0xf5e4…471a

Профі

Едж

+3.4pp

ROI

+15%

Частка перемог

13% @ 9.5¢

Brier

0.092

Угод

4946

Сер. розмір

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Other	28% (91/330)	+34%	330
Політика	25% (24/96)	-20%	96
Технології	0% (0/6)	-100%	6
Геополітика	0% (0/2)	-100%	2

Other330 ставки
Влучання
28% (91/330)
ROI
+34%
Політика96 ставки
Влучання
25% (24/96)
ROI
-20%
Технології6 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/6)
ROI
-100%
Геополітика2 ставки
Влучання
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%

Історія результатів

26% влучень · 115/434

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30?	Yes	$4	1.0¢	Поразка
Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?	No	$1	3.0¢	Поразка
Will Frank Benedetto win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?	Yes	$2	3.0¢	Поразка
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?	Yes	$231	6.2¢	Поразка
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	$135	19.5¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 28?	No	$0	10.0¢	Поразка
Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?	Yes	$3	13.0¢	Перемога
Will Ehsan Kangarani win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	Yes	$3	2.9¢	Поразка
Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be between 3% and 6%?	Yes	$4	25.0¢	Поразка
Will PPSO win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$7	0.7¢	Поразка
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?	Yes	$1	41.0¢	Перемога
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	$21	11.6¢	Поразка
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	$68	1.2¢	Поразка
Will Czechia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	$0	0.1¢	Поразка
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	No	$103	18.4¢	Поразка
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	$706	77.0¢	Перемога
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?	Yes	$18	7.4¢	Поразка
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	Yes	$17	11.3¢	Поразка
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$16	40.9¢	Перемога
Will Hannah Spencer – Green Party finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	$19	6.0¢	Поразка
Will António José Seguro win the first round?	Yes	$5	3.1¢	Перемога
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	Yes	$156	6.3¢	Поразка
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?	No	$1	34.0¢	Перемога
Will Monokate win Vidbir 2026?	Yes	$24	3.4¢	Поразка
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?	Yes	$140	17.4¢	Перемога
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	$4	0.2¢	Поразка
Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$59	4.8¢	Поразка
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	Yes	$119	14.9¢	Перемога
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$97	3.5¢	Поразка
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	$5	33.0¢	Перемога
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Поразка
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?	Yes	$52	0.8¢	Поразка
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?	No	$0	5.3¢	Перемога
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?	Yes	$0	12.0¢	Поразка
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?	Yes	$26	49.0¢	Поразка
Will the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	$12	16.2¢	Поразка
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	$45	36.1¢	Перемога
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by at least 6%?	No	$5	1.0¢	Поразка
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?	No	$11	40.1¢	Поразка
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	$77	7.8¢	Поразка
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$145	43.4¢	Поразка
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$77	39.3¢	Перемога
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	$44	22.6¢	Поразка
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	$212	44.8¢	Перемога
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	2.6¢	Поразка
Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	$40	19.3¢	Перемога
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	Yes	$271	4.6¢	Поразка
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	$28	49.0¢	Перемога
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	No	$10	33.0¢	Перемога
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	$10	7.0¢	Поразка

