
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?	Yes	$12	12.0¢	Ganó
Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?	No	$164	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "Tesla" during NBC interview?	Yes	$9	17.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump and Elon say "China" 10 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?	No	$37	75.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	No	$90	89.9¢	Ganó
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?	Yes	$34	78.1¢	Ganó
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?	Yes	$237	80.0¢	Perdió
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?	No	$29	58.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during NBC interview?	Yes	$20	28.9¢	Perdió
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?	Yes	$336	84.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?	No	$436	87.1¢	Ganó

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$201 @ 67.0¢
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?Ganó
No$25 @ 50.0¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ganó
Yes$136 @ 68.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?Ganó
No$164 @ 82.0¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world on January 31?Ganó
Yes$100 @ 51.0¢
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 16.0¢
Will Hillary Clinton say "Woman president" at DNC speech?Perdió
Yes$14 @ 52.0¢
Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?Ganó
Yes$38 @ 25.0¢
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?Perdió
No$11 @ 10.5¢
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Perdió
Yes$182 @ 70.3¢
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?Perdió
No$1 @ 71.0¢
Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? Ganó
No$21 @ 70.0¢
Brian Thompson Perp arrested by Friday?Ganó
Yes$14 @ 29.0¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ganó
No$269 @ 89.5¢
Texans vs. ChiefsGanó
Chiefs$40 @ 81.0¢
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?Ganó
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Perdió
No$102 @ 51.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Ganó
Yes$108 @ 54.0¢
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Ganó
Yes$178 @ 89.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Ganó
No$323 @ 79.9¢
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Ganó
Yes$106 @ 53.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 3.5¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Ganó
Yes$0 @ 89.0¢
Will Trump say "Gold" at CPAC conference on Saturday?Perdió
No$16 @ 32.0¢
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?Perdió
No$23 @ 23.0¢
Trump posts 40-49 times on X?Perdió
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Ganó
No$86 @ 86.0¢
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?Ganó
Yes$158 @ 83.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?Ganó
Yes$43 @ 86.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Perdió
Yes$28 @ 14.0¢
Will Ding Liren win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?Perdió
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Will Trump say "Barron" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?Perdió
Yes$8 @ 26.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Ganó
Yes$336 @ 84.0¢
Chargers vs. TexansPerdió
Chargers$12 @ 60.0¢
500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?Ganó
No$213 @ 71.0¢
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?Ganó
Yes$48 @ 80.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?Ganó
No$1.5k @ 73.8¢
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 100m?Ganó
Yes$12 @ 12.0¢
Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?Perdió
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?Ganó
No$164 @ 82.0¢
Will Trump say "Tesla" during NBC interview?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 17.0¢
Will Trump and Elon say "China" 10 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?Ganó
No$37 @ 75.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Ganó
No$90 @ 89.9¢
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?Ganó
Yes$34 @ 78.1¢
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?Perdió
Yes$237 @ 80.0¢
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?Perdió
No$29 @ 58.0¢
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during NBC interview?Perdió
Yes$20 @ 28.9¢
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Ganó
Yes$336 @ 84.0¢
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?Ganó
No$436 @ 87.1¢

Operaciones recientes

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Cargando operaciones recientes…

Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$7.0k	81.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$5.3k	86.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$2.8k	92.9¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$2.5k	82.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$2.3k	90.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$2.0k	89.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$1.9k	95.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$1.4k	83.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$1.2k	78.9¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Geopolítica	No	$951	95.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$950	95.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Política	No	$940	94.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$938	94.6¢
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$920	92.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Ciencia	No	$912	91.1¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Economía	No	$880	88.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$860	86.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$850	85.0¢
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$832	87.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$815	90.5¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Tecnología	Yes	$704	88.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	Tecnología	No	$561	86.3¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$554	96.6¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Política	Yes	$475	95.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Tecnología	Yes	$470	94.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$470	94.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$410	82.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$409	90.5¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$400	80.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Cripto	No	$393	59.5¢

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$7.0k @ 81.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$5.3k @ 86.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$2.8k @ 92.9¢
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$2.5k @ 82.1¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$2.3k @ 90.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$2.0k @ 89.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$1.9k @ 95.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$1.4k @ 83.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$1.2k @ 78.9¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Geopolítica
No$951 @ 95.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$950 @ 95.0¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Política
No$940 @ 94.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$938 @ 94.6¢
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$920 @ 92.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ciencia
No$912 @ 91.1¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economía
No$880 @ 88.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$860 @ 86.0¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Tecnología
Yes$850 @ 85.0¢
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$832 @ 87.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$815 @ 90.5¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tecnología
Yes$704 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tecnología
No$561 @ 86.3¢
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$554 @ 96.6¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Política
Yes$475 @ 95.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Tecnología
Yes$470 @ 94.0¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$470 @ 94.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$410 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$409 @ 90.5¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$400 @ 80.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Cripto
No$393 @ 59.5¢