0xf0d5…c665

Профі

Едж

+17.1pp

ROI

+33%

Частка перемог

70% @ 53.2¢

Brier

0.189

Угод

162

Сер. розмір

$291

Динаміка ROI

Спеціалізація за сферами

Сфера	Влучання	ROI	Ставки
Політика	78% (90/116)	+6%	116
Other	74% (42/57)	-7%	57
Технології	100% (16/16)	+10%	16
Геополітика	91% (10/11)	+12%	11
Культура	60% (3/5)	-89%	5
Крипто	75% (3/4)	+113%	4
Спорт	33% (1/3)	-47%	3
Наука	100% (1/1)	+0%	1

Політика116 ставки
Влучання
78% (90/116)
ROI
+6%
Other57 ставки
Влучання
74% (42/57)
ROI
-7%
Технології16 ставки
Влучання
100% (16/16)
ROI
+10%
Геополітика11 ставки
Влучання
91% (10/11)
ROI
+12%
Культура5 ставки
Влучання
60% (3/5)
ROI
-89%
Крипто4 ставки
Влучання
75% (3/4)
ROI
+113%
Спорт3 ставки
Влучання
33% (1/3)
ROI
-47%
Наука1 ставки
Влучання
100% (1/1)
ROI
+0%

Історія результатів

78% влучень · 166/213

Ринок	Результат	Розмір	Вхід	Підсумок
Spread: Vaqueros de Bayamon (-1.5)	Aguada Santeros	$5	99.8¢	Перемога
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?	Yes	$476	99.9¢	Перемога
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?	No	$1.2k	99.8¢	Перемога
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?	Yes	$33	99.9¢	Перемога
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?	Yes	$3.2k	99.9¢	Перемога
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?	No	$2.2k	99.9¢	Перемога
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$360	9.0¢	Перемога
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$181	27.0¢	Перемога
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$61	0.5¢	Поразка
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?	No	$124	2.5¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	$1.6k	81.0¢	Перемога
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$4.8k	44.7¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$340	26.5¢	Перемога
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	No	$10	1.0¢	Поразка
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?	Yes	$2.2k	80.8¢	Перемога
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$229	86.0¢	Перемога
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	Yes	$52	15.0¢	Перемога
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$21.4k	82.6¢	Перемога
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.2k	86.0¢	Перемога
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	Yes	$80	4.0¢	Поразка
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs	Team Spirit	$1	64.0¢	Перемога
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	No	$1.6k	39.3¢	Поразка
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?	Yes	$2.9k	89.0¢	Перемога
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$4	87.0¢	Перемога
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	$2.5k	83.6¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	$2.0k	83.0¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	Yes	$830	37.6¢	Поразка
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	$1.7k	85.0¢	Перемога
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 8, 2026?	No	$772	84.7¢	Перемога
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 8, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.1¢	Поразка
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?	No	$615	13.0¢	Поразка
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	Yes	$67	87.6¢	Перемога
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	$41	6.4¢	Поразка
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$374	85.5¢	Перемога
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	$1	95.0¢	Перемога
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$9.5k	95.1¢	Перемога
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$71	7.1¢	Поразка
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 July 6-12?	No	$256	99.9¢	Перемога
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	99.7¢	Перемога
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?	No	$724	99.9¢	Перемога
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$8	93.1¢	Перемога
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 3?	No	$266	99.9¢	Перемога
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 6-12?	No	$301	99.9¢	Перемога
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?	No	$5.9k	99.9¢	Перемога
Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No	$570	99.1¢	Перемога
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	$198	99.2¢	Перемога
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$3.8k	99.6¢	Перемога
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	No	$66	98.8¢	Перемога
No one announced as next James Bond?	No	$6.5k	8.6¢	Поразка
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?	No	$18	98.9¢	Перемога