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?Поразка
No$1 @ 3.0¢
Will Frank Benedetto win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Поразка
Yes$231 @ 6.2¢
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?Поразка
No$135 @ 19.5¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 28?Поразка
No$0 @ 10.0¢
Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?Перемога
Yes$3 @ 13.0¢
Will Ehsan Kangarani win the next Göttingen mayoral election?Поразка
Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
Will the margin of victory in the Gorton and Denton by-election be between 3% and 6%?Поразка
Yes$4 @ 25.0¢
Will PPSO win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 0.7¢
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?Перемога
Yes$1 @ 41.0¢
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Поразка
Yes$21 @ 11.6¢
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Поразка
No$68 @ 1.2¢
Will Czechia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 0.1¢
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?Поразка
No$103 @ 18.4¢
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Перемога
No$706 @ 77.0¢
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Поразка
Yes$18 @ 7.4¢
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Поразка
Yes$17 @ 11.3¢
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Перемога
No$16 @ 40.9¢
Will Hannah Spencer – Green Party finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?Поразка
Yes$19 @ 6.0¢
Will António José Seguro win the first round?Перемога
Yes$5 @ 3.1¢
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Поразка
Yes$156 @ 6.3¢
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?Перемога
No$1 @ 34.0¢
Will Monokate win Vidbir 2026?Поразка
Yes$24 @ 3.4¢
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?Перемога
Yes$140 @ 17.4¢
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Поразка
No$4 @ 0.2¢
Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Поразка
No$59 @ 4.8¢
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 200 and 249 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Перемога
Yes$119 @ 14.9¢
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Поразка
Yes$97 @ 3.5¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Перемога
No$5 @ 33.0¢
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?Поразка
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?Поразка
Yes$52 @ 0.8¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?Перемога
No$0 @ 5.3¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?Поразка
Yes$0 @ 12.0¢
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?Поразка
Yes$26 @ 49.0¢
Will the Green Party win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Поразка
Yes$12 @ 16.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Перемога
Yes$45 @ 36.1¢
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by at least 6%?Поразка
No$5 @ 1.0¢
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Поразка
No$11 @ 40.1¢
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Поразка
Yes$77 @ 7.8¢
Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Поразка
No$145 @ 43.4¢
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Перемога
No$77 @ 39.3¢
Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Поразка
Yes$44 @ 22.6¢
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Перемога
Yes$212 @ 44.8¢
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?Поразка
Yes$7 @ 2.6¢
Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Перемога
Yes$40 @ 19.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Поразка
Yes$271 @ 4.6¢
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Перемога
No$28 @ 49.0¢
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Перемога
No$10 @ 33.0¢
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Поразка
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Політика	No	$283	45.6¢
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$265	21.7¢
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	Політика	Yes	$209	26.9¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Політика	No	$175	27.3¢
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Політика	Yes	$165	25.8¢
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Політика	No	$162	21.4¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?	Технології	No	$145	14.9¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	Політика	No	$140	25.4¢
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	Політика	Yes	$134	27.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Політика	No	$100	34.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Політика	No	$100	31.0¢
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Політика	No	$100	23.0¢
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?	Політика	Yes	$80	15.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Політика	No	$68	9.8¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	Політика	No	$54	8.9¢
X banned in any European country by December 31?	Політика	Yes	$53	19.8¢
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Політика	Yes	$50	22.0¢
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Політика	Yes	$50	24.0¢
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$48	16.2¢
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	Політика	Yes	$40	8.4¢
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Політика	Yes	$40	36.2¢
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Політика	Yes	$39	33.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?	Політика	No	$35	4.1¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Політика	Yes	$25	8.0¢
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Технології	Yes	$24	11.7¢
Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	Технології	Yes	$23	13.6¢
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	Політика	No	$15	22.7¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	Політика	Yes	$13	3.0¢
Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Культура	Yes	$11	7.9¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Політика	No	$10	1.2¢

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Політика
No$283 @ 45.6¢
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$265 @ 21.7¢
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Політика
Yes$209 @ 26.9¢
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Політика
No$175 @ 27.3¢
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Політика
Yes$165 @ 25.8¢
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Політика
No$162 @ 21.4¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Технології
No$145 @ 14.9¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Політика
No$140 @ 25.4¢
Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?Політика
Yes$134 @ 27.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Політика
No$100 @ 34.0¢
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Політика
No$100 @ 31.0¢
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Політика
No$100 @ 23.0¢
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?Політика
Yes$80 @ 15.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Політика
No$68 @ 9.8¢
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Політика
No$54 @ 8.9¢
X banned in any European country by December 31?Політика
Yes$53 @ 19.8¢
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Політика
Yes$50 @ 22.0¢
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Політика
Yes$50 @ 24.0¢
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Політика
Yes$48 @ 16.2¢
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?Політика
Yes$40 @ 8.4¢
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?Політика
Yes$40 @ 36.2¢
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Політика
Yes$39 @ 33.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?Політика
No$35 @ 4.1¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Політика
Yes$25 @ 8.0¢
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Технології
Yes$24 @ 11.7¢
Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Технології
Yes$23 @ 13.6¢
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Політика
No$15 @ 22.7¢
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?Політика
Yes$13 @ 3.0¢
Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026?Культура
Yes$11 @ 7.9¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Політика
No$10 @ 1.2¢