0x002d…2561

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x002dcd37b0b8fa8db98236e599fe1b90d6272561
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Experto

Ventaja

+4.7pp

ROI

+8%

Tasa de acierto

45% @ 40.3¢

Brier

0.174

Resueltas

4348

Tamaño med.

$82

Especialización por esfera

Esfera	Tasa acierto	ROI	Apuestas
Other	48% (444/930)	+9%	930
Política	43% (10/23)	+7%	23
Geopolítica	67% (2/3)	-1%	3

Other930 apuestas
Tasa acierto
48% (444/930)
ROI
+9%
Política23 apuestas
Tasa acierto
43% (10/23)
ROI
+7%
Geopolítica3 apuestas
Tasa acierto
67% (2/3)
ROI
-1%

Historial

48% acierto · 456/956

Mercado	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada	Resultado
Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?	Yes	$89	8.5¢	Perdió
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?	No	$375	77.1¢	Ganó
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?	No	$8	65.0¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?	Yes	$9	11.0¢	Perdió
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Over	$510	51.0¢	Ganó
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5	Under	$510	51.0¢	Perdió
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5	Under	$536	49.0¢	Ganó
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	No	$214	32.9¢	Perdió
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?	No	$420	84.0¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	$190	19.1¢	Ganó
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$74	37.0¢	Perdió
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	No	$596	26.4¢	Perdió
Will Sidemen's next video get between 6.0–7.0 million views on week 1?	Yes	$79	22.2¢	Perdió
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	$74	12.0¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?	No	$149	76.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?	No	$78	62.0¢	Ganó
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	Chicago Cubs	$3	36.0¢	Perdió
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?	Yes	$21	7.0¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?	Yes	$1.1k	39.7¢	Perdió
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	Yes	$19	84.0¢	Ganó
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?	No	$2	4.9¢	Perdió
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	$2.1k	72.0¢	Ganó
No airdrop in 2025?	No	$282	89.4¢	Ganó
No airdrop in 2025?	Yes	$172	34.8¢	Perdió
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?	No	$586	82.0¢	Ganó
Will Solana reach $240 in October?	No	$69	69.0¢	Ganó
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	Yes	$286	28.6¢	Perdió
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	No	$263	87.8¢	Ganó
Will Trump say "TikTok" during the Fox News interview on September 18?	Yes	$174	70.8¢	Ganó
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	No	$1.4k	53.8¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	$1.2k	34.9¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?	Yes	$230	23.0¢	Perdió
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	$21	35.0¢	Perdió
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	No	$112	85.0¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?	No	$12	16.0¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?	Yes	$1.9k	48.0¢	Ganó
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	$94	13.7¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?	Yes	$124	45.0¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?	No	$497	81.5¢	Perdió
Will Trump say "Beautiful coal" or "Clean coal" during his AI speech on July 23?	Yes	$58	58.0¢	Ganó
Will Sidemen's next video get between 3.5–4.0 million views on day 1?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Perdió
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?	Yes	$716	39.2¢	Ganó
Will PewDiePie’s next video get less than 1.5 million views on week 1?	No	$2	76.0¢	Ganó
Iran strike on Qatar today?	Yes	$6	55.0¢	Ganó
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$170	26.5¢	Perdió
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	$537	62.5¢	Ganó
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$4	89.0¢	Ganó
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 25+ times during his next video?	No	$242	70.0¢	Ganó
Will Elon Musk say "Ad format" during the August 6 AMA?	Yes	$53	35.0¢	Perdió

Will Powell say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Perdió
Yes$89 @ 8.5¢
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Ganó
No$375 @ 77.1¢
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?Ganó
No$8 @ 65.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$9 @ 11.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Ganó
Over$510 @ 51.0¢
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Perdió
Under$510 @ 51.0¢
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5Ganó
Under$536 @ 49.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Perdió
No$214 @ 32.9¢
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get less than 5m views on day 1?Ganó
No$420 @ 84.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Ganó
Yes$190 @ 19.1¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Perdió
Yes$74 @ 37.0¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Perdió
No$596 @ 26.4¢
Will Sidemen's next video get between 6.0–7.0 million views on week 1?Perdió
Yes$79 @ 22.2¢
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?Perdió
No$74 @ 12.0¢
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Perdió
No$149 @ 76.5¢
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?Ganó
No$78 @ 62.0¢
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Perdió
Chicago Cubs$3 @ 36.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 7.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$1.1k @ 39.7¢
Will Rockin' Around The Christmas Tree - Brenda Lee be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Ganó
Yes$19 @ 84.0¢
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Perdió
No$2 @ 4.9¢
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?Ganó
No$2.1k @ 72.0¢
No airdrop in 2025?Ganó
No$282 @ 89.4¢
No airdrop in 2025?Perdió
Yes$172 @ 34.8¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Ganó
No$586 @ 82.0¢
Will Solana reach $240 in October?Ganó
No$69 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Perdió
Yes$286 @ 28.6¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Ganó
No$263 @ 87.8¢
Will Trump say "TikTok" during the Fox News interview on September 18?Ganó
Yes$174 @ 70.8¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Ganó
No$1.4k @ 53.8¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Ganó
Yes$1.2k @ 34.9¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$230 @ 23.0¢
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Perdió
Yes$21 @ 35.0¢
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Ganó
No$112 @ 85.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?Perdió
No$12 @ 16.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?Ganó
Yes$1.9k @ 48.0¢
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Perdió
Yes$94 @ 13.7¢
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?Ganó
Yes$124 @ 45.0¢
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?Perdió
No$497 @ 81.5¢
Will Trump say "Beautiful coal" or "Clean coal" during his AI speech on July 23?Ganó
Yes$58 @ 58.0¢
Will Sidemen's next video get between 3.5–4.0 million views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?Perdió
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?Ganó
Yes$716 @ 39.2¢
Will PewDiePie’s next video get less than 1.5 million views on week 1?Ganó
No$2 @ 76.0¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Ganó
Yes$6 @ 55.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Perdió
No$170 @ 26.5¢
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ganó
No$537 @ 62.5¢
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Ganó
Yes$4 @ 89.0¢
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 25+ times during his next video?Ganó
No$242 @ 70.0¢
Will Elon Musk say "Ad format" during the August 6 AMA?Perdió
Yes$53 @ 35.0¢

Operaciones recientes

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Posiciones actuales

Mercado	Esfera	Resultado	Tamaño	Entrada
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Geopolítica	No	$2.2k	74.0¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Política	No	$1.8k	90.0¢
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	Política	No	$429	73.3¢
Will Elon register any party before 2027?	Política	No	$116	87.1¢

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolítica
No$2.2k @ 74.0¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Política
No$1.8k @ 90.0¢
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?Política
No$429 @ 73.3¢
Will Elon register any party before 2027?Política
No$116 @ 87.1¢