Spread: Vaqueros de Bayamon (-1.5)Перемога
Aguada Santeros$5 @ 99.8¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?Перемога
Yes$476 @ 99.9¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?Перемога
No$1.2k @ 99.8¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1000?Перемога
Yes$33 @ 99.9¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?Перемога
Yes$3.2k @ 99.9¢
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?Перемога
No$2.2k @ 99.9¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Перемога
No$360 @ 9.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Перемога
No$181 @ 27.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Поразка
Yes$61 @ 0.5¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?Поразка
No$124 @ 2.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Перемога
No$1.6k @ 81.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Перемога
Yes$4.8k @ 44.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Перемога
No$340 @ 26.5¢
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Поразка
No$10 @ 1.0¢
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Перемога
Yes$2.2k @ 80.8¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Перемога
No$229 @ 86.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Перемога
Yes$52 @ 15.0¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$21.4k @ 82.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
Yes$2.2k @ 86.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Поразка
Yes$80 @ 4.0¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsПеремога
Team Spirit$1 @ 64.0¢
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Поразка
No$1.6k @ 39.3¢
Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?Перемога
Yes$2.9k @ 89.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Перемога
No$4 @ 87.0¢
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Перемога
Yes$2.5k @ 83.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Перемога
No$2.0k @ 83.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?Поразка
Yes$830 @ 37.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Перемога
No$1.7k @ 85.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 8, 2026?Перемога
No$772 @ 84.7¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 8, 2026?Поразка
Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Поразка
No$615 @ 13.0¢
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Перемога
Yes$67 @ 87.6¢
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?Поразка
Yes$41 @ 6.4¢
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Перемога
Yes$374 @ 85.5¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Перемога
No$1 @ 95.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
No$9.5k @ 95.1¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поразка
Yes$71 @ 7.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 July 6-12?Перемога
No$256 @ 99.9¢
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?Перемога
Yes$1.6k @ 99.7¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Перемога
No$724 @ 99.9¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Перемога
Yes$8 @ 93.1¢
Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 3?Перемога
No$266 @ 99.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 6-12?Перемога
No$301 @ 99.9¢
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?Перемога
No$5.9k @ 99.9¢
Will Meta acquire TikTok?Перемога
No$570 @ 99.1¢
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?Перемога
No$198 @ 99.2¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Перемога
No$3.8k @ 99.6¢
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?Перемога
No$66 @ 98.8¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Поразка
No$6.5k @ 8.6¢
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?Перемога
No$18 @ 98.9¢

Останні угоди

у реальному часі з Polymarket · натисніть на стовпець для сортування

Завантаження останніх угод…

Поточні позиції

Ринок	Сфера	Результат	Розмір	Вхід
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$26.7k	86.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Політика	No	$24.1k	87.8¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Політика	No	$10.2k	73.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Політика	No	$8.5k	78.1¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	—	No	$7.4k	65.3¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Політика	No	$6.9k	31.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$6.8k	79.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Політика	No	$6.5k	72.7¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Політика	No	$6.5k	91.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Політика	Yes	$6.1k	97.6¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Політика	No	$5.1k	92.2¢
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	—	No	$4.2k	99.7¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$3.4k	91.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Політика	No	$3.0k	18.5¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$3.0k	91.9¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Технології	No	$2.7k	48.4¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	—	No	$2.6k	68.1¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$2.3k	6.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	—	No	$1.6k	77.3¢
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Політика	No	$1.4k	85.5¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Політика	Yes	$1.4k	46.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$1.4k	91.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Технології	No	$1.3k	99.4¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$1.3k	86.8¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Політика	Yes	$1.3k	34.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?	Політика	Yes	$1.2k	98.1¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	—	No	$1.1k	16.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Політика	No	$1.1k	72.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Політика	No	$1.0k	79.1¢
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Політика	No	$752	41.0¢

Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$26.7k @ 86.8¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Політика
No$24.1k @ 87.8¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Політика
No$10.2k @ 73.2¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Політика
No$8.5k @ 78.1¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?—
No$7.4k @ 65.3¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Політика
No$6.9k @ 31.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$6.8k @ 79.0¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Політика
No$6.5k @ 72.7¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Політика
No$6.5k @ 91.5¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Політика
Yes$6.1k @ 97.6¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Політика
No$5.1k @ 92.2¢
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?—
No$4.2k @ 99.7¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?—
No$3.4k @ 91.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Політика
No$3.0k @ 18.5¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?—
No$3.0k @ 91.9¢
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Технології
No$2.7k @ 48.4¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?—
No$2.6k @ 68.1¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$2.3k @ 6.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?—
No$1.6k @ 77.3¢
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Політика
No$1.4k @ 85.5¢
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Політика
Yes$1.4k @ 46.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Політика
No$1.4k @ 91.0¢
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Технології
No$1.3k @ 99.4¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?—
No$1.3k @ 86.8¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Політика
Yes$1.3k @ 34.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?Політика
Yes$1.2k @ 98.1¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?—
No$1.1k @ 16.4¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Політика
No$1.1k @ 72.4¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Політика
No$1.0k @ 79.1¢
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Політика
No$752 @ 41.0¢